Predictions for GD

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Predictions for GD Stock Prices

GD:  Profitability during each Month

This plot shows recent signals and predictions from several XML sources in relation to recent prices.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars show technical signals. The impact of these signals is typically short-term. Conventional target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The green shaded ovals depict probability densities of response surface projections. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.


General Market Conditions

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Target Scoring GD

Pct. Targets Above Base:Avg. Target PriceAvg. Appreciation
Simple Forecasts44.44 %76.471.98 %
Response Predictions100.00 %77.062.77 %



Table of Predictions for GD

Analyst:Prediction TypeBase DateDescriptionTarget DateBase PriceTarget PricePct. Change
E.S. ChaseTarget Price3/17/2010Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 6/17/2010$74.98$86.9215.92 %
S.A. ChiCeiling Price3/17/2010Upper limit of typical Volatility 6/17/2010$74.98$83.74
R.S.A. SmithTarget Price3/17/2010NVI Response90 6/17/2010$74.98$77.613.51 %
T. PearsonTarget Price3/17/2010Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 6/17/2010$74.98$77.212.97 %
R.S. AdamsTarget Price3/17/2010Phase200 Response90 6/17/2010$74.98$77.062.77 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price3/17/2010Deseasonalized Least Squares Trend 6/17/2010$74.98$74.35-0.84 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price3/17/2010Raw Least Squares Trend 6/17/2010$74.98$74.35-0.84 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price3/17/2010Deseasonalized 5 Year Linear Trend 6/17/2010$74.98$74.32-0.88 %
D.B. VeblenCeiling Price3/17/2010Nearest Volumetric Price Ceiling 6/17/2010$74.98$74.5
C.D. TuringTarget Price3/17/20105 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 6/17/2010$74.98$73.17-2.41 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price3/17/2010Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 6/17/2010$74.98$73.2-2.37 %
S.A. ChiSupport Price3/17/2010Lower limit of typical Volatility 6/17/2010$74.98$66.72
D.B. VeblenSupport Price3/17/2010Nearest Volumetric Price Floor 6/17/2010$74.98$53


Some Recent Technical Signals from GD

A recent interesting signal was the SMA5Over20Divergence seen on Wednesday, February 17, 2010.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
2/17/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
1/25/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
12/8/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
12/4/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %



Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy of General Dynamics

This plot shows the actual results of last quarter's XML source forecasts.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Week-end Altitude
Above: Illustration from Chapter 5: Recently there have not been any particularly significant signals. The most recent signal, "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", was produced on Wednesday, February 17, 2010. In this range, it is most often considered to be a sell signal.



In The News:

Friday, March 19, 2010: We have news on L-3 Communications Holdings, Inc., ticker symbol LLL. Signs of an over-bought condition have become noticable. Also, there are breaking events concerning American Tower Corporation and Mylan Inc..

From the News Archive: (3/18/2010 ) Bad news came from Sempra Energy, Allergan, Inc., TECO Energy, Inc., and PepsiCo.


Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface

 Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface of General Dynamics


Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for General Dynamics from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


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