Moving Average Indicators for GLW

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From the Weekend Report 11/12/2010: GLW is now in phase two of the oscillation cycle around the 200 session average. The price is 2.00 % above the line, but some convergence has taken place during the week.

GLW:  Recent Averages with Candlestick Chart.
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Different ways of averaging are tested on GLW stock prices for their ability to predict trend movements. Techniques available include moving weighted or exponential averages of various periods and the family of MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicators.

Unfortunately, some of the most popular indicators of this type can prove to be the worst forcasting indicators. The next page tests the effectiveness of these methods as predictors of future prices for GLW.

The 200 session average is red, the 20 bar, green. The un-sophisticated moving averages plotted here are un-weighted, but they still may return better results than many of the more popular, highly tuned averages seen in some of the following sections. It is always possible to fine tune an exponential or other weighted average so that it seems to outperform a simple average in a given situation. However, over-tuning can increase false and misleading indicators. Norman G. Fosback has noted that legitimate signals of this sort will normally be evident through a variety of averaging methods.




Moving Average Convergence of Corning
Companies In the News
Monday, November 15, 2010: We have news on PG&E Corporation, ticker symbol PCG. A significant moving average event has happened. Also, there are breaking events concerning Cree, Inc. and Abbott Laboratories.

From the News Archive: (11/12/2010 ) A favorable event happened at PetSmart, Inc. Meanwhile, bad news came from Intel, Chesapeake Energy Corporation, and JP Morgan Chase.




MACD analysis can use any of an infinite number of averaging methods and coefficients. Also, many analysts add a trigger line which is based on some average of the first two averages. Here we depict the results of 12 and 26 session Exponential Moving Averages. The exponential coefficient used here is .18. There is nothing magic about these parameters, but these are frequently seen.

Float the cursor for a longer term chart.

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Moving Avg. 20/200 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 22 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 2.25 % minus 1.32 % = 0.93 %7.86 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.25 % minus 0.25 % = 0.00 %-0.22 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.17 % minus 0.12 % = -0.30 %-37.84 %
Sell Signals - 21 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.32 % minus 1.32 % = -0.01 %-0.06 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.10 % minus 0.25 % = -0.15 %-7.77 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.29 % minus 0.12 % = 0.17 %21.42 %
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Moving Avg. 5/20 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 209 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.07 % minus 1.32 % = -0.26 %-2.17 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.01 % minus 0.25 % = -0.24 %-12.24 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.08 % minus 0.12 % = -0.05 %-5.98 %
Sell Signals - 210 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.93 % minus 1.32 % = -0.39 %-3.34 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.32 % minus 0.25 % = 0.07 %3.73 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.30 % minus 0.12 % = 0.17 %22.07 %
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Moving Avg. 5/200 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 42 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.35 % minus 1.32 % = 0.03 %0.25 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.52 % minus 0.25 % = 0.27 %13.90 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.43 % minus 0.12 % = 0.30 %38.39 %
Sell Signals - 41 instances
Future30SesAvgClose -0.42 % minus 1.32 % = -1.74 %-14.71 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.77 % minus 0.25 % = -1.02 %-51.61 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.32 % minus 0.12 % = -0.45 %-57.04 %
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MACD 12/26 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 634 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.57 % minus 1.32 % = 0.25 %2.10 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.32 % minus 0.25 % = 0.07 %3.47 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.28 % minus 0.12 % = 0.15 %19.68 %
Sell Signals - 635 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.71 % minus 1.32 % = 0.39 %3.29 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.47 % minus 0.25 % = 0.22 %11.20 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.24 % minus 0.12 % = 0.11 %14.28 %
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MACD 12/26 SignalSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 887 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.33 % minus 1.32 % = 0.01 %0.07 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.24 % minus 0.25 % = -0.01 %-0.37 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.12 % minus 0.12 % = -0.01 %-0.82 %
Sell Signals - 887 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.20 % minus 1.32 % = -0.12 %-1.01 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.21 % minus 0.25 % = -0.04 %-2.05 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.15 % minus 0.12 % = 0.03 %3.18 %
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Calibrated M by Q Half Cycle Moving Avg.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 368 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.90 % minus 1.32 % = 0.57 %4.86 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.74 % minus 0.25 % = 0.49 %25.10 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.50 % minus 0.12 % = 0.38 %47.82 %
Sell Signals - 368 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.65 % minus 1.32 % = 0.32 %2.75 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.25 % minus 0.25 % = 0.00 %0.10 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.05 % minus 0.12 % = -0.08 %-9.92 %
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Calibrated M by Q Full Cycle Moving Avg.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 241 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 2.50 % minus 1.32 % = 1.18 %9.99 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.56 % minus 0.25 % = 0.31 %15.80 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.33 % minus 0.12 % = 0.21 %26.54 %
Sell Signals - 241 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 2.18 % minus 1.32 % = 0.86 %7.29 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.26 % minus 0.25 % = 0.01 %0.39 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.08 % minus 0.12 % = -0.21 %-26.29 %
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Projected Crossing of SMA 20/200.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 29 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.55 % minus 1.32 % = 0.22 %1.90 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.18 % minus 0.25 % = -0.07 %-3.69 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.46 % minus 0.12 % = -0.58 %-74.12 %
Sell Signals - 28 instances
Future30SesAvgClose -0.07 % minus 1.32 % = -1.40 %-11.82 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.25 % minus 0.25 % = -0.50 %-25.23 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.11 % minus 0.12 % = -0.23 %-29.58 %
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Projected Crossing of SMA 5/20.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 244 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.64 % minus 1.32 % = -0.68 %-5.78 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.08 % minus 0.25 % = -0.17 %-8.65 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.04 % minus 0.12 % = -0.16 %-20.47 %
Sell Signals - 198 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.45 % minus 1.32 % = 0.13 %1.08 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.73 % minus 0.25 % = 0.48 %24.33 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.43 % minus 0.12 % = 0.30 %38.72 %
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The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 1.18 % from the Calibrated M by Q Full Cycle Moving Avg.,and the best sell signal for was -1.74 % from the Moving Avg. 5/200 Divergence.
For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 0.49 % from the Calibrated M by Q Half Cycle Moving Avg.,and the best sell signal was -1.02 % from the Moving Avg. 5/200 Divergence.
The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 0.38 % from the Calibrated M by Q Half Cycle Moving Avg.,and the best sell signal was -0.45 % from the Moving Avg. 5/200 Divergence.



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Moving Average Analysis for GLW Stock Prices