Predictions for ALA

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Alcatel Stock Predictions - ALA

Profitability during each Month of Alcatel

The chart represents recent technical signals and forecasts from various XML sources in relation to recent price history.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars show technical signals. The impact of these signals is typically short-term. Conventional target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The green shaded ovals depict probability densities of response surface projections. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.


General Market Conditions

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Target Scoring ALA

Pct. Targets Above Base:Avg. Target PriceAvg. Appreciation
Simple Forecasts33.33 %15.340.03 %
Response Predictions100.00 %15.762.74 %



Table of Predictions for ALA

Analyst:Prediction TypeBase DateDescriptionTarget DateBase PriceTarget PricePct. Change
D.B. VeblenCeiling Price4/13/2006Nearest Volumetric Price Ceiling 7/13/2006$15.34$42.5
D.B. VeblenCeiling Price4/13/2006Volumetric Mean As Ceiling 7/13/2006$15.34$22.25
E.S. ChaseTarget Price4/13/2006Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 7/13/2006$15.34$17.7215.51 %
S.A. ChiCeiling Price4/13/2006Upper limit of typical Volatility 7/13/2006$15.34$18.44
R.S.A. SmithTarget Price4/13/2006NVI Response90 7/13/2006$15.34$15.782.87 %
R.S. AdamsTarget Price4/13/2006Phase200 Response90 7/13/2006$15.34$15.762.74 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price4/13/2006Deseasonalized Least Squares Trend 7/13/2006$15.34$15.06-1.83 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price4/13/2006Deseasonalized 5 Year Linear Trend 7/13/2006$15.34$14.62-4.69 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price4/13/2006Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 7/13/2006$15.34$14.75-3.85 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price4/13/2006Raw Least Squares Trend 7/13/2006$15.34$15.06-1.83 %
T. PearsonTarget Price4/13/2006Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 7/13/2006$15.34$15.03-2.02 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price4/13/20065 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 7/13/2006$15.34$14.32-6.65 %
D.B. VeblenSupport Price4/13/2006Nearest Volumetric Price Floor 7/13/2006$15.34$13


Alcatel - Recent Technical Signals

A recent interesting signal was the BiWeeklySawTooth50xing seen on Thursday, April 13, 2006.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
4/13/2006BiWeeklySawTooth50xingS-31.00 %-9.00 %
4/13/2006SMACalibratedMbyQB-11.00 %-6.00 %
4/12/2006SMACalibratedMbyQS19.00 %8.00 %
3/27/2006VPI80by20S-11.00 %-1.00 %
3/22/2006Wilder7RSI80or20S-24.00 %-13.00 %
3/10/2006SMACalibratedMbyQB-11.00 %-6.00 %
3/7/2006SMACalibratedMbyQS19.00 %8.00 %
3/7/2006SMA5Over20DivergenceS-13.00 %-7.00 %
3/1/2006SMACalibratedMbyQB-11.00 %-6.00 %
2/28/2006SMACalibratedFullCycleMbyQB-23.00 %-11.00 %
2/27/2006SMACalibratedFullCycleMbyQS24.00 %10.00 %
2/24/2006SMA5Over20DivergenceB20.00 %7.00 %
2/24/2006SMACalibratedMbyQS19.00 %8.00 %
2/22/2006SMACalibratedMbyQB-11.00 %-6.00 %
2/21/2006SMACalibratedMbyQS19.00 %8.00 %
2/13/2006VPI80by20S-11.00 %-1.00 %
2/2/2006SMA5Over20DivergenceS-13.00 %-7.00 %
1/31/2006SMACalibratedMbyQB-11.00 %-6.00 %
1/31/2006VPI80by20B22.00 %12.00 %
1/30/2006SMACalibratedMbyQS19.00 %8.00 %
1/26/2006SMACalibratedMbyQB-11.00 %-6.00 %
1/23/2006SMA5Over20DivergenceB20.00 %7.00 %
1/20/2006SMACalibratedMbyQS19.00 %8.00 %



Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy of Alcatel

Previous forecasts from several of the XML Price Prediction services are shown compared to actual performance.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Week-end Altitude
Above: Illustration from Chapter 15: A signal from the "Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals middle Crossing", was flagged on Thursday, April 13, 2006. This value of the indicator is generally interpreted as a sell signal.



In The News:

Thursday, February 04, 2010: We have news on MicroSoft, ticker symbol MSFT. Some signs of an over-sold condition have become evident. Also, there are breaking events concerning Polo Ralph Lauren Corporation and Eastman Kodak.

From the News Archive: (2/3/2010 ) Favorable events happened at C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc., PNC Financial Services, and Briggs and Stratton. Meanwhile, bad news came from Northrop Grumman Corporation.


Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface

ALA:   Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface


Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for Alcatel from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


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