Oscillator Indicator Analysis of - MER

From the Weekend Report 12/4/2009: The Wilder RSI is moderately bearish, and going in the wrong direction. Since last week, there has been a slip toward the bear side.

MER: Wilder's RSI with Candlestick Chart.

The axis on the left depicts the value of Wilder's RSI indicator (black trace). The value ranges from 0 to 100.

Float the cursor over the graph for a longer view of this Indicator.

The traditional Wilder RSI uses a period of 14 trading sessions. The number 14 represents a half cycle of what he believed to be a 28 session wave. This estimate seems pretty accurate even in today's markets. However it is also possible to calibrate the period to the short term frequency of an individual stock issue, which is what is done in the following chapter.

More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for Merrill Lynch:

Predictions

Support and Resistance

Price Behavior Surfaces

Frequency Analysis

Japanese CandleSticks

Moving Averages

Sliding Stops

Stratification Analysis

Politics and Prices

Classical Time Series

Historical Volume

Bernoulli Analysis

Momentum Investing

Sentiment

Seasonal Trends

Back to MER Table of Contents

	.
Wilder's 7 Day RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 9 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-2.85 % minus 0.87 % = -3.72 %	-31.52 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-2.04 % minus 0.27 % = -2.31 %	-117.33 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-1.12 % minus 0.13 % = -1.25 %	-158.85 %
Sell Signals - 8 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-1.07 % minus 0.87 % = -1.94 %	-16.42 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.80 % minus 0.27 % = -1.07 %	-54.39 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.43 % minus 0.13 % = 0.30 %	38.26 %
	.
Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 0 instances
Sell Signals - 0 instances
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 6 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-1.14 % minus 0.87 % = -2.01 %	-16.99 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-2.10 % minus 0.27 % = -2.38 %	-120.78 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-1.82 % minus 0.13 % = -1.95 %	-247.81 %
Sell Signals - 3 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-2.36 % minus 0.87 % = -3.23 %	-27.33 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-6.21 % minus 0.27 % = -6.48 %	-329.16 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-3.85 % minus 0.13 % = -3.98 %	-505.94 %
	.
Calibrated RSI Middle Crossing	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 56 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.50 % minus 0.87 % = -0.37 %	-3.12 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.77 % minus 0.27 % = -1.04 %	-52.97 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.82 % minus 0.13 % = -0.95 %	-120.59 %
Sell Signals - 56 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	2.47 % minus 0.87 % = 1.60 %	13.58 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.45 % minus 0.27 % = 1.18 %	59.87 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.43 % minus 0.13 % = 0.30 %	37.76 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Typical Monthly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 0 instances
Sell Signals - 0 instances
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 3 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.16 % minus 0.87 % = 0.29 %	2.49 %
Future5SesAvgClose	4.11 % minus 0.27 % = 3.83 %	194.76 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.46 % minus 0.13 % = 0.33 %	41.35 %
Sell Signals - 0 instances
	.
Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 0 instances
Sell Signals - 0 instances
	.
Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 0 instances
Sell Signals - 0 instances
	.

The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 0.29 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle,and the best sell signal for was -3.23 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20.

For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 3.83 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle,and the best sell signal was -6.48 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20.

The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 0.33 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle,and the best sell signal was -3.98 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20.

In The News:

Friday, March 19, 2010: We have news on AT and T, ticker symbol T. A significant moving average event has happened. Also, there are breaking events concerning L-3 Communications Holdings, Inc. and Electronic Data Systems.

From the News Archive: (3/18/2010 ) Bad news came from Mylan Inc., TECO Energy, Inc., MicroSoft, and Goldman Sachs Group, Inc..

	Other Companies
	Electronic Data Systems
	Pre-Paid Legal
	Morgan Stanley
	Archer-Daniels-Midland
	L-3 Communications Holdings, Inc.
	Mattel, Inc.
	Medco Health Solutions Inc.
	M&T Bank Corporation
	Ryder System, Inc.
	JP Morgan Chase
	3M Company

This looks back at signals given by Wilder's RSI for the past year.

A whole family of RSI indicators exist, which are calculated in periods other than 14 trading sessions. One of the most consistently powerful indicators is the 30 bar version seen here.

Float the cursor for an even longer term version.

These slower versions of the RSI have less swing since they are averaged out over a longer time. They provide fewer signals per year, but the signals provided are more significant.

Stochastics .

This looks back at signals given by Stochastics during the last year.

Detailed Oscillator Indicator Analysis for MER :

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