Moving Average Analysis of BGG

From the largest and most comprehensive Analysis Site on the web.

Breaking News
Free Reports    MAT | MBI | MCK | MAR | CIEN | MAS | MDP | MI | CAH | MYL | MET
Look for another Symbol?
Can't find your Company?
 

From the Weekend Report 12/26/2008: Since the previous week the phase of the oscillator around the 200 bar average is almost unchanged.

BGG: Recent Averages with Candlestick Chart.
General Market Conditions
Subscribe

More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for Briggs and Stratton:

This page looks at the predictive abilities of different methods of averaging applied to BGG stock prices. Techniques available include moving weighted or exponential averages of various periods and the family of MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicators.

Unfortunately, some of the most popular indicators of this type can prove to be the worst forcasting indicators. The next page tests the effectiveness of these methods as predictors of future prices for BGG.

Red is the 200 bar SMA and Green is the 20 bar average. The Simple Moving Averages above are un-weighted. While unsophisticated, they frequently yield better results than some of the more highly tuned methods examined in following sections. It is always possible to fine tune an exponential or other weighted average so that it seems to outperform a simple average in a given situation. However, over-tuning can increase false and misleading indicators. Norman G. Fosback has noted that legitimate signals of this sort will normally be evident through a variety of averaging methods.




Moving Average Convergence of Briggs and Stratton
Companies In the News
Friday, January 02, 2009: We have news on Verizon, ticker symbol VZ. A significant moving average event has happened. Also, there are breaking events concerning C.R. Bard, Inc. and Raytheon Company.

From the News Archive: (1/2/2009 ) Bad news came from Wisconsin Energy Corporation, Intel, AT and T, and Williams Companies, Inc..




MACD analysis would appear perfect for overtuning, since it may use any of an infinite number of averaging methods and coefficients. In addition to crossover signals from various moving averages, analysts frequently add a trigger line based on some average of the first two averages. Here we depict the results of 12 and 26 session Exponential Moving Averages. The exponential coefficient used here is .18. There is nothing magic about these parameters, but these are frequently seen.

Float the cursor for a longer term chart.

