Analytic Oscillators for Merrill Lynch Stock Prices - MER

From the Weekend Report 11/5/2010: MER appears to be fairly priced, according to the Wilder RSI, but it's position is weakening. Since last week, there has been a slip toward the bear side.

MER: Wilder's RSI with Candlestick Chart.

Wilder's RSI is depicted by the black line. The axis on the left marks it's values from 0 to 100. Ordinarily it will be in the range between 70 and 30. When it breaks out, say, below 20 or above about 80, the event is taken as a buy or sell signal.

Float the cursor over the graph for a longer view of this Indicator.

The traditional Wilder RSI uses a period of 14 trading sessions. The number 14 represents a half cycle of what he believed to be a 28 session wave. This estimate seems pretty accurate even in today's markets. However it is also possible to calibrate the period to the short term frequency of an individual stock issue, which is what is done in the following chapter.

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Wilder's 7 Day RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 12 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-0.87 % minus 1.28 % = -2.15 %	-18.16 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-1.21 % minus 0.32 % = -1.54 %	-78.07 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.99 % minus 0.16 % = -1.15 %	-145.46 %
Sell Signals - 12 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.50 % minus 1.28 % = -0.77 %	-6.53 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.62 % minus 0.32 % = -0.94 %	-47.73 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.27 % minus 0.16 % = 0.11 %	14.41 %
	.
Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 1 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	3.79 % minus 1.28 % = 2.51 %	21.28 %
Future5SesAvgClose	2.33 % minus 0.32 % = 2.00 %	101.69 %
Future2SesAvgClose	2.03 % minus 0.16 % = 1.87 %	237.58 %
Sell Signals - 2 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	2.70 % minus 1.28 % = 1.42 %	12.03 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.05 % minus 0.32 % = -0.27 %	-13.75 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.08 % minus 0.16 % = -0.23 %	-29.82 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 7 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-1.03 % minus 1.28 % = -2.31 %	-19.52 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-2.15 % minus 0.32 % = -2.48 %	-125.78 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-2.11 % minus 0.16 % = -2.26 %	-287.64 %
Sell Signals - 5 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.59 % minus 1.28 % = -0.69 %	-5.83 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-2.91 % minus 0.32 % = -3.23 %	-164.15 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-1.85 % minus 0.16 % = -2.01 %	-255.03 %
	.
Calibrated RSI Middle Crossing	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 66 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-0.52 % minus 1.28 % = -1.79 %	-15.19 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.99 % minus 0.32 % = -1.32 %	-66.93 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.68 % minus 0.16 % = -0.83 %	-105.81 %
Sell Signals - 65 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	2.06 % minus 1.28 % = 0.78 %	6.64 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.65 % minus 0.32 % = 1.33 %	67.42 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.91 % minus 0.16 % = 0.75 %	95.22 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Typical Monthly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 0 instances
Sell Signals - 1 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	2.88 % minus 1.28 % = 1.61 %	13.60 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.19 % minus 0.32 % = -0.13 %	-6.56 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.18 % minus 0.16 % = -0.33 %	-42.46 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 3 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	6.04 % minus 1.28 % = 4.77 %	40.37 %
Future5SesAvgClose	5.31 % minus 0.32 % = 4.99 %	253.54 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.90 % minus 0.16 % = 0.75 %	94.75 %
Sell Signals - 2 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	4.79 % minus 1.28 % = 3.52 %	29.78 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.73 % minus 0.32 % = 1.41 %	71.58 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.74 % minus 0.16 % = 0.58 %	74.11 %
	.
Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 0 instances
Sell Signals - 2 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.70 % minus 1.28 % = 0.42 %	3.57 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.20 % minus 0.32 % = -0.12 %	-6.13 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.08 % minus 0.16 % = -0.08 %	-9.75 %
	.
Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 0 instances
Sell Signals - 0 instances
	.

The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 4.77 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle,and the best sell signal for was -1.28 % from the Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40.

For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 4.99 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle,and the best sell signal was -3.23 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20.

The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 1.87 % from the Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20,and the best sell signal was -2.01 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20.

In The News:

Friday, November 12, 2010: We have news on Cree, Inc., ticker symbol CREE. Signs of an over-bought condition have become noticable. Also, there are breaking events concerning Intel and PetSmart, Inc.

From the News Archive: (11/11/2010 ) Favorable events happened at Exxon Mobil, Ingersoll-Rand Company Limited, and Concur Technologies, Inc.. Meanwhile, bad news came from International Game Technology.

	Other Companies
	Alcoa Inc
	Electronic Data Systems
	Amazon
	McDonalds
	Xcel Energy Inc.
	Gilead Sciences, Inc.
	National City Corporation
	LoJack Corp
	Nordstrom, Inc.
	UST Inc.
	Exxon Mobil

This looks back at signals given by Wilder's RSI for the past year.

A whole family of RSI indicators exist, which are calculated in periods other than 14 trading sessions. One of the most consistently powerful indicators is the 30 bar version seen here.

Float the cursor for an even longer term version.

These slower versions of the RSI have less swing since they are averaged out over a longer time. They provide fewer signals per year, but the signals provided are more significant.

Stochastics .

This looks back at signals given by Stochastics during the last year.

Detailed Oscillator Indicator Analysis for MER :

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