Moving Average Indicators for MTB

From the largest and most comprehensive Analysis Site on the web.

From the Weekend Report 2/26/2010: There has not been much change in the phase of the 200 day moving average since this time last week.

Recent Averages with Candlestick Chart. of M&T Bank Corporation

More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for M&T Bank Corporation:

Predictions

Support and Resistance

Price Behavior Surfaces

Frequency Analysis

Japanese CandleSticks

Technical Oscillators

Sliding Stops

Stratification Analysis

Politics and Prices

Classical Time Series

Historical Volume

Bernoulli Analysis

Momentum Investing

Sentiment

Back to MTB Table of Contents

Different ways of averaging are tested on MTB stock prices for their ability to predict trend movements. An infinite selection of moving average techniques is available, including but not limited to moving weighted and exponentional averages and MACD indicators of various flavors.

Unfortunately, some of the most popular indicators of this type can prove to be the worst forcasting indicators. The effectiveness of these methods as applied to MTB stock price trend evaluation is tested on the next page.

The 200 session average is red, the 20 bar, green. The un-sophisticated moving averages plotted here are un-weighted, but they still may return better results than many of the more popular, highly tuned averages seen in some of the following sections. Commonly, speculators will use exponential averages or weighting techniques to emphasize the most recent data. But past a certain point, such front weighting can dramatically increase false signals. Norman Fosback pointed out that a legitimate signal should be one that is clearly evident through a variety of averaging methods.

Moving Average Convergence of M&T Bank Corporation

	Companies In the News
	In the news, Thursday, March 18, 2010: An unfavorable condition has developed with Nike Footwear, ticker symbol NKE. Also, there are breaking events concerning Dupont (DD) and Mylan Inc. (MYL)

MACD analysis can use any of an infinite number of averaging methods and coefficients. Also, many analysts add a trigger line which is based on some average of the first two averages. Here we depict the results of 12 and 26 session Exponential Moving Averages. The exponential coefficient used here is .18. There is nothing magic about these parameters, but these are frequently seen.

Float the cursor for a longer term chart.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence, or MACD, produces buy or sell signal that are color tinted here.

