The Sawtooth Statistic gives a clue to the general mood of the markets, functioning as a sort of sentiment indicator. The chart represents the sawtooth percentage of (approximately) monthly cycles over the past year, and of the (approximately) bi-weekly cycles, averaged over the past six months.

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Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals at 75 and 25	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 1 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	2.20 % minus 1.25 % = 0.95 %	8.07 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-1.47 % minus 0.24 % = -1.72 %	-87.30 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.77 % minus 0.12 % = -0.89 %	-113.25 %
Sell Signals - 2 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-5.51 % minus 1.25 % = -6.76 %	-57.25 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-5.13 % minus 0.24 % = -5.37 %	-272.82 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.85 % minus 0.12 % = -0.97 %	-123.36 %
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Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals middle Crossing	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 35 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.23 % minus 1.25 % = -1.02 %	-8.61 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.33 % minus 0.24 % = -0.58 %	-29.32 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.10 % minus 0.12 % = -0.02 %	-2.51 %
Sell Signals - 33 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.18 % minus 1.25 % = -0.07 %	-0.56 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.22 % minus 0.24 % = -0.03 %	-1.31 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.09 % minus 0.12 % = -0.03 %	-3.65 %
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Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals at 70 and 30	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 4 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	7.30 % minus 1.25 % = 6.05 %	51.23 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.04 % minus 0.24 % = 0.80 %	40.39 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.29 % minus 0.12 % = 0.17 %	21.11 %
Sell Signals - 4 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	3.31 % minus 1.25 % = 2.06 %	17.48 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.11 % minus 0.24 % = 0.87 %	44.00 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.65 % minus 0.12 % = 0.53 %	67.19 %
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Projection of Representative Monthly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 108 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.69 % minus 1.25 % = 0.44 %	3.76 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.02 % minus 0.24 % = 0.77 %	39.34 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.70 % minus 0.12 % = 0.58 %	73.36 %
Sell Signals - 107 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.86 % minus 1.25 % = 0.61 %	5.18 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.74 % minus 0.24 % = 0.49 %	25.10 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.47 % minus 0.12 % = 0.35 %	44.15 %
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Projection of BiWeekly Modal Cycles	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 233 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.17 % minus 1.25 % = -0.08 %	-0.68 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.49 % minus 0.24 % = 0.25 %	12.50 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.31 % minus 0.12 % = 0.19 %	24.65 %
Sell Signals - 211 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.66 % minus 1.25 % = -0.59 %	-5.02 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.15 % minus 0.24 % = -0.39 %	-19.79 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.18 % minus 0.12 % = -0.30 %	-37.69 %
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The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 6.05 % from the Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals at 70 and 30,and the best sell signal for was -6.76 % from the Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals at 75 and 25.

For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 0.80 % from the Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals at 70 and 30,and the best sell signal was -5.37 % from the Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals at 75 and 25.

The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 0.58 % from the Projection of Representative Monthly Cycle,and the best sell signal was -0.97 % from the Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals at 75 and 25.

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