Predictions for FDO

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Predictions for FDO Stock Prices

Chapter XVI: Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements.

Profitability during each Month of Family Dollar Stores, Inc.

Recent technical signals and a variety of forecasts from several of the XML Price Prediction services are shown compared to historical prices.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars mark conventional technical signals. The impact of these signals is short-term, so they may only effect prices for a day or two. The longer-term target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The shaded green circles depict the probability densities of response surface forecasts. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.


General Market Conditions

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More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for Family Dollar Stores, Inc.:


Target Scoring FDO

Pct. Targets Above Base:Avg. Target PriceAvg. Appreciation
Simple Forecasts88.89 %44.063.65 %
Response Predictions100.00 %43.833.11 %



Table of Predictions for FDO

Analyst:Prediction TypeBase DateDescriptionTarget DateBase PriceTarget PricePct. Change
E.S. ChaseTarget Price9/3/2010Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 12/3/2010$42.51$49.2515.86 %
S.A. ChiCeiling Price9/3/2010Upper limit of typical Volatility 12/3/2010$42.51$48.94
C.D. TuringTarget Price9/3/2010Deseasonalized Least Squares Trend 12/3/2010$42.51$43.93.27 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price9/3/2010Raw Least Squares Trend 12/3/2010$42.51$43.93.27 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price9/3/2010Deseasonalized 5 Year Linear Trend 12/3/2010$42.51$43.963.41 %
R.S.A. SmithTarget Price9/3/2010NVI Response90 12/3/2010$42.51$443.51 %
R.S. AdamsTarget Price9/3/2010Phase200 Response90 12/3/2010$42.51$43.833.11 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price9/3/20105 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 12/3/2010$42.51$431.15 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price9/3/2010Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 12/3/2010$42.51$42.941.01 %
T. PearsonTarget Price9/3/2010Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 12/3/2010$42.51$41.77-1.74 %
D.B. VeblenSupport Price9/3/2010Nearest Volumetric Price Floor 12/3/2010$42.51$38
S.A. ChiSupport Price9/3/2010Lower limit of typical Volatility 12/3/2010$42.51$36.58
FDO




Family Dollar Stores, Inc.











Recent Technical Indicators for Family Dollar Stores, Inc.

A recent interesting signal was the Wilder30RSI70or30 seen on Thursday, August 19, 2010.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
8/19/2010Wilder30RSI70or30S-55.00 %-21.00 %
8/17/2010WilderRSI80or20S-73.00 %-20.00 %
8/13/2010Wilder7RSI80or20S-12.00 %-7.00 %
7/30/2010BiWeeklySawTooth50xingS-34.00 %-15.00 %
7/28/2010Wilder7RSI80or20S-12.00 %-7.00 %
7/21/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
7/21/2010Wilder7RSI80or20S-12.00 %-7.00 %
7/16/2010Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %
6/25/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
6/24/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
6/3/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
6/3/2010Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %
5/19/2010Wilder90RSI60or40S-21.00 %-11.00 %



FDO




Family Dollar Stores, Inc.









FDO:  Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy

This plot shows the actual results of last quarter's XML source forecasts.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Week-end Altitude
Above: Illustration from Chapter 6: Recently there have not been any particularly significant signals. A signal from the "Wilder's 30 Day RSI Signals at 70 and 30", was flagged on Thursday, August 19, 2010. This value of the indicator is generally interpreted as a sell signal.



In The News:

Tuesday, September 07, 2010: We have news on Brocade Communications Systems, Inc., ticker symbol BRCD. Signs of an over-bought condition have become noticable. Also, there are breaking events concerning Apartment Investment and Management Co. and Mitsui & Company, Ltd..

From the News Archive: (9/3/2010 ) Bad news came from Hewlett Packard, News Corporation, Discovery Communications, Inc, and Electronic Data Systems.



Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for Family Dollar Stores, Inc. from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


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