Predictions for ARCC

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Predictions for ARCC Stock Prices

Chapter XVI: Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements.

ARCC:  Profitability during each Month

This plot shows recent signals and predictions from several XML sources in relation to recent prices.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars show technical signals. The impact of these signals is typically short-term. Conventional target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The green shaded ovals depict probability densities of response surface projections. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.


General Market Conditions

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Target Scoring ARCC

Pct. Targets Above Base:Avg. Target PriceAvg. Appreciation
Simple Forecasts50.00 %17.752.93 %
Response Predictions100.00 %17.763.02 %



Table of Predictions for ARCC

Analyst:Prediction TypeBase DateDescriptionTarget DateBase PriceTarget PricePct. Change
S.A. ChiCeiling Price11/5/2010Upper limit of typical Volatility 2/5/2011$17.24$20.31
E.S. ChaseTarget Price11/5/2010Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 2/5/2011$17.24$20.4518.62 %
R.S.A. SmithTarget Price11/5/2010NVI Response90 2/5/2011$17.24$17.83.25 %
R.S. AdamsTarget Price11/5/2010Phase200 Response90 2/5/2011$17.24$17.763.02 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price11/5/2010Deseasonalized Least Squares Trend 2/5/2011$17.24$17.13-0.64 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price11/5/2010Raw Least Squares Trend 2/5/2011$17.24$17.13-0.64 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price11/5/2010Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 2/5/2011$17.24$16.2-6.03 %
S.A. ChiSupport Price11/5/2010Lower limit of typical Volatility 2/5/2011$17.24$14.67
D.B. VeblenSupport Price11/5/2010Nearest Volumetric Price Floor 2/5/2011$17.24$13
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Ares Capital Corporation











Ares Capital Corporation - Recent Technical Signals

A recent interesting signal was the CalibratedWilderRSIBiWeeklyModal seen on Monday, October 04, 2010.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
10/4/2010CalibratedWilderRSIBiWeeklyModalB12.00 %4.00 %
10/4/2010Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %
9/10/2010Wilder7RSI80or20S-12.00 %-7.00 %
9/10/2010CalibratedWilderRSIBiWeeklyModalS-39.00 %-15.00 %
7/13/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %



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Ares Capital Corporation









Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy of Ares Capital Corporation

This plot shows the actual results of last quarter's XML source forecasts.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Week-end Altitude
Above: Illustration from Chapter 6: No really strong signals during the past week. The most recent signal, "Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20 for Modal BiWeekly Cycle", was produced on Monday, October 04, 2010. In this range, it is most often considered to be a buy signal.



In The News:

Monday, November 15, 2010: We have news on PG&E Corporation, ticker symbol PCG. A significant moving average event has happened. Also, there are breaking events concerning Cree, Inc. and Abbott Laboratories.

From the News Archive: (11/12/2010 ) A favorable event happened at PetSmart, Inc. Meanwhile, bad news came from Intel, Chesapeake Energy Corporation, and JP Morgan Chase.



Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for Ares Capital Corporation from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


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