Predictions for FDX

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Fedex Stock Predictions - FDX

Chapter XVI: Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements.

FDX:  Profitability during each Month

This plot shows recent signals and predictions from several XML sources in relation to recent prices.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars mark conventional technical signals. The impact of these signals is short-term, so they may only effect prices for a day or two. The longer-term target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The shaded green circles depict the probability densities of response surface forecasts. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.


General Market Conditions

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Target Scoring FDX

Pct. Targets Above Base:Avg. Target PriceAvg. Appreciation
Simple Forecasts88.89 %59.025.05 %
Response Predictions100.00 %58.263.70 %



Table of Predictions for FDX

Analyst:Prediction TypeBase DateDescriptionTarget DateBase PriceTarget PricePct. Change
E.S. ChaseTarget Price7/1/2009Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 10/1/2009$56.18$76.4336.04 %
S.A. ChiCeiling Price7/1/2009Upper limit of typical Volatility 10/1/2009$56.18$66.53
D.B. VeblenCeiling Price7/1/2009Nearest Volumetric Price Ceiling 10/1/2009$56.18$64.5
C.D. TuringTarget Price7/1/2009Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 10/1/2009$56.18$57.672.65 %
R.S. AdamsTarget Price7/1/2009Phase200 Response90 10/1/2009$56.18$58.263.70 %
R.S.A. SmithTarget Price7/1/2009NVI Response90 10/1/2009$56.18$57.762.81 %
T. PearsonTarget Price7/1/2009Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 10/1/2009$56.18$56.710.94 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price7/1/2009Raw Least Squares Trend 10/1/2009$56.18$56.420.43 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price7/1/2009Deseasonalized Least Squares Trend 10/1/2009$56.18$56.420.43 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price7/1/20095 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 10/1/2009$56.18$56.360.32 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price7/1/2009Deseasonalized 5 Year Linear Trend 10/1/2009$56.18$55.13-1.87 %
D.B. VeblenSupport Price7/1/2009Nearest Volumetric Price Floor 10/1/2009$56.18$51
S.A. ChiSupport Price7/1/2009Lower limit of typical Volatility 10/1/2009$56.18$46.33


Fedex - Recent Technical Signals

A recent interesting signal was the SMA5Over20Divergence seen on Tuesday, June 30, 2009.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
6/30/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
6/16/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
6/16/2009Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %
6/4/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
5/29/2009BiWeeklySawTooth50xingB2.00 %-1.00 %
5/22/2009BiWeeklySawTooth50xingS-34.00 %-15.00 %
5/20/2009BiWeeklySawTooth50xingB2.00 %-1.00 %
5/19/2009BiWeeklySawTooth50xingS-34.00 %-15.00 %
5/15/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %



FDX:  Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy

Past predictions are combined on this illustration to show how they relate to the actual prices that occurred.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Week-end Altitude
Above: Illustration from Chapter 5: On Tuesday, June 30, 2009, the "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", indicator produced a possible sell alert.



In The News:

Wednesday, July 01, 2009: We have news on Public Service Enterprise Group Inc., ticker symbol PEG. Signs of an over-bought condition have become noticable. Also, there are breaking events concerning The Travelers Companies, Inc. and Kellogg Company.

From the News Archive: (7/1/2009 ) Favorable events happened at Allegheny Energy, Inc., Bank of America Corporation, and American International Group, Inc.. Meanwhile, bad news came from Lexmark International, Inc..


Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface

FDX:   Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface


Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for Fedex from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


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