Moving Average Analysis of TYC

From the largest and most comprehensive Analysis Site on the web.

Breaking News
Free Reports    HOT | RRD | RSH | HOG | IR | ISRG | HRS | HST | RTN | FRX | FTR
Look for another Symbol?
Can't find your Company?
 

From the Weekend Report 6/26/2009: There has not been much change in the phase of the 200 day moving average since this time last week.

TYC: Recent Averages with Candlestick Chart.
General Market Conditions
Subscribe

More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for Tyco:

Different ways of averaging are tested on TYC stock prices for their ability to predict trend movements. An infinite selection of moving average techniques is available, including but not limited to moving weighted and exponentional averages and MACD indicators of various flavors.

Unfortunately, some of the most popular indicators of this type can prove to be the worst forcasting indicators. The next page tests the effectiveness of these methods as predictors of future prices for TYC.

The 200 session average is red, the 20 bar, green. The un-sophisticated moving averages plotted here are un-weighted, but they still may return better results than many of the more popular, highly tuned averages seen in some of the following sections. Commonly, speculators will use exponential averages or weighting techniques to emphasize the most recent data. But past a certain point, such front weighting can dramatically increase false signals. Norman G. Fosback has noted that legitimate signals of this sort will normally be evident through a variety of averaging methods.




TYC: Moving Average Convergence
Companies In the News
Wednesday, July 01, 2009: We have news on Pitney Bowes Inc., ticker symbol PBI. A significant moving average event has happened. Also, there are breaking events concerning Public Service Enterprise Group Inc. and Pinnacle West Capital Corporation.

From the News Archive: (7/1/2009 ) A favorable event happened at The Travelers Companies, Inc.. Meanwhile, bad news came from Fiserv, Inc., MeadWestvaco Corp., and Nicor Inc..




MACD analysis is dangerously suited for overtuning, since it may use any of an infinite number of averaging methods and coefficients. In addition to crossover signals based on moving averages, many analysts add a trigger line which is based on some average of the first two averages. Here we depict the results of 12 and 26 session Exponential Moving Averages. The exponential coefficient used here is .18. There is nothing magic about these parameters, but these are frequently seen.

Float the cursor for a longer term chart.

