Oscillator Analysis of AYE

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Allegheny Energy, Inc. Technical Oscillators - AYE

From the Weekend Report 1/22/2010: Wilder's RSI is still on the bullish side, but buying strength has slipped over the last week. The conventional RSI is almost unchanged from the previous week.

AYE:  Wilder's RSI with Candlestick Chart.
The axis on the left depicts the value of Wilder's RSI indicator (black trace). The value ranges from 0 to 100.

Float the cursor over the graph for a longer view of this Indicator.

The traditional Wilder RSI uses a period of 14 trading sessions. The number 14 represents a half cycle of what he believed to be a 28 session wave. This estimate seems pretty accurate even in today's markets. However it is also possible to calibrate the period to the short term frequency of an individual stock issue, which is what is done in the following chapter.


General Market Conditions

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More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for Allegheny Energy, Inc.:




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Wilder's 7 Day RSI Signals at 80 and 20Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 83 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.57 % minus 0.78 % = 0.78 %6.63 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.28 % minus 0.15 % = 0.13 %6.55 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.30 % minus 0.07 % = 0.23 %29.48 %
Sell Signals - 66 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.28 % minus 0.78 % = -0.50 %-4.23 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.35 % minus 0.15 % = -0.50 %-25.38 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.04 % minus 0.07 % = -0.11 %-13.89 %
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Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 3 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.65 % minus 0.78 % = 0.86 %7.30 %
Future5SesAvgClose 6.40 % minus 0.15 % = 6.26 %317.76 %
Future2SesAvgClose 4.45 % minus 0.07 % = 4.38 %556.47 %
Sell Signals - 0 instances
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Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 3 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.65 % minus 0.78 % = 0.86 %7.30 %
Future5SesAvgClose 6.40 % minus 0.15 % = 6.26 %317.76 %
Future2SesAvgClose 4.45 % minus 0.07 % = 4.38 %556.47 %
Sell Signals - 0 instances
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Calibrated RSI Middle CrossingSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 375 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.09 % minus 0.78 % = 0.31 %2.60 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.27 % minus 0.15 % = 0.13 %6.50 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.13 % minus 0.07 % = 0.06 %7.02 %
Sell Signals - 371 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.95 % minus 0.78 % = 0.16 %1.39 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.32 % minus 0.15 % = 0.17 %8.55 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.24 % minus 0.07 % = 0.17 %21.46 %
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Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Typical Monthly CycleSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 3 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.65 % minus 0.78 % = 0.86 %7.30 %
Future5SesAvgClose 6.40 % minus 0.15 % = 6.26 %317.76 %
Future2SesAvgClose 4.45 % minus 0.07 % = 4.38 %556.47 %
Sell Signals - 0 instances
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Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly CycleSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 18 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.07 % minus 0.78 % = -0.71 %-6.03 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.01 % minus 0.15 % = -0.15 %-7.80 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.11 % minus 0.07 % = -0.19 %-23.63 %
Sell Signals - 10 instances
Future30SesAvgClose -2.89 % minus 0.78 % = -3.67 %-31.09 %
Future5SesAvgClose -1.45 % minus 0.15 % = -1.59 %-81.02 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.90 % minus 0.07 % = -0.97 %-123.17 %
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Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 7 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 3.99 % minus 0.78 % = 3.21 %27.17 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.55 % minus 0.15 % = 0.40 %20.51 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.67 % minus 0.07 % = -0.74 %-94.00 %
Sell Signals - 8 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 2.97 % minus 0.78 % = 2.19 %18.55 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.30 % minus 0.15 % = 0.15 %7.83 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.24 % minus 0.07 % = 0.17 %21.91 %
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Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 5 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 9.64 % minus 0.78 % = 8.86 %75.01 %
Future5SesAvgClose 5.00 % minus 0.15 % = 4.86 %246.69 %
Future2SesAvgClose 5.78 % minus 0.07 % = 5.71 %724.95 %
Sell Signals - 21 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.57 % minus 0.78 % = 0.78 %6.64 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.65 % minus 0.15 % = 0.50 %25.38 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.43 % minus 0.07 % = 0.36 %46.03 %
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The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 8.86 % from the Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40,and the best sell signal for was -3.67 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle.
For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 6.26 % from the Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20,and the best sell signal was -1.59 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle.
The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 5.71 % from the Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40,and the best sell signal was -0.97 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle.

In The News:

Thursday, February 04, 2010: We have news on MicroSoft, ticker symbol MSFT. Some signs of an over-sold condition have become evident. Also, there are breaking events concerning Polo Ralph Lauren Corporation and Eastman Kodak.

From the News Archive: (2/3/2010 ) Favorable events happened at C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc., PNC Financial Services, and Briggs and Stratton. Meanwhile, bad news came from Northrop Grumman Corporation.



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Calibrated RSI of Allegheny Energy, Inc.
This looks back at signals given by Wilder's RSI for the past year.

A whole family of RSI indicators exist, which are calculated in periods other than 14 trading sessions. One of the most consistently powerful indicators is the 30 bar version seen here.

Float the cursor for an even longer term version.

These slower versions of the RSI have less swing since they are averaged out over a longer time. They provide fewer signals per year, but the signals provided are more significant.






Detailed Oscillator Indicator Analysis for AYE :

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