Analytic Oscillators for Allegheny Energy, Inc. Stock Prices - AYE

From the Weekend Report 6/26/2009: Conditions are becoming more favorable, according to the 14 bar Wilder RSI, but the values are in the middle of the range, indicating this issue is probably near the fair price for the time being. The general RSI remains in the same range as last week, with a small favorable drift.

AYE: Wilder's RSI with Candlestick Chart.

Wilder's RSI is depicted by the black line. The axis on the left marks it's values from 0 to 100. Ordinarily it will be in the range between 70 and 30. When it breaks out, say, below 20 or above about 80, the event is taken as a buy or sell signal.

Float the cursor over the graph for a longer view of this Indicator.

The traditional Wilder RSI uses a period of 14 trading sessions. The number 14 represents a half cycle of what he believed to be a 28 session wave. This estimate seems pretty accurate even in today's markets. However it is also possible to calibrate the period to the short term frequency of an individual stock issue, which is what is done in the following chapter.

More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for Allegheny Energy, Inc.:

Predictions

Support and Resistance

Price Behavior Surfaces

Frequency Analysis

Japanese CandleSticks

Moving Averages

Stratification Analysis

Politics and Prices

Classical Time Series

Bernoulli Analysis

Sentiment

Back to AYE Table of Contents

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Wilder's 7 Day RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 80 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.58 % minus 0.81 % = 0.77 %	6.48 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.27 % minus 0.15 % = 0.12 %	6.07 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.31 % minus 0.07 % = 0.24 %	29.87 %
Sell Signals - 65 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.36 % minus 0.81 % = -0.45 %	-3.85 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.07 % minus 0.15 % = -0.22 %	-11.01 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.21 % minus 0.07 % = 0.13 %	16.85 %
	.
Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 3 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.71 % minus 0.81 % = 0.90 %	7.64 %
Future5SesAvgClose	6.46 % minus 0.15 % = 6.31 %	320.51 %
Future2SesAvgClose	4.49 % minus 0.07 % = 4.42 %	560.82 %
Sell Signals - 0 instances
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 10 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.28 % minus 0.81 % = 0.47 %	3.96 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.09 % minus 0.15 % = -0.24 %	-12.18 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.22 % minus 0.07 % = -0.29 %	-37.00 %
Sell Signals - 4 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-0.30 % minus 0.81 % = -1.11 %	-9.38 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-2.46 % minus 0.15 % = -2.61 %	-132.61 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-1.41 % minus 0.07 % = -1.49 %	-188.66 %
	.
Calibrated RSI Middle Crossing	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 393 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.99 % minus 0.81 % = 0.18 %	1.52 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.26 % minus 0.15 % = 0.11 %	5.62 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.17 % minus 0.07 % = 0.09 %	11.98 %
Sell Signals - 388 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.09 % minus 0.81 % = 0.28 %	2.40 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.38 % minus 0.15 % = 0.22 %	11.39 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.24 % minus 0.07 % = 0.17 %	21.40 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Typical Monthly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 51 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.30 % minus 0.81 % = -0.52 %	-4.36 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.36 % minus 0.15 % = -0.52 %	-26.20 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.23 % minus 0.07 % = -0.30 %	-38.27 %
Sell Signals - 48 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.90 % minus 0.81 % = 0.09 %	0.80 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.01 % minus 0.15 % = -0.14 %	-7.14 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.40 % minus 0.07 % = 0.32 %	40.69 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 15 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-0.89 % minus 0.81 % = -1.71 %	-14.44 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.18 % minus 0.15 % = -0.34 %	-17.05 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.36 % minus 0.07 % = -0.44 %	-55.53 %
Sell Signals - 10 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-2.20 % minus 0.81 % = -3.01 %	-25.45 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-1.31 % minus 0.15 % = -1.46 %	-74.34 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.63 % minus 0.07 % = -0.71 %	-89.71 %
	.
Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 7 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	3.97 % minus 0.81 % = 3.16 %	26.71 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.53 % minus 0.15 % = 0.38 %	19.09 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.67 % minus 0.07 % = -0.74 %	-94.08 %
Sell Signals - 6 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	4.75 % minus 0.81 % = 3.94 %	33.37 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.27 % minus 0.15 % = 0.12 %	5.95 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.37 % minus 0.07 % = 0.30 %	37.82 %
	.
Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 7 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	13.91 % minus 0.81 % = 13.10 %	110.94 %
Future5SesAvgClose	4.66 % minus 0.15 % = 4.51 %	229.10 %
Future2SesAvgClose	4.16 % minus 0.07 % = 4.09 %	519.02 %
Sell Signals - 19 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.42 % minus 0.81 % = 0.61 %	5.16 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.59 % minus 0.15 % = 0.43 %	22.09 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.36 % minus 0.07 % = 0.28 %	36.18 %
	.

The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 13.10 % from the Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40,and the best sell signal for was -3.01 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle.

For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 6.31 % from the Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20,and the best sell signal was -2.61 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20.

The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 4.42 % from the Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20,and the best sell signal was -1.49 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20.

In The News:

In the news, Wednesday, July 01, 2009: An unfavorable condition has developed with Lexmark International, Inc., ticker symbol LXK. Also, there are breaking events concerning Lennar Corporation (LEN) and The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV)

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Calibrated RSI of Allegheny Energy, Inc.

This looks back at signals given by Wilder's RSI for the past year.

A whole family of RSI indicators exist, which are calculated in periods other than 14 trading sessions. One of the most consistently powerful indicators is the 30 bar version seen here.

Float the cursor for an even longer term version.

These slower versions of the RSI have less swing since they are averaged out over a longer time. They provide fewer signals per year, but the signals provided are more significant.

Stochastics .

This looks back at signals given by Stochastics during the last year.

Detailed Oscillator Indicator Analysis for AYE :

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