Oscillator Analysis of DLTR

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Analytic Oscillators for Dollar Tree, Inc. Stock Prices - DLTR

From the Weekend Report 11/5/2010: The Wilder RSI is moderately bearish, and going in the wrong direction. Since last week, there has been a slip toward the bear side.

DLTR:  Wilder's RSI with Candlestick Chart.
Wilder's RSI is depicted by the black line. The axis on the left marks it's values from 0 to 100. Ordinarily it will be in the range between 70 and 30. When it breaks out, say, below 20 or above about 80, the event is taken as a buy or sell signal.

Float the cursor over the graph for a longer view of this Indicator.

The traditional Wilder RSI uses a period of 14 trading sessions. The number 14 represents a half cycle of what he believed to be a 28 session wave. This estimate seems pretty accurate even in today's markets. However it is also possible to calibrate the period to the short term frequency of an individual stock issue, which is what is done in the following chapter.


General Market Conditions

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More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for Dollar Tree, Inc.:




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Wilder's 7 Day RSI Signals at 80 and 20Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 47 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 2.68 % minus 1.73 % = 0.95 %8.04 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.52 % minus 0.36 % = 0.16 %8.06 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.10 % minus 0.18 % = -0.08 %-9.65 %
Sell Signals - 56 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.20 % minus 1.73 % = -0.53 %-4.49 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.34 % minus 0.36 % = -0.02 %-0.85 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.03 % minus 0.18 % = -0.15 %-19.04 %
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Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 0 instances
Sell Signals - 5 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 4.32 % minus 1.73 % = 2.59 %21.92 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.58 % minus 0.36 % = 0.22 %11.24 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.38 % minus 0.18 % = 0.20 %25.24 %
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Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 8 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 11.07 % minus 1.73 % = 9.34 %79.12 %
Future5SesAvgClose 2.57 % minus 0.36 % = 2.21 %112.14 %
Future2SesAvgClose 1.16 % minus 0.18 % = 0.98 %124.20 %
Sell Signals - 18 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.36 % minus 1.73 % = -1.37 %-11.56 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.19 % minus 0.36 % = -0.55 %-27.91 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.08 % minus 0.18 % = -0.26 %-32.80 %
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Calibrated RSI Middle CrossingSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 273 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.05 % minus 1.73 % = -0.67 %-5.71 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.19 % minus 0.36 % = -0.16 %-8.37 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.06 % minus 0.18 % = -0.12 %-15.25 %
Sell Signals - 272 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.90 % minus 1.73 % = -0.83 %-7.01 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.11 % minus 0.36 % = -0.25 %-12.61 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.24 % minus 0.18 % = -0.42 %-53.12 %
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Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Typical Monthly CycleSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 47 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 2.68 % minus 1.73 % = 0.95 %8.04 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.52 % minus 0.36 % = 0.16 %8.06 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.10 % minus 0.18 % = -0.08 %-9.65 %
Sell Signals - 56 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.20 % minus 1.73 % = -0.53 %-4.49 %
Future5SesAvgClose 0.34 % minus 0.36 % = -0.02 %-0.85 %
Future2SesAvgClose 0.03 % minus 0.18 % = -0.15 %-19.04 %
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Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly CycleSignaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 8 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 11.07 % minus 1.73 % = 9.34 %79.12 %
Future5SesAvgClose 2.57 % minus 0.36 % = 2.21 %112.14 %
Future2SesAvgClose 1.16 % minus 0.18 % = 0.98 %124.20 %
Sell Signals - 18 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 0.36 % minus 1.73 % = -1.37 %-11.56 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.19 % minus 0.36 % = -0.55 %-27.91 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.08 % minus 0.18 % = -0.26 %-32.80 %
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Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 0 instances
Sell Signals - 7 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.83 % minus 1.73 % = 0.10 %0.88 %
Future5SesAvgClose -1.29 % minus 0.36 % = -1.65 %-83.78 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.57 % minus 0.18 % = -0.75 %-94.82 %
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Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled AppreciationAnnualized %
Buy Signals - 2 instances
Future30SesAvgClose 1.46 % minus 1.73 % = -0.27 %-2.29 %
Future5SesAvgClose 3.14 % minus 0.36 % = 2.78 %141.29 %
Future2SesAvgClose 1.02 % minus 0.18 % = 0.84 %106.70 %
Sell Signals - 20 instances
Future30SesAvgClose -0.86 % minus 1.73 % = -2.59 %-21.92 %
Future5SesAvgClose -0.44 % minus 0.36 % = -0.80 %-40.60 %
Future2SesAvgClose -0.22 % minus 0.18 % = -0.40 %-50.84 %
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The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 9.34 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20,and the best sell signal for was -2.59 % from the Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40.
For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 2.78 % from the Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40,and the best sell signal was -1.65 % from the Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30.
The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 0.98 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20,and the best sell signal was -0.75 % from the Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30.

In The News:

Friday, November 12, 2010: We have news on Cree, Inc., ticker symbol CREE. Signs of an over-bought condition have become noticable. Also, there are breaking events concerning Intel and PetSmart, Inc.

From the News Archive: (11/11/2010 ) Favorable events happened at Exxon Mobil, Ingersoll-Rand Company Limited, and Concur Technologies, Inc.. Meanwhile, bad news came from International Game Technology.



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DLTR:  Calibrated RSI
This looks back at signals given by Wilder's RSI for the past year.

A whole family of RSI indicators exist, which are calculated in periods other than 14 trading sessions. One of the most consistently powerful indicators is the 30 bar version seen here.

Float the cursor for an even longer term version.

These slower versions of the RSI have less swing since they are averaged out over a longer time. They provide fewer signals per year, but the signals provided are more significant.






Detailed Oscillator Indicator Analysis for DLTR :

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