Analytic Oscillators for Caterpillar Stock Prices - CAT

From the Weekend Report 3/19/2010: The situation is not bad enough to trigger a sell signal, but the Wilder RSI is showing a yellow light, and the situation has gotten worse over the last week. Since last week, there has been a slip toward the bear side.

CAT: Wilder's RSI with Candlestick Chart.

The axis on the left depicts the value of Wilder's RSI indicator (black trace). The value ranges from 0 to 100.

Float the cursor over the graph for a longer view of this Indicator.

The traditional Wilder RSI uses a period of 14 trading sessions. The number 14 represents a half cycle of what he believed to be a 28 session wave. This estimate seems pretty accurate even in today's markets. However it is also possible to calibrate the period to the short term frequency of an individual stock issue, which is what is done in the following chapter.

More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for Caterpillar:

Predictions

Support and Resistance

Price Behavior Surfaces

Frequency Analysis

Japanese CandleSticks

Moving Averages

Sliding Stops

Stratification Analysis

Politics and Prices

Classical Time Series

Risk-Volatility

Bernoulli Analysis

Sentiment

Back to CAT Table of Contents

	.
Wilder's 7 Day RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 108 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.49 % minus 0.89 % = -0.40 %	-3.40 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.16 % minus 0.17 % = -0.01 %	-0.73 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.25 % minus 0.08 % = 0.17 %	21.15 %
Sell Signals - 83 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.35 % minus 0.89 % = -0.54 %	-4.57 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.00 % minus 0.17 % = -0.17 %	-8.85 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.08 % minus 0.08 % = -0.01 %	-0.80 %
	.
Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 3 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-1.19 % minus 0.89 % = -2.08 %	-17.59 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-2.99 % minus 0.17 % = -3.16 %	-160.77 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-1.36 % minus 0.08 % = -1.45 %	-183.84 %
Sell Signals - 7 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-0.47 % minus 0.89 % = -1.36 %	-11.48 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.28 % minus 0.17 % = 0.11 %	5.78 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.83 % minus 0.08 % = 0.75 %	94.95 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 3 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-1.19 % minus 0.89 % = -2.08 %	-17.59 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-2.99 % minus 0.17 % = -3.16 %	-160.77 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-1.36 % minus 0.08 % = -1.45 %	-183.84 %
Sell Signals - 7 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-0.47 % minus 0.89 % = -1.36 %	-11.48 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.28 % minus 0.17 % = 0.11 %	5.78 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.83 % minus 0.08 % = 0.75 %	94.95 %
	.
Calibrated RSI Middle Crossing	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 398 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.10 % minus 0.89 % = 0.21 %	1.81 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.24 % minus 0.17 % = 0.07 %	3.71 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.01 % minus 0.08 % = -0.10 %	-12.34 %
Sell Signals - 398 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.65 % minus 0.89 % = 0.76 %	6.44 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.59 % minus 0.17 % = 0.42 %	21.47 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.37 % minus 0.08 % = 0.28 %	35.66 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Typical Monthly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 3 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-1.19 % minus 0.89 % = -2.08 %	-17.59 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-2.99 % minus 0.17 % = -3.16 %	-160.77 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-1.36 % minus 0.08 % = -1.45 %	-183.84 %
Sell Signals - 5 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-3.05 % minus 0.89 % = -3.94 %	-33.37 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-2.35 % minus 0.17 % = -2.52 %	-128.19 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-2.09 % minus 0.08 % = -2.17 %	-276.16 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 55 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-0.02 % minus 0.89 % = -0.91 %	-7.68 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.05 % minus 0.17 % = -0.13 %	-6.35 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.15 % minus 0.08 % = 0.07 %	8.62 %
Sell Signals - 47 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.47 % minus 0.89 % = -0.42 %	-3.54 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.39 % minus 0.17 % = -0.57 %	-28.74 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.07 % minus 0.08 % = -0.16 %	-20.23 %
	.
Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 5 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-0.05 % minus 0.89 % = -0.94 %	-7.96 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.50 % minus 0.17 % = 0.33 %	16.87 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.05 % minus 0.08 % = -0.04 %	-4.56 %
Sell Signals - 12 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.91 % minus 0.89 % = 1.02 %	8.60 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.23 % minus 0.17 % = -0.41 %	-20.58 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.28 % minus 0.08 % = -0.36 %	-46.05 %
	.
Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 11 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.92 % minus 0.89 % = 0.03 %	0.29 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.29 % minus 0.17 % = -0.47 %	-23.64 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.62 % minus 0.08 % = -0.71 %	-89.55 %
Sell Signals - 26 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-0.50 % minus 0.89 % = -1.38 %	-11.73 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.16 % minus 0.17 % = -0.01 %	-0.47 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.17 % minus 0.08 % = 0.09 %	10.95 %
	.

The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 0.21 % from the Calibrated RSI Middle Crossing,and the best sell signal for was -3.94 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Typical Monthly Cycle.

For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 0.33 % from the Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30,and the best sell signal was -2.52 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Typical Monthly Cycle.

The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 0.17 % from the Wilder's 7 Day RSI Signals at 80 and 20,and the best sell signal was -2.17 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Typical Monthly Cycle.

In The News:

In the news, Friday, March 19, 2010: An unfavorable condition has developed with Cincinnati Financial Corporation, ticker symbol CINF. Also, there are breaking events concerning Pre-Paid Legal (PPD) and Electronic Data Systems (EDS)

	Other Companies
	Calpine
	General Electric

	LoJack Corp
	Alcatel
	Exxon Mobil
	V.F. Corporation
	Lucent Technologies
	Identix
	PetroCanada
	RadioShack Corporation

This looks back at signals given by Wilder's RSI for the past year.

A whole family of RSI indicators exist, which are calculated in periods other than 14 trading sessions. One of the most consistently powerful indicators is the 30 bar version seen here.

Float the cursor for an even longer term version.

These slower versions of the RSI have less swing since they are averaged out over a longer time. They provide fewer signals per year, but the signals provided are more significant.

Stochastics .

This looks back at signals given by Stochastics during the last year.

Detailed Oscillator Indicator Analysis for CAT :

Today's Free Reports | Meet the Analysts | Member Sign In | Stock-Predictions dot Com Home Page

Contents of non-member pages are delayed. New information may have voided the predictions shown here. Associates of Stock-Predictions.Com or Hybrid Technical may hold positions in issues covered here.

Our Pledge of Independence: We do not utilize any reporting or analysis that comes directly or indirectly from brokerage or banking firms.

Note: Free pages are for entertainment and academic purposes only. We do not advise anyone to buy or sell stocks or funds. We do not recommend the purchase or sale of this or any other issue. Research shows that most people who trade securities will lose money. These reports are not to be used for stock-picking or investment decision support. Any such use is strictly prohibited. Charts are provided by permission from Hybrid Technical. All Rights Reserved. All Content is Copyright 2008 by Stock-Predictions.Com