Predictions for GM

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General Motors Stock Predictions - GM

Chapter XVI: Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements.

GM:  Profitability during each Month

Recent technical signals and a variety of forecasts from several of the XML Price Prediction services are shown compared to historical prices.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars mark conventional technical signals. The impact of these signals is short-term, so they may only effect prices for a day or two. The longer-term target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The shaded green circles depict the probability densities of response surface forecasts. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.


General Market Conditions

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Target Scoring GM

Pct. Targets Above Base:Avg. Target PriceAvg. Appreciation
Simple Forecasts77.78 %3.024.94 %
Response Predictions100.00 %4.2146.18 %



Table of Predictions for GM

Analyst:Prediction TypeBase DateDescriptionTarget DateBase PriceTarget PricePct. Change
D.B. VeblenCeiling Price11/20/2008Volumetric Mean As Ceiling 2/20/2009$2.88$24.58
D.B. VeblenCeiling Price11/20/2008Nearest Volumetric Price Ceiling 2/20/2009$2.88$11.5
S.A. ChiCeiling Price11/20/2008Upper limit of typical Volatility 2/20/2009$2.88$3.73
R.S. AdamsTarget Price11/20/2008Phase200 Response90 2/20/2009$2.88$4.2146.18 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price11/20/2008Raw Least Squares Trend 2/20/2009$2.88$3.086.94 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price11/20/2008Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 2/20/2009$2.88$3.117.99 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price11/20/2008Deseasonalized Least Squares Trend 2/20/2009$2.88$3.086.94 %
T. PearsonTarget Price11/20/2008Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 2/20/2009$2.88$3.045.56 %
R.S.A. SmithTarget Price11/20/2008NVI Response90 2/20/2009$2.88$3.097.29 %
E.S. ChaseTarget Price11/20/2008Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 2/20/2009$2.88$3.2412.50 %
S.A. ChiSupport Price11/20/2008Lower limit of typical Volatility 2/20/2009$2.88$2.53
C.D. TuringTarget Price11/20/20085 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 2/20/2009$2.88$2.19-23.96 %


Recent Technical Indicators for General Motors

A recent interesting signal was the CalibratedWilderRSIBiWeeklyModal seen on Friday, November 14, 2008.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
11/14/2008CalibratedWilderRSIB9.00 %5.00 %
11/14/2008CalibratedWilderRSIBiWeeklyModalB12.00 %4.00 %
11/10/2008Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %
10/10/2008Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %
9/26/2008SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
9/4/2008SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
8/13/2008BiWeeklySawTooth70or30B36.00 %22.00 %
8/1/2008SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
7/23/2008BiWeeklySawTooth50xingB2.00 %-1.00 %



Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy of General Motors

This plot shows the actual results of last quarter's XML source forecasts.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Week-end Altitude
Above: Illustration from Chapter 6: On Friday, November 14, 2008 one of the calibrated RSI indicators entered the buy warning zone.



In The News:

In the news, Thursday, November 20, 2008: A favorable condition has developed with American International Group, Inc., ticker symbol AIG. Also, there are breaking events concerning CitiGroup (C) and Corning (GLW)

Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface

GM:   Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface


Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for General Motors from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


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