Predictions for CSCO

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Stock Price Predictions for Cisco Systems

Chapter XVI: Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements.

CSCO:  Profitability during each Month

Some recent Technical Signals and Predictions from several entities are combined on this illustration to show how they relate to each other on a scale with recent prices.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars show technical signals. The impact of these signals is typically short-term. Conventional target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The green shaded ovals depict probability densities of response surface projections. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.


General Market Conditions

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Target Scoring CSCO

Pct. Targets Above Base:Avg. Target PriceAvg. Appreciation
Simple Forecasts88.89 %16.944.30 %
Response Predictions100.00 %16.823.57 %



Table of Predictions for CSCO

Analyst:Prediction TypeBase DateDescriptionTarget DateBase PriceTarget PricePct. Change
E.S. ChaseTarget Price12/23/2008Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 3/23/2009$16.24$19.7121.37 %
S.A. ChiCeiling Price12/23/2008Upper limit of typical Volatility 3/23/2009$16.24$19.48
D.B. VeblenCeiling Price12/23/2008Nearest Volumetric Price Ceiling 3/23/2009$16.24$18.5
C.D. TuringTarget Price12/23/2008Raw Least Squares Trend 3/23/2009$16.24$16.783.33 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price12/23/2008Deseasonalized Least Squares Trend 3/23/2009$16.24$16.783.33 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price12/23/2008Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 3/23/2009$16.24$16.642.46 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price12/23/2008Deseasonalized 5 Year Linear Trend 3/23/2009$16.24$16.753.14 %
R.S.A. SmithTarget Price12/23/2008NVI Response90 3/23/2009$16.24$16.662.59 %
R.S. AdamsTarget Price12/23/2008Phase200 Response90 3/23/2009$16.24$16.823.57 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price12/23/20085 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 3/23/2009$16.24$16.62.22 %
T. PearsonTarget Price12/23/2008Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 3/23/2009$16.24$15.7-3.33 %
D.B. VeblenSupport Price12/23/2008Volumetric Mean As Floor 3/23/2009$16.24$15.44


Cisco Systems - Recent Technical Signals

A recent interesting signal was the SMA5Over20Divergence seen on Tuesday, December 09, 2008.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
12/9/2008SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
11/6/2008SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
11/4/2008SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
11/3/2008CalibratedWilderRSIS-23.00 %-11.00 %
10/30/2008Wilder7RSI80or20S-12.00 %-7.00 %
10/10/2008Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %
9/29/2008SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
9/25/2008SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
9/5/2008BiWeeklySawTooth50xingB2.00 %-1.00 %



CSCO:  Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy

Past predictions are combined on this illustration to show how they relate to the actual prices that occurred.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Week-end Altitude
Above: Illustration from Chapter 5: No really strong signals during the past week. On Tuesday, December 09, 2008, the "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", indicator produced a possible sell alert.



In The News:

In the news, Friday, January 02, 2009: An unfavorable condition has developed with Comcast Corporation, ticker symbol CMCSA. Also, there are breaking events concerning Praxair, Inc. (PX) and Intel (INTC)

Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface

CSCO:   Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface


Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for Cisco Systems from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


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