Moving Average Analysis of ED

From the largest and most comprehensive Analysis Site on the web.

Breaking News
Free Reports    MAT | MBI | MCK | MAR | CIEN | MAS | MDP | MI | CAH | MYL | MET
Look for another Symbol?
Can't find your Company?
 

From the Weekend Report 1/2/2009: The phase of the 200 day Simple Moving Average was hardly altered during the week.

Recent Averages with Candlestick Chart. of Consolidated Edison, Inc.
General Market Conditions

Subscribe

More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for Consolidated Edison, Inc.:

This page looks at the predictive abilities of different methods of averaging applied to ED stock prices. An infinite selection of moving average techniques is available, including but not limited to moving weighted and exponentional averages and MACD indicators of various flavors.

Unfortunately, some of the most popular indicators of this type can prove to be the worst forcasting indicators. The effectiveness of these methods as applied to ED stock price trend evaluation is tested on the next page.

The 200 session average is red, the 20 bar, green. The un-sophisticated moving averages plotted here are un-weighted, but they still may return better results than many of the more popular, highly tuned averages seen in some of the following sections. It is always possible to fine tune an exponential or other weighted average so that it seems to outperform a simple average in a given situation. However, over-tuning can increase false and misleading indicators. Norman Fosback pointed out that a legitimate signal should be one that is clearly evident through a variety of averaging methods.




Moving Average Convergence of Consolidated Edison, Inc.
Companies In the News
In the news, Friday, January 02, 2009: An unfavorable condition has developed with Comcast Corporation, ticker symbol CMCSA. Also, there are breaking events concerning Praxair, Inc. (PX) and Intel (INTC)



MACD analysis can use any of an infinite number of averaging methods and coefficients. Also, many analysts add a trigger line which is based on some average of the first two averages. Here we depict the results of 12 and 26 session Exponential Moving Averages. The exponential coefficient used here is .18. There is nothing magic about these parameters, but these are frequently seen.

Float the cursor for a longer term chart.

.
Moving Avg. 20/200 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 17 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.96 % minus 0.91 % = 1.05 %8.86 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.42 % minus 0.18 % = 0.24 %12.40 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.09 % minus 0.09 % = 0.00 %0.61 %
Sell Signals - 17 instances
Future30SesAvgClose -0.24 % minus 0.91 % = -1.16 %-9.79 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.13 % minus 0.18 % = -0.31 %-15.51 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.07 % minus 0.09 % = -0.16 %-20.40 %
.
Moving Avg. 5/20 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 190 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.07 % minus 0.91 % = 0.16 %1.35 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.22 % minus 0.18 % = 0.04 %2.02 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.14 % minus 0.09 % = 0.05 %6.31 %
Sell Signals - 191 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.11 % minus 0.91 % = 0.20 %1.68 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.30 % minus 0.18 % = 0.12 %6.13 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.21 % minus 0.09 % = 0.12 %15.76 %
.
Moving Avg. 5/200 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 35 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.12 % minus 0.91 % = 0.21 %1.76 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.19 % minus 0.18 % = 0.01 %0.48 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.21 % minus 0.09 % = 0.12 %14.78 %
Sell Signals - 34 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.02 % minus 0.91 % = -0.90 %-7.59 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.25 % minus 0.18 % = 0.07 %3.78 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.36 % minus 0.09 % = -0.45 %-56.91 %
.
MACD 12/26 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 676 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.93 % minus 0.91 % = 0.01 %0.12 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.19 % minus 0.18 % = 0.01 %0.62 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.06 % minus 0.09 % = -0.03 %-4.06 %
Sell Signals - 677 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.91 % minus 0.91 % = 0.00 %-0.04 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.16 % minus 0.18 % = -0.02 %-0.88 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.07 % minus 0.09 % = -0.01 %-1.83 %
.
MACD 12/26 SignalSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 898 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.95 % minus 0.91 % = 0.04 %0.33 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.19 % minus 0.18 % = 0.01 %0.55 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.11 % minus 0.09 % = 0.02 %2.09 %
Sell Signals - 897 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.99 % minus 0.91 % = 0.07 %0.62 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.16 % minus 0.18 % = -0.02 %-1.14 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.07 % minus 0.09 % = -0.02 %-2.49 %
.
Calibrated M by Q Half Cycle Moving Avg.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 366 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.43 % minus 0.91 % = 0.52 %4.39 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.29 % minus 0.18 % = 0.11 %5.44 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.14 % minus 0.09 % = 0.05 %6.47 %
Sell Signals - 366 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.38 % minus 0.91 % = 0.47 %3.98 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.29 % minus 0.18 % = 0.11 %5.81 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.17 % minus 0.09 % = 0.08 %10.50 %
.
Calibrated M by Q Full Cycle Moving Avg.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 221 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.24 % minus 0.91 % = 0.33 %2.78 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.31 % minus 0.18 % = 0.13 %6.45 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.16 % minus 0.09 % = 0.07 %8.74 %
Sell Signals - 222 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.04 % minus 0.91 % = 0.13 %1.08 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.12 % minus 0.18 % = -0.06 %-3.00 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.11 % minus 0.09 % = 0.02 %2.15 %
.
Projected Crossing of SMA 20/200.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 28 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.01 % minus 0.91 % = 0.10 %0.84 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.10 % minus 0.18 % = -0.28 %-14.08 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.10 % minus 0.09 % = 0.02 %2.04 %
Sell Signals - 26 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.24 % minus 0.91 % = -0.67 %-5.71 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.03 % minus 0.18 % = -0.21 %-10.75 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.06 % minus 0.09 % = -0.15 %-18.54 %
.
Projected Crossing of SMA 5/20.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 276 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.90 % minus 0.91 % = -0.01 %-0.10 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.34 % minus 0.18 % = 0.16 %8.25 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.18 % minus 0.09 % = 0.09 %11.80 %
Sell Signals - 179 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.10 % minus 0.91 % = 0.19 %1.59 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.13 % minus 0.18 % = -0.05 %-2.37 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.02 % minus 0.09 % = -0.07 %-8.52 %
.
The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 1.05 % from the Moving Avg. 20/200 Divergence,and the best sell signal for was -1.16 % from the Moving Avg. 20/200 Divergence.
For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 0.24 % from the Moving Avg. 20/200 Divergence,and the best sell signal was -0.31 % from the Moving Avg. 20/200 Divergence.
The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 0.12 % from the Moving Avg. 5/200 Divergence,and the best sell signal was -0.45 % from the Moving Avg. 5/200 Divergence.



Today's Free Reports | Meet the Analysts | Member Sign In | Stock-Predictions dot Com Home Page

For Subscribers: Advanced Analysis of the Price Behavior Surface for Consolidated Edison, Inc.

Detailed Average Level Analysis for ED :




Contents of non-member pages are delayed. New information may have voided the predictions shown here. Associates of Stock-Predictions.Com or Hybrid Technical may hold positions in issues covered here.

Our Pledge of Independence: We do not utilize any reporting or analysis that comes directly or indirectly from brokerage or banking firms.


Note: Free pages are for entertainment and academic purposes only. We do not advise anyone to buy or sell stocks or funds. We do not recommend the purchase or sale of this or any other issue. Research shows that most people who trade securities will lose money. These reports are not to be used for stock-picking or investment decision support. Any such use is strictly prohibited. Charts are provided by permission from Hybrid Technical. All Rights Reserved. All Content is Copyright 2008 by Stock-Predictions.Com
This site and Hybrid Technical shall not be liable for any errors in the content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon.

Moving Average Analysis for ED Stock Prices