The Sawtooth Statistic gives a clue to the general mood of the markets, functioning as a sort of sentiment indicator. The chart represents the sawtooth percentage of (approximately) monthly cycles over the past year, and of the (approximately) bi-weekly cycles, averaged over the past six months.

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Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals at 75 and 25	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 6 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.16 % minus 1.96 % = -0.79 %	-6.71 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.40 % minus 0.43 % = -0.03 %	-1.64 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.88 % minus 0.23 % = 0.64 %	81.64 %
Sell Signals - 7 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	5.43 % minus 1.96 % = 3.47 %	29.39 %
Future5SesAvgClose	2.73 % minus 0.43 % = 2.30 %	116.91 %
Future2SesAvgClose	2.49 % minus 0.23 % = 2.25 %	286.24 %
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Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals middle Crossing	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 60 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	2.33 % minus 1.96 % = 0.38 %	3.19 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.67 % minus 0.43 % = 0.24 %	12.28 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.46 % minus 0.23 % = 0.23 %	28.95 %
Sell Signals - 60 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.29 % minus 1.96 % = -0.66 %	-5.62 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.10 % minus 0.43 % = -0.33 %	-16.86 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.11 % minus 0.23 % = -0.34 %	-43.25 %
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Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals at 70 and 30	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 14 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.14 % minus 1.96 % = -1.81 %	-15.35 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.77 % minus 0.43 % = -1.20 %	-60.99 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.16 % minus 0.23 % = -0.39 %	-50.04 %
Sell Signals - 10 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	4.21 % minus 1.96 % = 2.26 %	19.09 %
Future5SesAvgClose	3.50 % minus 0.43 % = 3.07 %	155.75 %
Future2SesAvgClose	2.66 % minus 0.23 % = 2.42 %	307.74 %
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Projection of Representative Monthly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 203 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.66 % minus 1.96 % = -0.29 %	-2.49 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.29 % minus 0.43 % = -0.15 %	-7.37 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.06 % minus 0.23 % = -0.29 %	-36.76 %
Sell Signals - 229 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.35 % minus 1.96 % = -0.60 %	-5.10 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.29 % minus 0.43 % = -0.14 %	-7.18 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.17 % minus 0.23 % = -0.06 %	-7.41 %
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Projection of BiWeekly Modal Cycles	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 435 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.69 % minus 1.96 % = -0.27 %	-2.29 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.24 % minus 0.43 % = -0.19 %	-9.45 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.11 % minus 0.23 % = -0.13 %	-15.98 %
Sell Signals - 462 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.53 % minus 1.96 % = -0.43 %	-3.63 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.36 % minus 0.43 % = -0.07 %	-3.77 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.03 % minus 0.23 % = -0.20 %	-26.02 %
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The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 0.38 % from the Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals middle Crossing,and the best sell signal for was -0.66 % from the Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals middle Crossing.

For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 0.24 % from the Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals middle Crossing,and the best sell signal was -0.33 % from the Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals middle Crossing.

The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 0.64 % from the Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals at 75 and 25,and the best sell signal was -0.34 % from the Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals middle Crossing.

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