Predictions for CAT

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Caterpillar Stock Predictions - CAT

Profitability during each Month of Caterpillar

Some recent Technical Signals and Predictions from several entities are combined on this illustration to show how they relate to each other on a scale with recent prices.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars show technical signals. The impact of these signals is typically short-term. Conventional target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The green shaded ovals depict probability densities of response surface projections. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.


General Market Conditions

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Target Scoring CAT

Pct. Targets Above Base:Avg. Target PriceAvg. Appreciation
Simple Forecasts44.44 %47.451.14 %
Response Predictions100.00 %48.212.77 %



Table of Predictions for CAT

Analyst:Prediction TypeBase DateDescriptionTarget DateBase PriceTarget PricePct. Change
D.B. VeblenCeiling Price1/2/2009Nearest Volumetric Price Ceiling 4/2/2009$46.91$70.5
E.S. ChaseTarget Price1/2/2009Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 4/2/2009$46.91$53.113.20 %
S.A. ChiCeiling Price1/2/2009Upper limit of typical Volatility 4/2/2009$46.91$52.74
T. PearsonTarget Price1/2/2009Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 4/2/2009$46.91$49.615.76 %
R.S.A. SmithTarget Price1/2/2009NVI Response90 4/2/2009$46.91$48.623.65 %
R.S. AdamsTarget Price1/2/2009Phase200 Response90 4/2/2009$46.91$48.212.77 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price1/2/2009Deseasonalized 5 Year Linear Trend 4/2/2009$46.91$46.78-0.28 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price1/2/20095 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 4/2/2009$46.91$45.95-2.05 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price1/2/2009Deseasonalized Least Squares Trend 4/2/2009$46.91$45.18-3.69 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price1/2/2009Raw Least Squares Trend 4/2/2009$46.91$45.18-3.69 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price1/2/2009Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 4/2/2009$46.91$44.38-5.39 %
D.B. VeblenSupport Price1/2/2009Nearest Volumetric Price Floor 4/2/2009$46.91$42
S.A. ChiSupport Price1/2/2009Lower limit of typical Volatility 4/2/2009$46.91$41.58


Some Recent Technical Signals from CAT

A recent interesting signal was the SMA5Over20Divergence seen on Monday, December 01, 2008.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
12/1/2008SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
11/26/2008BiWeeklySawTooth70or30B36.00 %22.00 %
11/12/2008SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
11/7/2008SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
10/10/2008CalibratedWilderRSIBiWeeklyModalB12.00 %4.00 %
10/8/2008Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %



Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy of Caterpillar

Past predictions are combined on this illustration to show how they relate to the actual prices that occurred.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Week-end Altitude
Above: Illustration from Chapter 5: This week has not seen any highly significant signals. On Monday, December 01, 2008, the "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", indicator produced a possible sell alert.



In The News:

Friday, January 02, 2009: We have news on Intel, ticker symbol INTC. Signs of an over-bought condition have become noticable. Also, there are breaking events concerning Praxair, Inc. and Allegheny Energy, Inc..

From the News Archive: (12/31/2008 ) Favorable events happened at Fluor Corporation (NEW) and National City Corporation. Meanwhile, bad news came from Office Depot, Inc. and Automatic Data Processing.


Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface

CAT:   Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface


Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for Caterpillar from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


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