Technical Oscillators for MRK Stock Prices

From the Weekend Report 2/26/2010: MRK appears to be fairly priced, according to the Wilder RSI, but it's position is weakening. The RSI has weakened since last week, but not enough to change the category.

MRK: Wilder's RSI with Candlestick Chart.

The axis on the left depicts the value of Wilder's RSI indicator (black trace). The value ranges from 0 to 100.

Float the cursor over the graph for a longer view of this Indicator.

The traditional Wilder RSI uses a period of 14 trading sessions. The number 14 represents a half cycle of what he believed to be a 28 session wave. This estimate seems pretty accurate even in today's markets. However it is also possible to calibrate the period to the short term frequency of an individual stock issue, which is what is done in the following chapter.

More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for Merck:

Predictions

Support and Resistance

Price Behavior Surfaces

Frequency Analysis

Japanese CandleSticks

Moving Averages

Sliding Stops

Stratification Analysis

Politics and Prices

Classical Time Series

Historical Volume

Risk-Volatility

Bernoulli Analysis

Seasonal Trends

Back to MRK Table of Contents

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Wilder's 7 Day RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 103 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.55 % minus 1.00 % = -0.45 %	-3.78 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.23 % minus 0.20 % = 0.03 %	1.39 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.18 % minus 0.10 % = 0.08 %	10.29 %
Sell Signals - 76 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.41 % minus 1.00 % = 0.41 %	3.49 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.03 % minus 0.20 % = -0.23 %	-11.75 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.16 % minus 0.10 % = -0.26 %	-33.42 %
	.
Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 5 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-2.19 % minus 1.00 % = -3.19 %	-27.02 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-1.67 % minus 0.20 % = -1.87 %	-94.90 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.02 % minus 0.10 % = -0.12 %	-15.75 %
Sell Signals - 9 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-0.29 % minus 1.00 % = -1.29 %	-10.89 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.85 % minus 0.20 % = -1.05 %	-53.39 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.67 % minus 0.10 % = -0.77 %	-97.68 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 33 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.82 % minus 1.00 % = -0.18 %	-1.52 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.37 % minus 0.20 % = 0.17 %	8.85 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.27 % minus 0.10 % = 0.17 %	21.81 %
Sell Signals - 24 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.23 % minus 1.00 % = 0.23 %	1.95 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.44 % minus 0.20 % = 0.24 %	12.05 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.20 % minus 0.10 % = 0.10 %	12.73 %
	.
Calibrated RSI Middle Crossing	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 473 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.95 % minus 1.00 % = -0.05 %	-0.41 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.25 % minus 0.20 % = 0.05 %	2.68 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.17 % minus 0.10 % = 0.06 %	8.25 %
Sell Signals - 480 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.06 % minus 1.00 % = 0.06 %	0.54 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.29 % minus 0.20 % = 0.09 %	4.76 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.17 % minus 0.10 % = 0.07 %	9.24 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Typical Monthly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 5 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-2.19 % minus 1.00 % = -3.19 %	-27.02 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-1.67 % minus 0.20 % = -1.87 %	-94.90 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.02 % minus 0.10 % = -0.12 %	-15.75 %
Sell Signals - 9 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-0.29 % minus 1.00 % = -1.29 %	-10.89 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.85 % minus 0.20 % = -1.05 %	-53.39 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.67 % minus 0.10 % = -0.77 %	-97.68 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 39 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.59 % minus 1.00 % = -0.41 %	-3.46 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.35 % minus 0.20 % = 0.16 %	7.87 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.05 % minus 0.10 % = -0.05 %	-6.59 %
Sell Signals - 34 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.10 % minus 1.00 % = 0.10 %	0.82 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.27 % minus 0.20 % = 0.07 %	3.45 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.18 % minus 0.10 % = -0.28 %	-35.39 %
	.
Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 4 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-1.05 % minus 1.00 % = -2.05 %	-17.32 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.27 % minus 0.20 % = 1.07 %	54.39 %
Future2SesAvgClose	1.75 % minus 0.10 % = 1.65 %	209.34 %
Sell Signals - 11 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.02 % minus 1.00 % = 0.02 %	0.17 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.74 % minus 0.20 % = 0.54 %	27.56 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.73 % minus 0.10 % = 0.63 %	80.38 %
	.
Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 4 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-2.55 % minus 1.00 % = -3.55 %	-30.09 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.70 % minus 0.20 % = -0.90 %	-45.62 %
Future2SesAvgClose	1.32 % minus 0.10 % = 1.22 %	154.73 %
Sell Signals - 40 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.05 % minus 1.00 % = 0.05 %	0.43 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.15 % minus 0.20 % = -0.05 %	-2.57 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.12 % minus 0.10 % = -0.22 %	-28.36 %
	.

The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was -0.05 % from the Calibrated RSI Middle Crossing,and the best sell signal for was -1.29 % from the Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20.

For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 1.07 % from the Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30,and the best sell signal was -1.05 % from the Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20.

The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 1.65 % from the Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30,and the best sell signal was -0.77 % from the Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20.

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This looks back at signals given by Wilder's RSI for the past year.

A whole family of RSI indicators exist, which are calculated in periods other than 14 trading sessions. One of the most consistently powerful indicators is the 30 bar version seen here.

Float the cursor for an even longer term version.

These slower versions of the RSI have less swing since they are averaged out over a longer time. They provide fewer signals per year, but the signals provided are more significant.

Stochastics .

This looks back at signals given by Stochastics during the last year.

Detailed Oscillator Indicator Analysis for MRK :

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