The Sawtooth Statistic gives a clue to the general mood of the markets, functioning as a sort of sentiment indicator. The chart represents the sawtooth percentage of (approximately) monthly cycles over the past year, and of the (approximately) bi-weekly cycles, averaged over the past six months.

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Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals at 75 and 25	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 4 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-1.61 % minus 1.65 % = -3.26 %	-27.63 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.56 % minus 0.33 % = -0.89 %	-45.01 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.56 % minus 0.17 % = -0.72 %	-91.95 %
Sell Signals - 12 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	3.48 % minus 1.65 % = 1.82 %	15.45 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.37 % minus 0.33 % = 1.04 %	52.64 %
Future2SesAvgClose	1.64 % minus 0.17 % = 1.47 %	186.29 %
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Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals middle Crossing	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 53 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.08 % minus 1.65 % = -0.58 %	-4.87 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.31 % minus 0.33 % = -0.64 %	-32.43 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.25 % minus 0.17 % = -0.42 %	-53.29 %
Sell Signals - 50 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.87 % minus 1.65 % = 0.22 %	1.87 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.04 % minus 0.33 % = -0.29 %	-14.71 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.31 % minus 0.17 % = -0.48 %	-60.70 %
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Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals at 70 and 30	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 10 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	2.56 % minus 1.65 % = 0.91 %	7.72 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.79 % minus 0.33 % = 1.46 %	74.30 %
Future2SesAvgClose	1.78 % minus 0.17 % = 1.61 %	204.19 %
Sell Signals - 13 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	2.77 % minus 1.65 % = 1.11 %	9.44 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.08 % minus 0.33 % = 0.75 %	37.94 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.54 % minus 0.17 % = 0.37 %	47.44 %
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Projection of Representative Monthly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 161 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	2.90 % minus 1.65 % = 1.25 %	10.56 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.05 % minus 0.33 % = 0.72 %	36.55 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.35 % minus 0.17 % = 0.18 %	22.54 %
Sell Signals - 177 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.20 % minus 1.65 % = -0.45 %	-3.84 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.25 % minus 0.33 % = -0.08 %	-4.17 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.18 % minus 0.17 % = 0.01 %	1.52 %
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Projection of BiWeekly Modal Cycles	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 348 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	2.11 % minus 1.65 % = 0.46 %	3.89 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.50 % minus 0.33 % = 0.17 %	8.83 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.13 % minus 0.17 % = -0.04 %	-4.66 %
Sell Signals - 359 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.42 % minus 1.65 % = -0.23 %	-1.95 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.01 % minus 0.33 % = -0.32 %	-16.35 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.15 % minus 0.17 % = -0.31 %	-39.88 %
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The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 1.25 % from the Projection of Representative Monthly Cycle,and the best sell signal for was -0.45 % from the Projection of Representative Monthly Cycle.

For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 1.46 % from the Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals at 70 and 30,and the best sell signal was -0.32 % from the Projection of BiWeekly Modal Cycles.

The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 1.61 % from the Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals at 70 and 30,and the best sell signal was -0.48 % from the Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals middle Crossing.

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