.
Moving Avg. 20/200 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 24 instances
Future30SesAvgClose -1.12 % minus 0.83 % = -1.95 %-16.52 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.29 % minus 0.17 % = -0.46 %-23.55 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.50 % minus 0.09 % = -0.59 %-74.69 %
Sell Signals - 23 instances
Future30SesAvgClose -0.60 % minus 0.83 % = -1.43 %-12.09 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.05 % minus 0.17 % = -0.12 %-6.09 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.12 % minus 0.09 % = 0.03 %3.68 %
.
Moving Avg. 5/20 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 160 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.60 % minus 0.83 % = -0.23 %-1.95 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.13 % minus 0.17 % = -0.30 %-15.40 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.02 % minus 0.09 % = -0.07 %-8.38 %
Sell Signals - 160 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.47 % minus 0.83 % = -0.36 %-3.04 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.28 % minus 0.17 % = -0.45 %-22.98 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.18 % minus 0.09 % = -0.27 %-34.36 %
.
Moving Avg. 5/200 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 33 instances
Future30SesAvgClose -0.60 % minus 0.83 % = -1.43 %-12.11 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.37 % minus 0.17 % = -0.54 %-27.52 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.67 % minus 0.09 % = -0.76 %-95.93 %
Sell Signals - 32 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.27 % minus 0.83 % = -0.55 %-4.70 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.21 % minus 0.17 % = 0.03 %1.70 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.14 % minus 0.09 % = 0.05 %6.11 %
.
MACD 12/26 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 482 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.13 % minus 0.83 % = 0.30 %2.53 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.24 % minus 0.17 % = 0.06 %3.29 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.14 % minus 0.09 % = 0.05 %5.95 %
Sell Signals - 483 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.33 % minus 0.83 % = 0.50 %4.21 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.31 % minus 0.17 % = 0.13 %6.75 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.17 % minus 0.09 % = 0.08 %10.16 %
.
MACD 12/26 SignalSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 647 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.76 % minus 0.83 % = -0.07 %-0.58 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.09 % minus 0.17 % = -0.08 %-4.09 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.01 % minus 0.09 % = -0.08 %-9.74 %
Sell Signals - 646 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.77 % minus 0.83 % = -0.05 %-0.46 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.09 % minus 0.17 % = -0.09 %-4.35 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.16 % minus 0.09 % = 0.07 %9.48 %
.
Calibrated M by Q Half Cycle Moving Avg.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 302 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.51 % minus 0.83 % = 0.68 %5.79 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.44 % minus 0.17 % = 0.27 %13.73 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.17 % minus 0.09 % = 0.08 %10.32 %
Sell Signals - 301 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.59 % minus 0.83 % = 0.76 %6.46 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.42 % minus 0.17 % = 0.25 %12.48 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.17 % minus 0.09 % = 0.08 %10.13 %
.
Calibrated M by Q Full Cycle Moving Avg.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 177 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.69 % minus 0.83 % = 0.86 %7.29 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.46 % minus 0.17 % = 0.29 %14.61 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.20 % minus 0.09 % = 0.11 %13.98 %
Sell Signals - 177 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.46 % minus 0.83 % = 0.63 %5.33 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.49 % minus 0.17 % = 0.32 %16.13 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.22 % minus 0.09 % = 0.13 %16.59 %
.
Projected Crossing of SMA 20/200.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 28 instances
Future30SesAvgClose -0.51 % minus 0.83 % = -1.34 %-11.36 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.10 % minus 0.17 % = -0.27 %-13.94 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.44 % minus 0.09 % = 0.35 %45.07 %
Sell Signals - 25 instances
Future30SesAvgClose -1.17 % minus 0.83 % = -1.99 %-16.88 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.62 % minus 0.17 % = 0.45 %22.64 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.46 % minus 0.09 % = 0.37 %46.87 %
.
Projected Crossing of SMA 5/20.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 203 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.12 % minus 0.83 % = -0.70 %-5.96 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.08 % minus 0.17 % = -0.25 %-12.90 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.02 % minus 0.09 % = -0.11 %-14.33 %
Sell Signals - 154 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.20 % minus 0.83 % = 0.37 %3.16 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.39 % minus 0.17 % = 0.22 %10.98 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.26 % minus 0.09 % = 0.17 %22.21 %
.
The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 0.86 % from the Calibrated M by Q Full Cycle Moving Avg.,and the best sell signal for was -1.99 % from the Projected Crossing of SMA 20/200..
For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 0.29 % from the Calibrated M by Q Full Cycle Moving Avg.,and the best sell signal was -0.45 % from the Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence.
The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 0.35 % from the Projected Crossing of SMA 20/200.,and the best sell signal was -0.27 % from the Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence.



Today's Free Reports | Meet the Analysts | Member Sign In | Stock-Predictions dot Com Home Page

For Subscribers: Advanced Analysis of the Price Behavior Surface for Tyco

Detailed Average Level Analysis for TYC :



Contents of non-member pages are delayed. New information may have voided the predictions shown here. Associates of Stock-Predictions.Com or Hybrid Technical may hold positions in issues covered here.

Our Pledge of Independence: We do not utilize any reporting or analysis that comes directly or indirectly from brokerage or banking firms.

Note: Free pages are for entertainment and academic purposes only. We do not advise anyone to buy or sell stocks or funds. We do not recommend the purchase or sale of this or any other issue. Research shows that most people who trade securities will lose money. These reports are not to be used for stock-picking or investment decision support. Any such use is strictly prohibited. Charts are provided by permission from Hybrid Technical. All Rights Reserved. All Content is Copyright 2008 by Stock-Predictions.Com
This site and Hybrid Technical shall not be liable for any errors in the content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon.

Moving Average Indicators for Tyco