	.
Moving Avg. 20/200 Divergence	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 16 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-1.54 % minus 1.04 % = -2.58 %	-21.87 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.22 % minus 0.21 % = 0.01 %	0.72 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.70 % minus 0.10 % = 0.59 %	75.27 %
Sell Signals - 16 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.19 % minus 1.04 % = -0.85 %	-7.21 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.28 % minus 0.21 % = 1.07 %	54.47 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.86 % minus 0.10 % = 0.76 %	95.94 %
	.
Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 122 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.43 % minus 1.04 % = 0.39 %	3.28 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.19 % minus 0.21 % = -0.02 %	-1.04 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.05 % minus 0.10 % = -0.06 %	-7.10 %
Sell Signals - 123 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.30 % minus 1.04 % = 0.26 %	2.23 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.05 % minus 0.21 % = -0.16 %	-8.15 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.03 % minus 0.10 % = -0.08 %	-9.96 %
	.
Moving Avg. 5/200 Divergence	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 28 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-0.53 % minus 1.04 % = -1.57 %	-13.27 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.42 % minus 0.21 % = 0.21 %	10.79 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.07 % minus 0.10 % = -0.03 %	-4.04 %
Sell Signals - 28 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-1.87 % minus 1.04 % = -2.91 %	-24.63 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.61 % minus 0.21 % = -0.82 %	-41.71 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.38 % minus 0.10 % = -0.48 %	-61.25 %
	.
MACD 12/26 Divergence	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 435 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.95 % minus 1.04 % = -0.09 %	-0.79 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.15 % minus 0.21 % = -0.05 %	-2.72 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.07 % minus 0.10 % = -0.03 %	-4.30 %
Sell Signals - 436 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.04 % minus 1.04 % = 0.00 %	0.00 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.25 % minus 0.21 % = 0.04 %	2.23 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.19 % minus 0.10 % = 0.09 %	11.15 %
	.
MACD 12/26 Signal	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 586 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.71 % minus 1.04 % = -0.33 %	-2.79 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.16 % minus 0.21 % = -0.05 %	-2.32 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.09 % minus 0.10 % = -0.02 %	-2.02 %
Sell Signals - 585 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.63 % minus 1.04 % = -0.41 %	-3.47 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.06 % minus 0.21 % = -0.15 %	-7.43 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.02 % minus 0.10 % = -0.12 %	-15.46 %
	.
Calibrated M by Q Half Cycle Moving Avg.	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 223 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.08 % minus 1.04 % = 0.04 %	0.38 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.16 % minus 0.21 % = -0.05 %	-2.58 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.10 % minus 0.10 % = -0.01 %	-0.83 %
Sell Signals - 222 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.99 % minus 1.04 % = -0.04 %	-0.37 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.09 % minus 0.21 % = -0.11 %	-5.80 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.04 % minus 0.10 % = -0.06 %	-7.85 %
	.
Calibrated M by Q Full Cycle Moving Avg.	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 157 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.51 % minus 1.04 % = 0.47 %	4.02 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.26 % minus 0.21 % = 0.06 %	2.83 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.09 % minus 0.10 % = -0.02 %	-2.32 %
Sell Signals - 157 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.58 % minus 1.04 % = 0.54 %	4.58 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.28 % minus 0.21 % = 0.08 %	3.83 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.26 % minus 0.10 % = 0.15 %	19.52 %
	.
Projected Crossing of SMA 20/200.	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 19 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-0.48 % minus 1.04 % = -1.52 %	-12.84 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.50 % minus 0.21 % = 0.29 %	14.95 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.04 % minus 0.10 % = -0.06 %	-7.66 %
Sell Signals - 24 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-1.44 % minus 1.04 % = -2.48 %	-20.99 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-1.24 % minus 0.21 % = -1.45 %	-73.65 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.88 % minus 0.10 % = -0.98 %	-124.86 %
	.
Projected Crossing of SMA 5/20.	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 155 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.66 % minus 1.04 % = -0.38 %	-3.22 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.09 % minus 0.21 % = -0.12 %	-5.92 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.15 % minus 0.10 % = 0.04 %	5.61 %
Sell Signals - 120 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.07 % minus 1.04 % = 0.03 %	0.26 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.22 % minus 0.21 % = 0.02 %	0.79 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.13 % minus 0.10 % = 0.02 %	2.96 %
	.

The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 0.47 % from the Calibrated M by Q Full Cycle Moving Avg.,and the best sell signal for was -2.91 % from the Moving Avg. 5/200 Divergence.

For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 0.29 % from the Projected Crossing of SMA 20/200.,and the best sell signal was -1.45 % from the Projected Crossing of SMA 20/200..

The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 0.59 % from the Moving Avg. 20/200 Divergence,and the best sell signal was -0.98 % from the Projected Crossing of SMA 20/200..

Today's Free Reports | Meet the Analysts | Member Sign In | Stock-Predictions dot Com Home Page

For Subscribers: Advanced Analysis of the Price Behavior Surface for M&T Bank Corporation

Detailed Average Level Analysis for MTB :

Contents of non-member pages are delayed. New information may have voided the predictions shown here. Associates of Stock-Predictions.Com or Hybrid Technical may hold positions in issues covered here.

Our Pledge of Independence: We do not utilize any reporting or analysis that comes directly or indirectly from brokerage or banking firms.

Note: Free pages are for entertainment and academic purposes only. We do not advise anyone to buy or sell stocks or funds. We do not recommend the purchase or sale of this or any other issue. Research shows that most people who trade securities will lose money. These reports are not to be used for stock-picking or investment decision support. Any such use is strictly prohibited. Charts are provided by permission from Hybrid Technical. All Rights Reserved. All Content is Copyright 2008 by Stock-Predictions.Com

This site and Hybrid Technical shall not be liable for any errors in the content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon.