Oscillators and Indicators for Philip Morris

From the Weekend Report 11/5/2010: The Wilder RSI is moderately bearish, and going in the wrong direction. Since last week, there has been a slip toward the bear side.

MO: Wilder's RSI with Candlestick Chart.

The axis on the left depicts the value of Wilder's RSI indicator (black trace). The value ranges from 0 to 100.

Float the cursor over the graph for a longer view of this Indicator.

The traditional Wilder RSI uses a period of 14 trading sessions. The number 14 represents a half cycle of what he believed to be a 28 session wave. This estimate seems pretty accurate even in today's markets. However it is also possible to calibrate the period to the short term frequency of an individual stock issue, which is what is done in the following chapter.

More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for Philip Morris:

Predictions

Support and Resistance

Frequency Analysis

Japanese CandleSticks

Moving Averages

Stratification Analysis

Politics and Prices

Classical Time Series

Bernoulli Analysis

Momentum Investing

Back to MO Table of Contents

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Wilder's 7 Day RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 148 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.71 % minus 1.34 % = 0.38 %	3.19 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.34 % minus 0.26 % = 0.07 %	3.66 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.05 % minus 0.14 % = -0.08 %	-10.32 %
Sell Signals - 48 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.33 % minus 1.34 % = -1.01 %	-8.56 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.06 % minus 0.26 % = -0.33 %	-16.62 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.15 % minus 0.14 % = -0.29 %	-36.42 %
	.
Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 40 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.64 % minus 1.34 % = 0.30 %	2.55 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.13 % minus 0.26 % = -0.13 %	-6.85 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.18 % minus 0.14 % = 0.05 %	5.88 %
Sell Signals - 7 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	2.44 % minus 1.34 % = 1.10 %	9.34 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.00 % minus 0.26 % = -0.26 %	-13.20 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.16 % minus 0.14 % = -0.29 %	-37.30 %
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Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 49 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.98 % minus 1.34 % = -0.35 %	-2.99 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.17 % minus 0.26 % = -0.43 %	-22.03 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.41 % minus 0.14 % = -0.55 %	-69.69 %
Sell Signals - 9 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.39 % minus 1.34 % = -0.94 %	-7.98 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.48 % minus 0.26 % = -0.74 %	-37.75 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.30 % minus 0.14 % = -0.44 %	-55.77 %
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Calibrated RSI Middle Crossing	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 400 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.17 % minus 1.34 % = -0.17 %	-1.40 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.44 % minus 0.26 % = 0.18 %	8.95 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.27 % minus 0.14 % = 0.14 %	17.36 %
Sell Signals - 432 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.11 % minus 1.34 % = -0.23 %	-1.94 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.30 % minus 0.26 % = 0.04 %	1.93 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.15 % minus 0.14 % = 0.02 %	2.05 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Typical Monthly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 4 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	4.75 % minus 1.34 % = 3.41 %	28.86 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.94 % minus 0.26 % = 1.68 %	85.36 %
Future2SesAvgClose	1.22 % minus 0.14 % = 1.08 %	137.06 %
Sell Signals - 0 instances
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Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 69 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.81 % minus 1.34 % = 0.48 %	4.03 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.34 % minus 0.26 % = 0.08 %	4.09 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.16 % minus 0.14 % = 0.02 %	2.56 %
Sell Signals - 17 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.69 % minus 1.34 % = 0.35 %	2.95 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.08 % minus 0.26 % = -0.34 %	-17.33 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.29 % minus 0.14 % = -0.42 %	-53.97 %
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Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 10 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	3.67 % minus 1.34 % = 2.34 %	19.79 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.10 % minus 0.26 % = 0.83 %	42.42 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.64 % minus 0.14 % = 0.51 %	64.47 %
Sell Signals - 16 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	2.89 % minus 1.34 % = 1.56 %	13.18 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.04 % minus 0.26 % = -0.22 %	-11.17 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.10 % minus 0.14 % = -0.23 %	-29.70 %
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Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 9 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-1.11 % minus 1.34 % = -2.45 %	-20.75 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.66 % minus 0.26 % = -0.92 %	-46.97 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.21 % minus 0.14 % = -0.35 %	-44.29 %
Sell Signals - 10 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	2.01 % minus 1.34 % = 0.67 %	5.70 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.05 % minus 0.26 % = -0.31 %	-15.94 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.09 % minus 0.14 % = -0.23 %	-29.15 %
	.

The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 3.41 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Typical Monthly Cycle,and the best sell signal for was -1.34 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Typical Monthly Cycle.

For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 1.68 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Typical Monthly Cycle,and the best sell signal was -0.74 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20.

The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 1.08 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Typical Monthly Cycle,and the best sell signal was -0.44 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20.

In The News:

Friday, November 12, 2010: We have news on Cree, Inc., ticker symbol CREE. Signs of an over-bought condition have become noticable. Also, there are breaking events concerning Intel and PetSmart, Inc.

From the News Archive: (11/11/2010 ) Favorable events happened at Exxon Mobil, Ingersoll-Rand Company Limited, and Concur Technologies, Inc.. Meanwhile, bad news came from International Game Technology.

	Other Companies
	Fastenal Company
	Zimmer Holdings, Inc.
	Capital One Financial Corp.
	Ford Motor Company
	PG&E Corporation
	Zimmer Holdings, Inc.
	Abbott Laboratories
	Rockwell Collins, Inc.
	ConocoPhillips
	Corning
	Costco Wholesale Corporation

This looks back at signals given by Wilder's RSI for the past year.

A whole family of RSI indicators exist, which are calculated in periods other than 14 trading sessions. One of the most consistently powerful indicators is the 30 bar version seen here.

Float the cursor for an even longer term version.

These slower versions of the RSI have less swing since they are averaged out over a longer time. They provide fewer signals per year, but the signals provided are more significant.

Stochastics .

This looks back at signals given by Stochastics during the last year.

Detailed Oscillator Indicator Analysis for MO :

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