Predictions for HAL

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Stock Price Predictions for Halliburton

Chapter XVI: Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements.

Profitability during each Month of Halliburton

Some recent Technical Signals and Predictions from several entities are combined on this illustration to show how they relate to each other on a scale with recent prices.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars mark conventional technical signals. The impact of these signals is short-term, so they may only effect prices for a day or two. The longer-term target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The shaded green circles depict the probability densities of response surface forecasts. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.


General Market Conditions

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Target Scoring HAL

Pct. Targets Above Base:Avg. Target PriceAvg. Appreciation
Simple Forecasts66.67 %33.533.10 %
Response Predictions100.00 %33.452.86 %



Table of Predictions for HAL

Analyst:Prediction TypeBase DateDescriptionTarget DateBase PriceTarget PricePct. Change
E.S. ChaseTarget Price3/17/2010Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 6/17/2010$32.52$38.0917.13 %
S.A. ChiCeiling Price3/17/2010Upper limit of typical Volatility 6/17/2010$32.52$37.79
C.D. TuringTarget Price3/17/2010Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 6/17/2010$32.52$33.73.63 %
T. PearsonTarget Price3/17/2010Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 6/17/2010$32.52$33.723.69 %
R.S.A. SmithTarget Price3/17/2010NVI Response90 6/17/2010$32.52$33.663.51 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price3/17/20105 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 6/17/2010$32.52$33.452.86 %
R.S. AdamsTarget Price3/17/2010Phase200 Response90 6/17/2010$32.52$33.452.86 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price3/17/2010Deseasonalized Least Squares Trend 6/17/2010$32.52$31.97-1.69 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price3/17/2010Deseasonalized 5 Year Linear Trend 6/17/2010$32.52$31.73-2.43 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price3/17/2010Raw Least Squares Trend 6/17/2010$32.52$31.97-1.69 %
D.B. VeblenSupport Price3/17/2010Nearest Volumetric Price Floor 6/17/2010$32.52$30
S.A. ChiSupport Price3/17/2010Lower limit of typical Volatility 6/17/2010$32.52$27.75


Recent Technical Indicators for Halliburton

A recent interesting signal was the SMA5Over20Divergence seen on Thursday, February 18, 2010.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
2/18/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
1/29/2010Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %
1/27/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
12/18/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
12/7/2009CalibratedWilderRSIB9.00 %5.00 %
12/4/2009Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %
11/25/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %



HAL:  Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy

This plot shows the actual results of last quarter's XML source forecasts.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Week-end Altitude
Above: Illustration from Chapter 5: Recently there have not been any particularly significant signals. A signal from the "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", was flagged on Thursday, February 18, 2010. This value of the indicator is generally interpreted as a sell signal.



In The News:

Thursday, March 18, 2010: We have news on MicroSoft, ticker symbol MSFT. Signs of an over-bought condition have become noticable. Also, there are breaking events concerning Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. and LoJack Corp.

From the News Archive: (3/17/2010 ) Favorable events happened at ACM Income Fund and Martha Stewart. Meanwhile, bad news came from Sempra Energy and Walmart.


Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface

 Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface of Halliburton


Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for Halliburton from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


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