Moving Average Indicators for UTX

From the largest and most comprehensive Analysis Site on the web.

Breaking News
Free Reports    JWN | CPN | PG | DBD | DIS | UAL | HON | BAC | SNDK | BGG | MSO
Look for another Symbol?
Can't find your Company?
 

From the Weekend Report 2/5/2010: UTX is now in phase two of the oscillation cycle around the 200 session average. The price is 11.00 % above the line, but some convergence has taken place during the week.

Recent Averages with Candlestick Chart. of United Technologies
General Market Conditions
Subscribe

More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for United Technologies:

This page looks at the predictive abilities of different methods of averaging applied to UTX stock prices. Techniques available include moving weighted or exponential averages of various periods and the family of MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicators.

Unfortunately, some of the most popular indicators of this type can prove to be the worst forcasting indicators. The next page tests the effectiveness of these methods as predictors of future prices for UTX.

Red is the 200 bar SMA and Green is the 20 bar average. The Simple Moving Averages above are un-weighted. While unsophisticated, they frequently yield better results than some of the more highly tuned methods examined in following sections. Commonly, speculators will use exponential averages or weighting techniques to emphasize the most recent data. But past a certain point, such front weighting can dramatically increase false signals. A good un-ambiguous signal will be noticable through a variety of averaging methods, including some of the most simple.




Moving Average Convergence of United Technologies
Companies In the News
Monday, February 08, 2010: We have news on Nicor Inc., ticker symbol GAS. Some signs of an over-sold condition have become evident. Also, there are breaking events concerning American International Group, Inc. and MicroSoft.

From the News Archive: (2/4/2010 ) Favorable events happened at Illinois Tool Works Inc., Polo Ralph Lauren Corporation, and Briggs and Stratton. Meanwhile, bad news came from Eastman Kodak.




MACD analysis can use any of an infinite number of averaging methods and coefficients. Also, many analysts add a trigger line which is based on some average of the first two averages. Here we depict the results of 12 and 26 session Exponential Moving Averages. The exponential coefficient used here is .18. There is nothing magic about these parameters, but these are frequently seen.

Float the cursor for a longer term chart.

