Predictions for IBM

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Stock Price Predictions for International Business Machines

IBM:  Profitability during each Month

This plot shows recent signals and predictions from several XML sources in relation to recent prices.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars show technical signals. The impact of these signals is typically short-term. Conventional target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The green shaded ovals depict probability densities of response surface projections. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.


General Market Conditions

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Target Scoring IBM

Pct. Targets Above Base:Avg. Target PriceAvg. Appreciation
Simple Forecasts100.00 %108.392.56 %
Response Predictions100.00 %108.933.08 %



Table of Predictions for IBM

Analyst:Prediction TypeBase DateDescriptionTarget DateBase PriceTarget PricePct. Change
S.A. ChiCeiling Price6/26/2009Upper limit of typical Volatility 9/26/2009$105.68$116.83
E.S. ChaseTarget Price6/26/2009Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 9/26/2009$105.68$115.829.60 %
R.S. AdamsTarget Price6/26/2009Phase200 Response90 9/26/2009$105.68$108.933.08 %
R.S.A. SmithTarget Price6/26/2009NVI Response90 9/26/2009$105.68$109.183.31 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price6/26/2009Raw Least Squares Trend 9/26/2009$105.68$106.991.24 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price6/26/2009Deseasonalized Least Squares Trend 9/26/2009$105.68$106.991.24 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price6/26/2009Deseasonalized 5 Year Linear Trend 9/26/2009$105.68$107.461.68 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price6/26/2009Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 9/26/2009$105.68$106.570.84 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price6/26/20095 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 9/26/2009$105.68$107.041.29 %
T. PearsonTarget Price6/26/2009Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 9/26/2009$105.68$106.50.78 %
S.A. ChiSupport Price6/26/2009Lower limit of typical Volatility 9/26/2009$105.68$95.03
D.B. VeblenSupport Price6/26/2009Nearest Volumetric Price Floor 9/26/2009$105.68$78


International Business Machines - Recent Technical Signals

A recent interesting signal was the Wilder90RSI60or40 seen on Monday, June 01, 2009.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
6/24/2009CalibratedWilderRSIBiWeeklyModalB12.00 %4.00 %
6/23/2009Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %
6/23/2009CalibratedWilderRSIB9.00 %5.00 %
6/22/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
6/1/2009Wilder90RSI60or40S-21.00 %-11.00 %
5/18/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
5/15/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
5/13/2009Wilder90RSI60or40S-21.00 %-11.00 %
4/23/2009Wilder90RSI60or40S-21.00 %-11.00 %
4/20/2009SMA20Over200DivergenceS-29.00 %-12.00 %
4/17/2009Wilder90RSI60or40S-21.00 %-11.00 %
4/9/2009Trigger5ProjectedCrossSMA20Over200S-18.00 %-10.00 %
4/7/2009SMA5Over200DivergenceS-25.00 %-12.00 %
3/23/2009CalibratedWilderRSIS-23.00 %-11.00 %
3/23/2009Wilder7RSI80or20S-12.00 %-7.00 %
3/20/2009CalibratedWilderRSIBiWeeklyModalS-39.00 %-15.00 %
3/17/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %



IBM:  Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy

Past predictions are combined on this illustration to show how they relate to the actual prices that occurred.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Week-end Altitude
Above: Illustration from Chapter 6: A strong sell signal from the 90 session RSI (Wilder) occurred on Monday, June 01, 2009.



In The News:

Wednesday, July 01, 2009: We have news on Pitney Bowes Inc., ticker symbol PBI. A significant moving average event has happened. Also, there are breaking events concerning Public Service Enterprise Group Inc. and Pinnacle West Capital Corporation.

From the News Archive: (7/1/2009 ) A favorable event happened at The Travelers Companies, Inc.. Meanwhile, bad news came from Fiserv, Inc., MeadWestvaco Corp., and Nicor Inc..


Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface

IBM:   Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface


Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for International Business Machines from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


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For Subscribers: Refined Predictions for International Business Machines

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