Oscillator Indicator Analysis of - STR

From the Weekend Report 3/12/2010: The Wilder RSI is moderately bearish, and going in the wrong direction. Since last week, there has been a slip toward the bear side.

Wilder's RSI with Candlestick Chart. of Questar Corporation

The axis on the left depicts the value of Wilder's RSI indicator (black trace). The value ranges from 0 to 100.

Float the cursor over the graph for a longer view of this Indicator.

The traditional Wilder RSI uses a period of 14 trading sessions. The number 14 represents a half cycle of what he believed to be a 28 session wave. This estimate seems pretty accurate even in today's markets. However it is also possible to calibrate the period to the short term frequency of an individual stock issue, which is what is done in the following chapter.

More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for Questar Corporation:

Predictions

Support and Resistance

Price Behavior Surfaces

Frequency Analysis

Japanese CandleSticks

Moving Averages

Sliding Stops

Stratification Analysis

Politics and Prices

Classical Time Series

Historical Volume

Risk-Volatility

Bernoulli Analysis

Back to STR Table of Contents

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Wilder's 7 Day RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 67 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	2.43 % minus 1.26 % = 1.17 %	9.94 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.04 % minus 0.25 % = 0.79 %	40.17 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.93 % minus 0.13 % = 0.81 %	102.32 %
Sell Signals - 54 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.09 % minus 1.26 % = -1.17 %	-9.91 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.09 % minus 0.25 % = -0.15 %	-7.80 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.03 % minus 0.13 % = -0.16 %	-20.21 %
	.
Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 3 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-1.62 % minus 1.26 % = -2.87 %	-24.33 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.11 % minus 0.25 % = -0.35 %	-18.00 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.33 % minus 0.13 % = 0.21 %	26.37 %
Sell Signals - 4 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-0.30 % minus 1.26 % = -1.55 %	-13.16 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.25 % minus 0.25 % = -0.50 %	-25.40 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.56 % minus 0.13 % = -0.69 %	-87.23 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 8 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.02 % minus 1.26 % = -0.24 %	-2.04 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.68 % minus 0.25 % = 1.44 %	72.94 %
Future2SesAvgClose	1.04 % minus 0.13 % = 0.91 %	115.84 %
Sell Signals - 10 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.01 % minus 1.26 % = -1.25 %	-10.57 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.23 % minus 0.25 % = -0.01 %	-0.67 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.02 % minus 0.13 % = -0.11 %	-13.60 %
	.
Calibrated RSI Middle Crossing	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 350 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.38 % minus 1.26 % = 0.12 %	1.01 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.32 % minus 0.25 % = 0.07 %	3.56 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.18 % minus 0.13 % = 0.05 %	6.97 %
Sell Signals - 350 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.65 % minus 1.26 % = 0.39 %	3.32 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.19 % minus 0.25 % = -0.06 %	-3.08 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.06 % minus 0.13 % = -0.06 %	-8.03 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Typical Monthly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 16 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.76 % minus 1.26 % = -0.50 %	-4.24 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.69 % minus 0.25 % = 0.44 %	22.31 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.16 % minus 0.13 % = 0.04 %	4.81 %
Sell Signals - 20 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-0.04 % minus 1.26 % = -1.30 %	-11.02 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.31 % minus 0.25 % = -0.55 %	-28.14 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.34 % minus 0.13 % = -0.46 %	-58.75 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 9 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.91 % minus 1.26 % = -0.34 %	-2.91 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.47 % minus 0.25 % = 1.23 %	62.27 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.65 % minus 0.13 % = 0.52 %	66.15 %
Sell Signals - 18 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-0.46 % minus 1.26 % = -1.72 %	-14.56 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.54 % minus 0.25 % = -0.79 %	-40.20 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.65 % minus 0.13 % = -0.78 %	-98.98 %
	.
Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 1 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	8.23 % minus 1.26 % = 6.97 %	59.04 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-1.39 % minus 0.25 % = -1.63 %	-83.05 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-1.97 % minus 0.13 % = -2.09 %	-265.58 %
Sell Signals - 13 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-0.87 % minus 1.26 % = -2.13 %	-18.02 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.07 % minus 0.25 % = -0.31 %	-15.91 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.35 % minus 0.13 % = -0.48 %	-60.36 %
	.
Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 5 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	7.89 % minus 1.26 % = 6.63 %	56.11 %
Future5SesAvgClose	2.56 % minus 0.25 % = 2.32 %	117.69 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.58 % minus 0.13 % = 0.45 %	57.53 %
Sell Signals - 13 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	-3.84 % minus 1.26 % = -5.10 %	-43.16 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.98 % minus 0.25 % = -1.23 %	-62.38 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.18 % minus 0.13 % = -0.31 %	-38.82 %
	.

The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 6.97 % from the Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30,and the best sell signal for was -5.10 % from the Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40.

For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 2.32 % from the Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40,and the best sell signal was -1.23 % from the Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40.

The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 0.91 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20,and the best sell signal was -0.78 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle.

In The News:

Thursday, March 18, 2010: We have news on MicroSoft, ticker symbol MSFT. Signs of an over-bought condition have become noticable. Also, there are breaking events concerning Mylan Inc. and Goldman Sachs Group, Inc..

From the News Archive: (3/17/2010 ) Favorable events happened at LoJack Corp and Martha Stewart. Meanwhile, bad news came from Patterson Companies, Inc. and LSI Corporation.

	Other Companies
	Diebold
	W.W. Grainger, Inc.
	The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company
	Hartford Financial Services
	Harman International Industries Inc.\x2FDE\x2F
	Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
	Fluor Corporation (NEW)
	Exelon Corporation
	General Mills, Inc.
	FPL Group, Inc.
	KB Home

This looks back at signals given by Wilder's RSI for the past year.

A whole family of RSI indicators exist, which are calculated in periods other than 14 trading sessions. One of the most consistently powerful indicators is the 30 bar version seen here.

Float the cursor for an even longer term version.

These slower versions of the RSI have less swing since they are averaged out over a longer time. They provide fewer signals per year, but the signals provided are more significant.

Stochastics .

This looks back at signals given by Stochastics during the last year.

Detailed Oscillator Indicator Analysis for STR :

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