.
Moving Avg. 20/200 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 23 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.46 % minus 1.03 % = 0.43 %3.66 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.67 % minus 0.21 % = 0.46 %23.38 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.24 % minus 0.10 % = 0.14 %17.31 %
Sell Signals - 23 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.89 % minus 1.03 % = 0.86 %7.27 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.30 % minus 0.21 % = -0.50 %-25.55 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.59 % minus 0.10 % = -0.69 %-87.63 %
.
Moving Avg. 5/20 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 204 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.78 % minus 1.03 % = -0.26 %-2.16 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.13 % minus 0.21 % = -0.08 %-4.06 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.03 % minus 0.10 % = -0.07 %-8.74 %
Sell Signals - 204 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.85 % minus 1.03 % = -0.18 %-1.56 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.11 % minus 0.21 % = -0.09 %-4.75 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.04 % minus 0.10 % = -0.06 %-7.97 %
.
Moving Avg. 5/200 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 47 instances
Future30SesAvgClose -0.04 % minus 1.03 % = -1.08 %-9.11 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.34 % minus 0.21 % = -0.55 %-27.73 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.06 % minus 0.10 % = -0.16 %-20.64 %
Sell Signals - 47 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.12 % minus 1.03 % = -0.92 %-7.75 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.49 % minus 0.21 % = -0.70 %-35.55 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.27 % minus 0.10 % = -0.38 %-47.96 %
.
MACD 12/26 DivergenceSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 745 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.86 % minus 1.03 % = -0.18 %-1.49 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.13 % minus 0.21 % = -0.07 %-3.65 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.05 % minus 0.10 % = -0.05 %-6.35 %
Sell Signals - 745 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.88 % minus 1.03 % = -0.15 %-1.27 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.18 % minus 0.21 % = -0.03 %-1.30 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.14 % minus 0.10 % = 0.03 %4.30 %
.
MACD 12/26 SignalSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 992 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.84 % minus 1.03 % = -0.20 %-1.65 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.12 % minus 0.21 % = -0.09 %-4.54 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.08 % minus 0.10 % = -0.03 %-3.32 %
Sell Signals - 991 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.88 % minus 1.03 % = -0.15 %-1.31 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.13 % minus 0.21 % = -0.08 %-3.95 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.06 % minus 0.10 % = -0.04 %-5.29 %
.
Calibrated M by Q Half Cycle Moving Avg.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 394 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.03 % minus 1.03 % = 0.00 %-0.04 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.36 % minus 0.21 % = 0.16 %8.00 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.31 % minus 0.10 % = 0.20 %25.75 %
Sell Signals - 393 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.09 % minus 1.03 % = 0.06 %0.52 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.38 % minus 0.21 % = 0.17 %8.66 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.24 % minus 0.10 % = 0.14 %17.68 %
.
Calibrated M by Q Full Cycle Moving Avg.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 264 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.88 % minus 1.03 % = -0.15 %-1.26 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.12 % minus 0.21 % = -0.08 %-4.27 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.13 % minus 0.10 % = 0.03 %4.00 %
Sell Signals - 264 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.97 % minus 1.03 % = -0.07 %-0.56 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.26 % minus 0.21 % = 0.06 %2.86 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.18 % minus 0.10 % = 0.08 %9.57 %
.
Projected Crossing of SMA 20/200.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 38 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.47 % minus 1.03 % = 0.43 %3.68 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.37 % minus 0.21 % = 0.17 %8.61 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.17 % minus 0.10 % = 0.07 %8.38 %
Sell Signals - 25 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.76 % minus 1.03 % = -0.27 %-2.28 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.42 % minus 0.21 % = -0.63 %-31.86 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.16 % minus 0.10 % = -0.26 %-32.87 %
.
Projected Crossing of SMA 5/20.Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 277 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.13 % minus 1.03 % = 0.10 %0.83 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.48 % minus 0.21 % = 0.28 %13.99 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.25 % minus 0.10 % = 0.15 %18.88 %
Sell Signals - 204 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.97 % minus 1.03 % = -0.07 %-0.55 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.24 % minus 0.21 % = 0.04 %1.83 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.22 % minus 0.10 % = 0.11 %14.25 %
.
The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 0.43 % from the Projected Crossing of SMA 20/200.,and the best sell signal for was -0.92 % from the Moving Avg. 5/200 Divergence.
For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 0.46 % from the Moving Avg. 20/200 Divergence,and the best sell signal was -0.70 % from the Moving Avg. 5/200 Divergence.
The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 0.20 % from the Calibrated M by Q Half Cycle Moving Avg.,and the best sell signal was -0.69 % from the Moving Avg. 20/200 Divergence.



Today's Free Reports | Meet the Analysts | Member Sign In | Stock-Predictions dot Com Home Page

For Subscribers: Advanced Analysis of the Price Behavior Surface for United Technologies

Detailed Average Level Analysis for UTX :



Contents of non-member pages are delayed. New information may have voided the predictions shown here. Associates of Stock-Predictions.Com or Hybrid Technical may hold positions in issues covered here.

Our Pledge of Independence: We do not utilize any reporting or analysis that comes directly or indirectly from brokerage or banking firms.

Note: Free pages are for entertainment and academic purposes only. We do not advise anyone to buy or sell stocks or funds. We do not recommend the purchase or sale of this or any other issue. Research shows that most people who trade securities will lose money. These reports are not to be used for stock-picking or investment decision support. Any such use is strictly prohibited. Charts are provided by permission from Hybrid Technical. All Rights Reserved. All Content is Copyright 2008 by Stock-Predictions.Com
This site and Hybrid Technical shall not be liable for any errors in the content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon.

Moving Average Indicators for United Technologies