Oscillators and Indicators for The Travelers Companies, Inc.

From the Weekend Report 1/29/2010: TRV is approximately neutral in conventional RSI, but the Line of Least Resistance is moving toward bearish. The RSI has weakened since last week, but not enough to change the category.

TRV: Wilder's RSI with Candlestick Chart.

Wilder's RSI is depicted by the black line. The axis on the left marks it's values from 0 to 100. Ordinarily it will be in the range between 70 and 30. When it breaks out, say, below 20 or above about 80, the event is taken as a buy or sell signal.

Float the cursor over the graph for a longer view of this Indicator.

The traditional Wilder RSI uses a period of 14 trading sessions. The number 14 represents a half cycle of what he believed to be a 28 session wave. This estimate seems pretty accurate even in today's markets. However it is also possible to calibrate the period to the short term frequency of an individual stock issue, which is what is done in the following chapter.

More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for The Travelers Companies, Inc.:

Predictions

Support and Resistance

Price Behavior Surfaces

Frequency Analysis

Japanese CandleSticks

Moving Averages

Stratification Analysis

Politics and Prices

Classical Time Series

Bernoulli Analysis

Sentiment

Back to TRV Table of Contents

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Wilder's 7 Day RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 70 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	2.72 % minus 0.98 % = 1.74 %	14.75 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.21 % minus 0.20 % = 0.02 %	0.92 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.22 % minus 0.10 % = 0.12 %	15.68 %
Sell Signals - 60 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.55 % minus 0.98 % = -0.43 %	-3.60 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.14 % minus 0.20 % = -0.05 %	-2.78 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.18 % minus 0.10 % = -0.28 %	-35.51 %
	.
Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 2 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	16.60 % minus 0.98 % = 15.63 %	132.29 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.58 % minus 0.20 % = -0.77 %	-39.18 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.44 % minus 0.10 % = 0.34 %	43.39 %
Sell Signals - 9 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.17 % minus 0.98 % = -0.81 %	-6.87 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.22 % minus 0.20 % = -0.42 %	-21.12 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.44 % minus 0.10 % = 0.34 %	42.81 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 22 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	5.12 % minus 0.98 % = 4.14 %	35.07 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.57 % minus 0.20 % = 0.37 %	18.88 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.04 % minus 0.10 % = -0.06 %	-7.02 %
Sell Signals - 23 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.97 % minus 0.98 % = 0.99 %	8.36 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.75 % minus 0.20 % = 0.55 %	28.10 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.23 % minus 0.10 % = 0.14 %	17.32 %
	.
Calibrated RSI Middle Crossing	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 408 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.84 % minus 0.98 % = -0.14 %	-1.18 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.27 % minus 0.20 % = 0.08 %	3.97 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.15 % minus 0.10 % = 0.05 %	6.29 %
Sell Signals - 410 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	0.80 % minus 0.98 % = -0.17 %	-1.48 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.17 % minus 0.20 % = -0.02 %	-1.22 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.05 % minus 0.10 % = -0.04 %	-5.60 %
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Typical Monthly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 0 instances
Sell Signals - 0 instances
	.
Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 4 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	8.91 % minus 0.98 % = 7.94 %	67.20 %
Future5SesAvgClose	-0.92 % minus 0.20 % = -1.12 %	-56.91 %
Future2SesAvgClose	1.21 % minus 0.10 % = 1.11 %	141.40 %
Sell Signals - 8 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	2.77 % minus 0.98 % = 1.79 %	15.17 %
Future5SesAvgClose	1.53 % minus 0.20 % = 1.33 %	67.66 %
Future2SesAvgClose	1.23 % minus 0.10 % = 1.13 %	143.98 %
	.
Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 1 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	30.30 % minus 0.98 % = 29.32 %	248.23 %
Future5SesAvgClose	6.51 % minus 0.20 % = 6.31 %	320.71 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-2.60 % minus 0.10 % = -2.70 %	-342.56 %
Sell Signals - 2 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	3.19 % minus 0.98 % = 2.21 %	18.70 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.21 % minus 0.20 % = 0.02 %	0.76 %
Future2SesAvgClose	-0.88 % minus 0.10 % = -0.98 %	-124.47 %
	.
Wilder's 90 Day RSI Signals at 60 and 40	Signaled Appreciation minus non-signaled Appreciation	Annualized %
Buy Signals - 0 instances
Sell Signals - 8 instances
Future30SesAvgClose	1.72 % minus 0.98 % = 0.75 %	6.32 %
Future5SesAvgClose	0.71 % minus 0.20 % = 0.52 %	26.29 %
Future2SesAvgClose	0.58 % minus 0.10 % = 0.48 %	61.15 %
	.

The best buy signal for 30 future sessions was 29.32 % from the Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30,and the best sell signal for was -0.98 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Typical Monthly Cycle.

For 5 future sessions the best buy signal was 6.31 % from the Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30,and the best sell signal was -0.42 % from the Wilder's RSI Signals at 80 and 20.

The best buy signal for 2 future sessions was 1.11 % from the Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle,and the best sell signal was -0.98 % from the Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30.

In The News:

Monday, February 08, 2010: We have news on American International Group, Inc., ticker symbol AIG. Some signs of an over-sold condition have become evident. Also, there are breaking events concerning Nicor Inc. and MicroSoft.

From the News Archive: (2/3/2010 ) Favorable events happened at Polo Ralph Lauren Corporation and C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.. Meanwhile, bad news came from Northrop Grumman Corporation and Eastman Kodak.

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This looks back at signals given by Wilder's RSI for the past year.

A whole family of RSI indicators exist, which are calculated in periods other than 14 trading sessions. One of the most consistently powerful indicators is the 30 bar version seen here.

Float the cursor for an even longer term version.

These slower versions of the RSI have less swing since they are averaged out over a longer time. They provide fewer signals per year, but the signals provided are more significant.

Stochastics .

This looks back at signals given by Stochastics during the last year.

Detailed Oscillator Indicator Analysis for TRV :

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