Oscillator Indicator Analysis of - PG

From the Weekend Report 2/26/2010: The situation is not bad enough to trigger a sell signal, but the Wilder RSI is showing a yellow light, and the situation has gotten worse over the last week. The RSI has weakened since last week, but not enough to change the category.

Wilder's RSI with Candlestick Chart. of Procter and Gamble

The axis on the left depicts the value of Wilder's RSI indicator (black trace). The value ranges from 0 to 100.

Float the cursor over the graph for a longer view of this Indicator.

The traditional Wilder RSI uses a period of 14 trading sessions. The number 14 represents a half cycle of what he believed to be a 28 session wave. This estimate seems pretty accurate even in today's markets. However it is also possible to calibrate the period to the short term frequency of an individual stock issue, which is what is done in the following chapter.

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Wilder's 7 Day RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 96 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.06 % minus 0.99 % = 0.07 %	0.55 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.24 % minus 0.19 % = 0.05 %	2.38 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.04 % minus 0.10 % = -0.14 %	-17.47 %
Sell Signals - 63 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.68 % minus 0.99 % = -0.31 %	-2.61 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.07 % minus 0.19 % = -0.13 %	-6.52 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.05 % minus 0.10 % = -0.05 %	-6.71 %
	.
Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 8 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	7.87 % minus 0.99 % = 6.88 %	58.25 %
Future5SesAvgClose	3.43 % minus 0.19 % = 3.24 %	164.44 %
Future2SesAvgClose	3.00 % minus 0.10 % = 2.90 %	368.34 %
Sell Signals - 7 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-0.15 % minus 0.99 % = -1.14 %	-9.64 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.37 % minus 0.19 % = 0.17 %	8.78 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.65 % minus 0.10 % = 0.56 %	70.61 %
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Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 19 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	3.62 % minus 0.99 % = 2.63 %	22.29 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.84 % minus 0.19 % = 1.65 %	83.76 %
Future2SesAvgClose	1.74 % minus 0.10 % = 1.64 %	208.79 %
Sell Signals - 11 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.06 % minus 0.99 % = 0.07 %	0.58 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.59 % minus 0.19 % = 0.39 %	19.94 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.34 % minus 0.10 % = 0.24 %	30.33 %
	.
Calibrated RSI Middle Crossing	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 446 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.07 % minus 0.99 % = 0.08 %	0.67 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.26 % minus 0.19 % = 0.06 %	3.10 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.08 % minus 0.10 % = -0.02 %	-2.36 %
Sell Signals - 440 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.10 % minus 0.99 % = 0.11 %	0.96 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.20 % minus 0.19 % = 0.00 %	0.02 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.07 % minus 0.10 % = -0.03 %	-3.25 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Typical Monthly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 0 instances
Sell Signals - 0 instances
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 46 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	2.61 % minus 0.99 % = 1.62 %	13.68 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.69 % minus 0.19 % = 1.49 %	75.90 %
Future2SesAvgClose	1.27 % minus 0.10 % = 1.17 %	149.05 %
Sell Signals - 35 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.63 % minus 0.99 % = -0.36 %	-3.08 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.03 % minus 0.19 % = -0.17 %	-8.57 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.06 % minus 0.10 % = -0.16 %	-19.85 %
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Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 4 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	12.31 % minus 0.99 % = 11.32 %	95.87 %
Future5SesAvgClose	7.87 % minus 0.19 % = 7.67 %	389.69 %
Future2SesAvgClose	6.88 % minus 0.10 % = 6.79 %	861.82 %
Sell Signals - 11 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	2.47 % minus 0.99 % = 1.48 %	12.50 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.13 % minus 0.19 % = 0.94 %	47.52 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.66 % minus 0.10 % = 0.56 %	71.21 %
	.
Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 2 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-2.86 % minus 0.99 % = -3.85 %	-32.59 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.19 % minus 0.19 % = 0.00 %	-0.12 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.36 % minus 0.10 % = -0.46 %	-58.11 %
Sell Signals - 17 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.28 % minus 0.99 % = 0.29 %	2.47 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.37 % minus 0.19 % = 0.18 %	9.08 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.12 % minus 0.10 % = 0.02 %	3.04 %
	.

The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 11.32 % from the Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30,and the best sell signal for was -1.14 % from the Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20.

For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 7.67 % from the Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30,and the best sell signal was -0.17 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle.

The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 6.79 % from the Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30,and the best sell signal was -0.16 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle.

In The News:

Thursday, March 04, 2010: We have news on Ashland Inc., ticker symbol ASH. Signs of an over-bought condition have become noticable. Also, there are breaking events concerning Micron Technology, Inc. and Abercrombie & Fitch Co..

From the News Archive: (3/3/2010 ) Favorable events happened at Devon Energy Corporation and Vornado Realty Trust. Meanwhile, bad news came from Novell, Inc. and Akamai Technologies, Inc..

	Other Companies
	Kellogg Company
	Pitney Bowes Inc.
	Automatic Data Processing
	Forest Laboratories, Inc.
	Schering-Plough Corporation
	Verizon
	Nordstrom, Inc.
	Apache
	Talisman
	UST Inc.
	Diebold

This looks back at signals given by Wilder's RSI for the past year.

A whole family of RSI indicators exist, which are calculated in periods other than 14 trading sessions. One of the most consistently powerful indicators is the 30 bar version seen here.

Float the cursor for an even longer term version.

These slower versions of the RSI have less swing since they are averaged out over a longer time. They provide fewer signals per year, but the signals provided are more significant.

Stochastics .

This looks back at signals given by Stochastics during the last year.

Detailed Oscillator Indicator Analysis for PG :

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