Moving Average Indicators for FDX

From the largest and most comprehensive Analysis Site on the web.

Breaking News
Free Reports    CPN | PCZ | ITW | LOJN | NXTL | ALA | JCP | UIS | JDSU | HON | EXC
Look for another Symbol?
Can't find your Company?
 

From the Weekend Report 3/12/2010: Since the previous week the phase of the oscillator around the 200 bar average is almost unchanged.

FDX: Recent Averages with Candlestick Chart.
General Market Conditions
Subscribe

More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for Fedex:

Different ways of averaging are tested on FDX stock prices for their ability to predict trend movements. Techniques available include moving weighted or exponential averages of various periods and the family of MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicators.

Unfortunately, some of the most popular indicators of this type can prove to be the worst forcasting indicators. The effectiveness of these methods as applied to FDX stock price trend evaluation is tested on the next page.

Green is the 20 bar moving average, while the 200 session average is red. Often the simple unweighted moving averages seen in this plot will give a more accurate indicator, with fewer false signals than some of the supposedly more sophisticated techniques that we test below. It is always possible to fine tune an exponential or other weighted average so that it seems to outperform a simple average in a given situation. However, over-tuning can increase false and misleading indicators. A good un-ambiguous signal will be noticable through a variety of averaging methods, including some of the most simple.




Moving Average Convergence of Fedex
Companies In the News
Thursday, March 18, 2010: We have news on MicroSoft, ticker symbol MSFT. Signs of an over-bought condition have become noticable. Also, there are breaking events concerning Mylan Inc. and Goldman Sachs Group, Inc..

From the News Archive: (3/17/2010 ) Favorable events happened at LoJack Corp and Martha Stewart. Meanwhile, bad news came from Patterson Companies, Inc. and LSI Corporation.




MACD analysis would appear perfect for overtuning, since it may use any of an infinite number of averaging methods and coefficients. In addition to crossover signals from various moving averages, analysts frequently add a trigger line based on some average of the first two averages. Here we depict the results of 12 and 26 session Exponential Moving Averages. The exponential coefficient used here is .18. There is nothing magic about these parameters, but these are frequently seen.

Float the cursor for a longer term chart.