.
Moving Avg. 20/200 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 28 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.31 % minus 0.85 % = -0.55 %-4.64 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.02 % minus 0.17 % = -0.14 %-7.15 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.12 % minus 0.08 % = 0.03 %4.44 %
Sell Signals - 27 instances
Future30SesAvgClose -0.22 % minus 0.85 % = -1.07 %-9.05 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.93 % minus 0.17 % = -1.10 %-55.75 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.83 % minus 0.08 % = -0.91 %-115.30 %
.
Moving Avg. 5/20 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 157 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.85 % minus 0.85 % = 0.00 %-0.03 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.13 % minus 0.17 % = -0.04 %-1.87 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.20 % minus 0.08 % = 0.12 %15.09 %
Sell Signals - 158 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.98 % minus 0.85 % = 0.13 %1.07 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.17 % minus 0.17 % = 0.00 %-0.02 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.03 % minus 0.08 % = -0.05 %-6.63 %
.
Moving Avg. 5/200 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 39 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.27 % minus 0.85 % = -0.58 %-4.92 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.00 % minus 0.17 % = -0.17 %-8.47 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.09 % minus 0.08 % = 0.00 %0.54 %
Sell Signals - 38 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.52 % minus 0.85 % = 0.66 %5.62 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.21 % minus 0.17 % = 0.04 %2.16 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.15 % minus 0.08 % = -0.23 %-29.07 %
.
MACD 12/26 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 531 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.59 % minus 0.85 % = -0.26 %-2.19 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.08 % minus 0.17 % = -0.09 %-4.33 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.04 % minus 0.08 % = -0.12 %-15.61 %
Sell Signals - 531 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.73 % minus 0.85 % = -0.12 %-1.00 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.24 % minus 0.17 % = 0.07 %3.80 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.13 % minus 0.08 % = 0.04 %5.62 %
.
MACD 12/26 SignalSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 764 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.71 % minus 0.85 % = -0.14 %-1.18 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.19 % minus 0.17 % = 0.03 %1.43 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.09 % minus 0.08 % = 0.01 %1.56 %
Sell Signals - 763 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.63 % minus 0.85 % = -0.23 %-1.91 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.02 % minus 0.17 % = -0.14 %-7.17 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.05 % minus 0.08 % = -0.13 %-16.78 %
.
Calibrated M by Q Half Cycle Moving Avg.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 284 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.37 % minus 0.85 % = 0.52 %4.42 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.41 % minus 0.17 % = 0.25 %12.55 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.33 % minus 0.08 % = 0.25 %32.04 %
Sell Signals - 285 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.16 % minus 0.85 % = 0.31 %2.59 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.15 % minus 0.17 % = -0.01 %-0.56 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.05 % minus 0.08 % = -0.03 %-3.65 %
.
Calibrated M by Q Full Cycle Moving Avg.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 218 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.59 % minus 0.85 % = -0.26 %-2.18 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.19 % minus 0.17 % = 0.03 %1.37 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.14 % minus 0.08 % = 0.06 %7.65 %
Sell Signals - 219 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.70 % minus 0.85 % = -0.15 %-1.27 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.14 % minus 0.17 % = -0.03 %-1.55 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.06 % minus 0.08 % = -0.02 %-2.58 %
.
Projected Crossing of SMA 20/200.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 35 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.06 % minus 0.85 % = -0.79 %-6.68 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.06 % minus 0.17 % = -0.23 %-11.45 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.22 % minus 0.08 % = -0.30 %-38.03 %
Sell Signals - 37 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.31 % minus 0.85 % = 0.46 %3.88 %
Future5SesAvgClose 1.00 % minus 0.17 % = 0.83 %42.36 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.51 % minus 0.08 % = 0.42 %53.76 %
.
Projected Crossing of SMA 5/20.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 204 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.35 % minus 0.85 % = 0.50 %4.21 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.59 % minus 0.17 % = 0.43 %21.60 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.38 % minus 0.08 % = 0.29 %37.32 %
Sell Signals - 167 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.38 % minus 0.85 % = -0.47 %-3.99 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.46 % minus 0.17 % = 0.29 %14.73 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.52 % minus 0.08 % = 0.44 %55.79 %
.
The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 0.52 % from the Calibrated M by Q Half Cycle Moving Avg.,and the best sell signal for was -1.07 % from the Moving Avg. 20/200 Divergence.
For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 0.43 % from the Projected Crossing of SMA 5/20.,and the best sell signal was -1.10 % from the Moving Avg. 20/200 Divergence.
The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 0.29 % from the Projected Crossing of SMA 5/20.,and the best sell signal was -0.91 % from the Moving Avg. 20/200 Divergence.



Today's Free Reports | Meet the Analysts | Member Sign In | Stock-Predictions dot Com Home Page

For Subscribers: Advanced Analysis of the Price Behavior Surface for Briggs and Stratton

Detailed Average Level Analysis for BGG :



Contents of non-member pages are delayed. New information may have voided the predictions shown here. Associates of Stock-Predictions.Com or Hybrid Technical may hold positions in issues covered here.

Our Pledge of Independence: We do not utilize any reporting or analysis that comes directly or indirectly from brokerage or banking firms.

Note: Free pages are for entertainment and academic purposes only. We do not advise anyone to buy or sell stocks or funds. We do not recommend the purchase or sale of this or any other issue. Research shows that most people who trade securities will lose money. These reports are not to be used for stock-picking or investment decision support. Any such use is strictly prohibited. Charts are provided by permission from Hybrid Technical. All Rights Reserved. All Content is Copyright 2008 by Stock-Predictions.Com
This site and Hybrid Technical shall not be liable for any errors in the content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon.

Moving Average Analysis of - BGG