Predictions for BGG

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Predictions for BGG Stock Prices

Chapter XVI: Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to BGG over the next few months?

BGG:  Profitability during each Month

Some recent Technical Signals and Predictions from several entities are combined on this illustration to show how they relate to each other on a scale with recent prices.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars show technical signals. The impact of these signals is typically short-term. Conventional target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The green shaded ovals depict probability densities of response surface projections. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.


General Market Conditions

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Target Scoring BGG

Pct. Targets Above Base:Avg. Target PriceAvg. Appreciation
Simple Forecasts77.78 %16.772.02 %
Response Predictions100.00 %16.892.74 %



Table of Predictions for BGG

Analyst:Prediction TypeBase DateDescriptionTarget DateBase PriceTarget PricePct. Change
D.B. VeblenCeiling Price2/4/2010Nearest Volumetric Price Ceiling 5/4/2010$16.44$22.5
S.A. ChiCeiling Price2/4/2010Upper limit of typical Volatility 5/4/2010$16.44$18.8
E.S. ChaseTarget Price2/4/2010Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 5/4/2010$16.44$18.3811.80 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price2/4/2010Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 5/4/2010$16.44$16.973.22 %
T. PearsonTarget Price2/4/2010Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 5/4/2010$16.44$16.520.49 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price2/4/2010Raw Least Squares Trend 5/4/2010$16.44$16.912.86 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price2/4/2010Deseasonalized Least Squares Trend 5/4/2010$16.44$16.912.86 %
R.S.A. SmithTarget Price2/4/2010NVI Response90 5/4/2010$16.44$16.953.10 %
R.S. AdamsTarget Price2/4/2010Phase200 Response90 5/4/2010$16.44$16.892.74 %
D.B. VeblenCeiling Price2/4/2010Volumetric Mean As Ceiling 5/4/2010$16.44$16.78
C.D. TuringTarget Price2/4/2010Deseasonalized 5 Year Linear Trend 5/4/2010$16.44$15.68-4.62 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price2/4/20105 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 5/4/2010$16.44$15.74-4.26 %
D.B. VeblenSupport Price2/4/2010Nearest Volumetric Price Floor 5/4/2010$16.44$15


Briggs and Stratton - Recent Technical Signals

A recent interesting signal was the CalibratedWilderRSIBiWeeklyModal seen on Wednesday, February 03, 2010.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
2/4/2010WilderRSI80or20B15.00 %9.00 %
2/3/2010CalibratedWilderRSIBiWeeklyModalB12.00 %4.00 %
2/1/2010CalibratedWilderRSIB9.00 %5.00 %
1/29/2010Trigger5ProjectedCrossSMA20Over200B9.00 %3.00 %
1/26/2010Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %
1/25/2010SMA5Over200DivergenceB12.00 %3.00 %
1/6/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
12/23/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
12/18/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
12/18/2009VPI80by20B6.00 %6.00 %
12/11/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
12/8/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
12/7/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
11/17/2009BiWeeklySawTooth50xingB2.00 %-1.00 %
10/29/2009Wilder7RSI80or20S-12.00 %-7.00 %
10/23/2009CalibratedWilderRSIS-23.00 %-11.00 %
10/21/2009CalibratedWilderRSIBiWeeklyModalS-39.00 %-15.00 %
10/20/2009CalibratedWilderRSIS-23.00 %-11.00 %
10/20/2009Wilder7RSI80or20S-12.00 %-7.00 %



Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy of Briggs and Stratton

Past predictions are combined on this illustration to show how they relate to the actual prices that occurred.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Week-end Altitude
Above: Illustration from Chapter 6: On Wednesday, February 03, 2010 one of the calibrated RSI indicators entered the buy warning zone.



In The News:

Monday, February 08, 2010: We have news on American International Group, Inc., ticker symbol AIG. Some signs of an over-sold condition have become evident. Also, there are breaking events concerning Nicor Inc. and Illinois Tool Works Inc..

From the News Archive: (2/4/2010 ) Favorable events happened at MicroSoft, C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc., and Polo Ralph Lauren Corporation. Meanwhile, bad news came from Eastman Kodak.


Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface

BGG:   Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface


Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for Briggs and Stratton from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


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