Oscillators and Indicators for Harley-Davidson, Inc.

From the Weekend Report 3/12/2010: In spite of some improvement in the last week, the Wilder RSI is calling for caution. The general RSI remains in the same range as last week, with a small favorable drift.

HOG: Wilder's RSI with Candlestick Chart.

The axis on the left depicts the value of Wilder's RSI indicator (black trace). The value ranges from 0 to 100.

Float the cursor over the graph for a longer view of this Indicator.

The traditional Wilder RSI uses a period of 14 trading sessions. The number 14 represents a half cycle of what he believed to be a 28 session wave. This estimate seems pretty accurate even in today's markets. However it is also possible to calibrate the period to the short term frequency of an individual stock issue, which is what is done in the following chapter.

More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for Harley-Davidson, Inc.:

Predictions

Support and Resistance

Price Behavior Surfaces

Frequency Analysis

Japanese CandleSticks

Moving Averages

Stratification Analysis

Politics and Prices

Classical Time Series

Historical Volume

Bernoulli Analysis

Momentum Investing

Seasonal Trends

Back to HOG Table of Contents

	.
Wilder's 7 Day RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 88 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	3.01 % minus 1.68 % = 1.32 %	11.22 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.51 % minus 0.32 % = 0.19 %	9.53 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.32 % minus 0.16 % = 0.16 %	19.91 %
Sell Signals - 62 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.91 % minus 1.68 % = 0.23 %	1.94 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.09 % minus 0.32 % = -0.41 %	-20.99 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.36 % minus 0.16 % = -0.52 %	-66.22 %
	.
Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 3 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	6.32 % minus 1.68 % = 4.64 %	39.26 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.89 % minus 0.32 % = 0.56 %	28.69 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.11 % minus 0.16 % = -0.27 %	-34.41 %
Sell Signals - 4 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.61 % minus 1.68 % = -1.08 %	-9.11 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.06 % minus 0.32 % = -0.39 %	-19.75 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.87 % minus 0.16 % = -1.03 %	-131.18 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 6 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	13.29 % minus 1.68 % = 11.61 %	98.31 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.07 % minus 0.32 % = -0.25 %	-12.81 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.32 % minus 0.16 % = 0.16 %	20.58 %
Sell Signals - 11 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-0.25 % minus 1.68 % = -1.94 %	-16.39 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.92 % minus 0.32 % = -1.24 %	-63.22 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.55 % minus 0.16 % = -0.71 %	-89.79 %
	.
Calibrated RSI Middle Crossing	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 322 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.40 % minus 1.68 % = -0.28 %	-2.39 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.20 % minus 0.32 % = -0.13 %	-6.53 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.18 % minus 0.16 % = 0.02 %	2.81 %
Sell Signals - 323 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.52 % minus 1.68 % = -0.16 %	-1.33 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.58 % minus 0.32 % = 0.25 %	12.79 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.35 % minus 0.16 % = 0.19 %	23.88 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Typical Monthly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 21 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	4.57 % minus 1.68 % = 2.89 %	24.48 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.02 % minus 0.32 % = -0.34 %	-17.26 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.19 % minus 0.16 % = 0.03 %	4.19 %
Sell Signals - 24 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	3.06 % minus 1.68 % = 1.38 %	11.66 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.89 % minus 0.32 % = 0.56 %	28.68 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.29 % minus 0.16 % = 0.13 %	16.05 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 36 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	5.74 % minus 1.68 % = 4.06 %	34.35 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.55 % minus 0.32 % = 0.22 %	11.23 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.62 % minus 0.16 % = 0.46 %	57.80 %
Sell Signals - 31 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	4.14 % minus 1.68 % = 2.46 %	20.82 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.39 % minus 0.32 % = 1.06 %	53.93 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.56 % minus 0.16 % = 0.39 %	50.08 %
	.
Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 1 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	4.16 % minus 1.68 % = 2.48 %	20.98 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-2.14 % minus 0.32 % = -2.46 %	-125.11 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-1.22 % minus 0.16 % = -1.38 %	-175.37 %
Sell Signals - 16 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.02 % minus 1.68 % = -1.66 %	-14.02 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.46 % minus 0.32 % = 0.14 %	7.15 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.03 % minus 0.16 % = -0.13 %	-16.58 %
	.
Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 0 instances
Sell Signals - 30 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	3.21 % minus 1.68 % = 1.53 %	12.93 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.12 % minus 0.32 % = -0.44 %	-22.60 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.31 % minus 0.16 % = -0.47 %	-59.74 %
	.

The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 11.61 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20,and the best sell signal for was -1.94 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20.

For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 0.56 % from the Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20,and the best sell signal was -1.24 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20.

The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 0.46 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle,and the best sell signal was -1.03 % from the Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20.

In The News:

Friday, March 12, 2010: We have news on ConAgra Foods, Inc., ticker symbol CAG. Signs of an over-bought condition have become noticable. Also, there are breaking events concerning Texas Instruments Incorporated and Convergys Corporation.

From the News Archive: (3/11/2010 ) A favorable event happened at Amgen, Inc.. Meanwhile, bad news came from Coach, Inc., Fluor Corporation (NEW), and Automatic Data Processing.

	Other Companies
	Boeing Aircraft
	Harken Energy
	United Technologies
	Praxair, Inc.
	RadioShack Corporation
	Ingersoll-Rand Company Limited
	Raytheon Company
	Coca Cola
	Entergy Corporation
	Eaton Corporation
	Exelon Corporation

This looks back at signals given by Wilder's RSI for the past year.

A whole family of RSI indicators exist, which are calculated in periods other than 14 trading sessions. One of the most consistently powerful indicators is the 30 bar version seen here.

Float the cursor for an even longer term version.

These slower versions of the RSI have less swing since they are averaged out over a longer time. They provide fewer signals per year, but the signals provided are more significant.

Stochastics .

This looks back at signals given by Stochastics during the last year.

Detailed Oscillator Indicator Analysis for HOG :

Today's Free Reports | Meet the Analysts | Member Sign In | Stock-Predictions dot Com Home Page

Contents of non-member pages are delayed. New information may have voided the predictions shown here. Associates of Stock-Predictions.Com or Hybrid Technical may hold positions in issues covered here.

Our Pledge of Independence: We do not utilize any reporting or analysis that comes directly or indirectly from brokerage or banking firms.

Note: Free pages are for entertainment and academic purposes only. We do not advise anyone to buy or sell stocks or funds. We do not recommend the purchase or sale of this or any other issue. Research shows that most people who trade securities will lose money. These reports are not to be used for stock-picking or investment decision support. Any such use is strictly prohibited. Charts are provided by permission from Hybrid Technical. All Rights Reserved. All Content is Copyright 2008 by Stock-Predictions.Com