.
Moving Avg. 20/200 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 35 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.29 % minus 1.15 % = 0.14 %1.20 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.52 % minus 0.36 % = 0.15 %7.87 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.60 % minus 0.26 % = 0.34 %42.94 %
Sell Signals - 35 instances
Future30SesAvgClose -2.97 % minus 1.15 % = -4.12 %-34.87 %
Future5SesAvgClose -4.54 % minus 0.36 % = -4.90 %-248.91 %
Future2SesAvgClose -4.60 % minus 0.26 % = -4.86 %-617.71 %
.
Moving Avg. 5/20 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 203 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.26 % minus 1.15 % = 0.11 %0.93 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.89 % minus 0.36 % = 0.52 %26.63 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.20 % minus 0.26 % = -0.07 %-8.41 %
Sell Signals - 202 instances
Future30SesAvgClose -0.11 % minus 1.15 % = -1.26 %-10.68 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.84 % minus 0.36 % = -1.21 %-61.22 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.86 % minus 0.26 % = -1.13 %-142.92 %
.
Moving Avg. 5/200 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 58 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.86 % minus 1.15 % = -0.29 %-2.44 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.12 % minus 0.36 % = -0.24 %-12.31 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.12 % minus 0.26 % = -0.14 %-17.78 %
Sell Signals - 58 instances
Future30SesAvgClose -1.77 % minus 1.15 % = -2.92 %-24.75 %
Future5SesAvgClose -2.81 % minus 0.36 % = -3.17 %-161.03 %
Future2SesAvgClose -2.83 % minus 0.26 % = -3.10 %-393.34 %
.
MACD 12/26 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 674 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.85 % minus 1.15 % = -0.30 %-2.52 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.04 % minus 0.36 % = -0.40 %-20.39 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.16 % minus 0.26 % = -0.43 %-54.18 %
Sell Signals - 673 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.12 % minus 1.15 % = -0.03 %-0.22 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.27 % minus 0.36 % = -0.09 %-4.44 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.11 % minus 0.26 % = -0.16 %-20.00 %
.
MACD 12/26 SignalSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 940 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.13 % minus 1.15 % = -0.02 %-0.15 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.28 % minus 0.36 % = -0.08 %-4.30 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.17 % minus 0.26 % = -0.09 %-11.99 %
Sell Signals - 940 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.09 % minus 1.15 % = -0.06 %-0.49 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.29 % minus 0.36 % = -0.07 %-3.77 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.39 % minus 0.26 % = 0.12 %15.48 %
.
Calibrated M by Q Half Cycle Moving Avg.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 364 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.80 % minus 1.15 % = -0.35 %-2.93 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.01 % minus 0.36 % = -0.35 %-17.86 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.46 % minus 0.26 % = -0.73 %-92.40 %
Sell Signals - 365 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.35 % minus 1.15 % = 0.20 %1.68 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.47 % minus 0.36 % = 0.11 %5.58 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.12 % minus 0.26 % = -0.38 %-48.18 %
.
Calibrated M by Q Full Cycle Moving Avg.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 218 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.57 % minus 1.15 % = -0.58 %-4.87 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.62 % minus 0.36 % = -0.98 %-49.91 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.54 % minus 0.26 % = -0.81 %-102.47 %
Sell Signals - 219 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.03 % minus 1.15 % = -0.11 %-0.97 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.72 % minus 0.36 % = 0.36 %18.30 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.09 % minus 0.26 % = -0.17 %-21.54 %
.
Projected Crossing of SMA 20/200.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 43 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.86 % minus 1.15 % = -0.29 %-2.44 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.01 % minus 0.36 % = -0.38 %-19.06 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.27 % minus 0.26 % = -0.53 %-67.38 %
Sell Signals - 37 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 2.17 % minus 1.15 % = 1.02 %8.68 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.26 % minus 0.36 % = -0.10 %-5.09 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.05 % minus 0.26 % = -0.22 %-27.65 %
.
Projected Crossing of SMA 5/20.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 249 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.40 % minus 1.15 % = 0.26 %2.16 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.28 % minus 0.36 % = -0.08 %-4.08 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.02 % minus 0.26 % = -0.28 %-35.95 %
Sell Signals - 214 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.80 % minus 1.15 % = -0.35 %-3.00 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.34 % minus 0.36 % = -0.02 %-1.02 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.33 % minus 0.26 % = 0.07 %8.35 %
.
The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 0.26 % from the Projected Crossing of SMA 5/20.,and the best sell signal for was -4.12 % from the Moving Avg. 20/200 Divergence.
For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 0.52 % from the Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence,and the best sell signal was -4.90 % from the Moving Avg. 20/200 Divergence.
The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 0.34 % from the Moving Avg. 20/200 Divergence,and the best sell signal was -4.86 % from the Moving Avg. 20/200 Divergence.



Today's Free Reports | Meet the Analysts | Member Sign In | Stock-Predictions dot Com Home Page

For Subscribers: Advanced Analysis of the Price Behavior Surface for Fedex

Detailed Average Level Analysis for FDX :



Contents of non-member pages are delayed. New information may have voided the predictions shown here. Associates of Stock-Predictions.Com or Hybrid Technical may hold positions in issues covered here.

Our Pledge of Independence: We do not utilize any reporting or analysis that comes directly or indirectly from brokerage or banking firms.

Note: Free pages are for entertainment and academic purposes only. We do not advise anyone to buy or sell stocks or funds. We do not recommend the purchase or sale of this or any other issue. Research shows that most people who trade securities will lose money. These reports are not to be used for stock-picking or investment decision support. Any such use is strictly prohibited. Charts are provided by permission from Hybrid Technical. All Rights Reserved. All Content is Copyright 2008 by Stock-Predictions.Com
This site and Hybrid Technical shall not be liable for any errors in the content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon.

Moving Average Convergence for Fedex Stock Prices - FDX