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Predictions for AMR Stock Prices
Chapter XVI: Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to AMR over the next few months?
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This plot shows recent signals and predictions from several XML sources in relation to recent prices.
On the left, the vertical red and green bars mark conventional technical signals. The impact of these signals is short-term, so they may only effect prices for a day or two. The longer-term target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The shaded green circles depict the probability densities of response surface forecasts. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached. |
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Target Scoring AMR
| Pct. Targets Above Base: | Avg. Target Price | Avg. Appreciation |
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| Simple Forecasts | 44.44 % | 7.19 | -1.45 % | | Response Predictions | 100.00 % | 7.53 | 3.15 % |
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Table of Predictions for AMR
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American Airlines - Recent Technical SignalsA recent interesting signal was the SMA5Over20Divergence seen on Wednesday, January 27, 2010.
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Previous forecasts from several of the XML Price Prediction services are shown compared to actual performance.
The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.) |
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 | Above: Illustration from Chapter 5: No really strong signals during the past week. On Wednesday, January 27, 2010, the "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", indicator produced a possible buy alert. |
| In The News:In the news, Friday, February 05, 2010: A favorable condition has developed with United Technologies, ticker symbol UTX. Also, there are breaking events concerning ACM Income Fund (ACG) and MicroSoft (MSFT)
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Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface
Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for American Airlines from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.
For more about these surfaces, click here. |
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