Analytic Oscillators for MicroSoft Stock Prices - MSFT

From the Weekend Report 6/26/2009: No buy signal yet, but the Wilder RSI is becoming more bullish. There is a favorable category change from last week's close.

Wilder's RSI with Candlestick Chart. of MicroSoft

Wilder's RSI is depicted by the black line. The axis on the left marks it's values from 0 to 100. Ordinarily it will be in the range between 70 and 30. When it breaks out, say, below 20 or above about 80, the event is taken as a buy or sell signal.

Float the cursor over the graph for a longer view of this Indicator.

The traditional Wilder RSI uses a period of 14 trading sessions. The number 14 represents a half cycle of what he believed to be a 28 session wave. This estimate seems pretty accurate even in today's markets. However it is also possible to calibrate the period to the short term frequency of an individual stock issue, which is what is done in the following chapter.

More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for MicroSoft:

Predictions

Support and Resistance

Price Behavior Surfaces

Frequency Analysis

Japanese CandleSticks

Moving Averages

Sliding Stops

Stratification Analysis

Politics and Prices

Classical Time Series

Risk-Volatility

Bernoulli Analysis

Momentum Investing

Sentiment

Back to MSFT Table of Contents

	.
Wilder's 7 Day RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 87 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	3.16 % minus 1.87 % = 1.29 %	10.92 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.73 % minus 0.36 % = 0.37 %	18.61 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.62 % minus 0.19 % = 0.43 %	54.67 %
Sell Signals - 51 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.77 % minus 1.87 % = -1.10 %	-9.32 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.15 % minus 0.36 % = -0.22 %	-10.94 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.06 % minus 0.19 % = -0.13 %	-16.34 %
	.
Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 13 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	7.74 % minus 1.87 % = 5.87 %	49.69 %
Future5SesAvgClose	2.89 % minus 0.36 % = 2.53 %	128.32 %
Future2SesAvgClose	1.59 % minus 0.19 % = 1.41 %	178.57 %
Sell Signals - 11 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-0.03 % minus 1.87 % = -1.91 %	-16.14 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.61 % minus 0.36 % = -0.98 %	-49.59 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.57 % minus 0.19 % = -0.75 %	-95.68 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 33 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	3.86 % minus 1.87 % = 1.99 %	16.84 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.54 % minus 0.36 % = 0.18 %	9.02 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.20 % minus 0.19 % = -0.39 %	-49.06 %
Sell Signals - 22 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.59 % minus 1.87 % = -0.28 %	-2.34 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.13 % minus 0.36 % = -0.24 %	-11.98 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.14 % minus 0.19 % = -0.05 %	-6.22 %
	.
Calibrated RSI Middle Crossing	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 377 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	2.14 % minus 1.87 % = 0.27 %	2.28 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.62 % minus 0.36 % = 0.25 %	12.79 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.53 % minus 0.19 % = 0.35 %	43.87 %
Sell Signals - 385 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.81 % minus 1.87 % = -0.06 %	-0.50 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.14 % minus 0.36 % = -0.23 %	-11.44 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.02 % minus 0.19 % = -0.16 %	-20.74 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Typical Monthly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 27 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	3.30 % minus 1.87 % = 1.43 %	12.14 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.50 % minus 0.36 % = -0.87 %	-44.05 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-1.03 % minus 0.19 % = -1.21 %	-154.10 %
Sell Signals - 16 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.91 % minus 1.87 % = -0.96 %	-8.13 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.39 % minus 0.36 % = 0.03 %	1.51 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.41 % minus 0.19 % = 0.22 %	27.82 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 20 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	5.42 % minus 1.87 % = 3.55 %	30.08 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.28 % minus 0.36 % = 0.92 %	46.60 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.06 % minus 0.19 % = -0.13 %	-16.35 %
Sell Signals - 13 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.99 % minus 1.87 % = -0.88 %	-7.45 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.19 % minus 0.36 % = -0.18 %	-8.95 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.02 % minus 0.19 % = -0.21 %	-26.73 %
	.
Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 2 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-0.78 % minus 1.87 % = -2.65 %	-22.48 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.48 % minus 0.36 % = 1.12 %	56.94 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.90 % minus 0.19 % = 0.71 %	90.52 %
Sell Signals - 8 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.93 % minus 1.87 % = 0.06 %	0.52 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.21 % minus 0.36 % = -0.16 %	-8.05 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.20 % minus 0.19 % = -0.39 %	-49.69 %
	.
Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 2 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	3.58 % minus 1.87 % = 1.71 %	14.49 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.21 % minus 0.36 % = 0.85 %	43.09 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.73 % minus 0.19 % = 0.55 %	69.40 %
Sell Signals - 21 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.29 % minus 1.87 % = -0.58 %	-4.91 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.30 % minus 0.36 % = -0.06 %	-3.12 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.14 % minus 0.19 % = -0.05 %	-6.56 %
	.

The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 5.87 % from the Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20,and the best sell signal for was -1.91 % from the Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20.

For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 2.53 % from the Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20,and the best sell signal was -0.98 % from the Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20.

The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 1.41 % from the Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20,and the best sell signal was -0.75 % from the Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20.

In The News:

Wednesday, July 01, 2009: We have news on Public Service Enterprise Group Inc., ticker symbol PEG. Signs of an over-bought condition have become noticable. Also, there are breaking events concerning The Travelers Companies, Inc. and Kellogg Company.

From the News Archive: (7/1/2009 ) Favorable events happened at Allegheny Energy, Inc., Bank of America Corporation, and American International Group, Inc.. Meanwhile, bad news came from Lexmark International, Inc..

	Other Companies
	Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide, Inc
	R.R. Donnelley & Sons Company
	RadioShack Corporation
	Harley-Davidson, Inc.
	Ingersoll-Rand Company Limited
	Intuitive Surgical, Inc.
	Harris Corporation
	Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.
	Raytheon Company
	Forest Laboratories, Inc.
	Frontier Communications Corp

This looks back at signals given by Wilder's RSI for the past year.

A whole family of RSI indicators exist, which are calculated in periods other than 14 trading sessions. One of the most consistently powerful indicators is the 30 bar version seen here.

Float the cursor for an even longer term version.

These slower versions of the RSI have less swing since they are averaged out over a longer time. They provide fewer signals per year, but the signals provided are more significant.

Stochastics .

This looks back at signals given by Stochastics during the last year.

Detailed Oscillator Indicator Analysis for MSFT :

Today's Free Reports | Meet the Analysts | Member Sign In | Stock-Predictions dot Com Home Page

Contents of non-member pages are delayed. New information may have voided the predictions shown here. Associates of Stock-Predictions.Com or Hybrid Technical may hold positions in issues covered here.

Our Pledge of Independence: We do not utilize any reporting or analysis that comes directly or indirectly from brokerage or banking firms.

Note: Free pages are for entertainment and academic purposes only. We do not advise anyone to buy or sell stocks or funds. We do not recommend the purchase or sale of this or any other issue. Research shows that most people who trade securities will lose money. These reports are not to be used for stock-picking or investment decision support. Any such use is strictly prohibited. Charts are provided by permission from Hybrid Technical. All Rights Reserved. All Content is Copyright 2008 by Stock-Predictions.Com