Predictions for LU

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Predictions for LU Stock Prices

Profitability during each Month of Lucent Technologies

Recent technical signals and a variety of forecasts from several of the XML Price Prediction services are shown compared to historical prices.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars mark conventional technical signals. The impact of these signals is short-term, so they may only effect prices for a day or two. The longer-term target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The shaded green circles depict the probability densities of response surface forecasts. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.


General Market Conditions

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Target Scoring LU

Pct. Targets Above Base:Avg. Target PriceAvg. Appreciation
Simple Forecasts33.33 %2.76-7.89 %
Response Predictions100.00 %3.103.33 %



Table of Predictions for LU

Analyst:Prediction TypeBase DateDescriptionTarget DateBase PriceTarget PricePct. Change
D.B. VeblenCeiling Price4/13/2006Nearest Volumetric Price Ceiling 7/13/2006$3$28.5
D.B. VeblenCeiling Price4/13/2006Volumetric Mean As Ceiling 7/13/2006$3$8.47
E.S. ChaseTarget Price4/13/2006Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 7/13/2006$3$3.6923.00 %
S.A. ChiCeiling Price4/13/2006Upper limit of typical Volatility 7/13/2006$3$4.2
T. PearsonTarget Price4/13/2006Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 7/13/2006$3$2.96-1.33 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price4/13/2006Deseasonalized 5 Year Linear Trend 7/13/2006$3$2.78-7.33 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price4/13/20065 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 7/13/2006$3$2.51-16.33 %
R.S. AdamsTarget Price4/13/2006Phase200 Response90 7/13/2006$3$3.13.33 %
R.S.A. SmithTarget Price4/13/2006NVI Response90 7/13/2006$3$3.165.33 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price4/13/2006Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 7/13/2006$3$2.07-31.00 %
S.A. ChiSupport Price4/13/2006Lower limit of typical Volatility 7/13/2006$3$2.3
C.D. TuringTarget Price4/13/2006Raw Least Squares Trend 7/13/2006$3$2.3-23.33 %


Some Recent Technical Signals from LU

A recent interesting signal was the SMA20Over200Divergence seen on Thursday, March 30, 2006.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
3/30/2006SMA20Over200DivergenceS-31.00 %-14.00 %
3/27/2006SMA5Over200DivergenceS-39.00 %-18.00 %
3/24/2006SMACalibratedMbyQB-11.00 %-6.00 %
3/24/2006VPI80by20B22.00 %12.00 %
3/24/2006SMA5Over20DivergenceS-13.00 %-7.00 %
3/23/2006SMA5Over20DivergenceB20.00 %7.00 %
3/20/2006SMACalibratedMbyQS19.00 %8.00 %
2/9/2006SMACalibratedFullCycleMbyQB-23.00 %-11.00 %
2/2/2006SMA5Over20DivergenceS-13.00 %-7.00 %
2/2/2006SMACalibratedMbyQB-11.00 %-6.00 %
1/30/2006SMACalibratedFullCycleMbyQS24.00 %10.00 %
1/30/2006SMACalibratedMbyQS19.00 %8.00 %
1/27/2006SMACalibratedFullCycleMbyQB-23.00 %-11.00 %
1/27/2006SMACalibratedMbyQB-11.00 %-6.00 %



LU:  Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy

The last quarter's forecasts from XML prediction sources are shown in relation to the prices that actually occurred.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Week-end Altitude
Above: Illustration from Chapter 5: Recently there have not been any particularly significant signals. A signal from the "Moving Avg. 20/200 Divergence", was flagged on Thursday, March 30, 2006. This value of the indicator is generally interpreted as a sell signal.



In The News:

In the news, Friday, January 02, 2009: An unfavorable condition has developed with Comcast Corporation, ticker symbol CMCSA. Also, there are breaking events concerning Praxair, Inc. (PX) and Intel (INTC)

Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface

LU:   Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface


Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for Lucent Technologies from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


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