Predictions for ADM

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Predictions for ADM Stock Prices

Chapter XVI: Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to ADM over the next few months?

Profitability during each Month of Archer-Daniels-Midland

The chart represents recent technical signals and forecasts from various XML sources in relation to recent price history.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars show technical signals. The impact of these signals is typically short-term. Conventional target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The green shaded ovals depict probability densities of response surface projections. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.


General Market Conditions

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Target Scoring ADM

Pct. Targets Above Base:Avg. Target PriceAvg. Appreciation
Simple Forecasts33.33 %30.690.26 %
Response Predictions100.00 %31.603.23 %



Table of Predictions for ADM

Analyst:Prediction TypeBase DateDescriptionTarget DateBase PriceTarget PricePct. Change
S.A. ChiCeiling Price2/5/2010Upper limit of typical Volatility 5/5/2010$30.61$34.53
E.S. ChaseTarget Price2/5/2010Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 5/5/2010$30.61$33.328.85 %
R.S. AdamsTarget Price2/5/2010Phase200 Response90 5/5/2010$30.61$31.63.23 %
D.B. VeblenCeiling Price2/5/2010Nearest Volumetric Price Ceiling 5/5/2010$30.61$32.5
R.S.A. SmithTarget Price2/5/2010NVI Response90 5/5/2010$30.61$31.623.30 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price2/5/2010Raw Least Squares Trend 5/5/2010$30.61$30.33-0.91 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price2/5/2010Deseasonalized Least Squares Trend 5/5/2010$30.61$30.33-0.91 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price2/5/2010Deseasonalized 5 Year Linear Trend 5/5/2010$30.61$30.35-0.85 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price2/5/20105 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 5/5/2010$30.61$29.6-3.30 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price2/5/2010Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 5/5/2010$30.61$29.59-3.33 %
T. PearsonTarget Price2/5/2010Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 5/5/2010$30.61$29.48-3.69 %
D.B. VeblenSupport Price2/5/2010Nearest Volumetric Price Floor 5/5/2010$30.61$28
S.A. ChiSupport Price2/5/2010Lower limit of typical Volatility 5/5/2010$30.61$27.19


Some Recent Technical Signals from ADM

A recent interesting signal was the SMA5Over20Divergence seen on Friday, February 05, 2010.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
2/5/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
1/19/2010Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %
1/13/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
12/28/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
11/25/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
11/17/2009BiWeeklySawTooth50xingS-34.00 %-15.00 %
10/14/2009Wilder7RSI80or20S-12.00 %-7.00 %



Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy of Archer-Daniels-Midland

Past predictions are combined on this illustration to show how they relate to the actual prices that occurred.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Week-end Altitude
Above: Illustration from Chapter 5: The most recent signal, "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", was produced on Friday, February 05, 2010. In this range, it is most often considered to be a sell signal.



In The News:

In the news, Friday, February 05, 2010: A favorable condition has developed with United Technologies, ticker symbol UTX. Also, there are breaking events concerning ACM Income Fund (ACG) and MicroSoft (MSFT)

Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface

 Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface of Archer-Daniels-Midland


Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for Archer-Daniels-Midland from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


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