Predictions for MCD

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McDonalds Stock Predictions - MCD

Chapter XVI: Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements.

MCD:  Profitability during each Month

This plot shows recent signals and predictions from several XML sources in relation to recent prices.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars mark conventional technical signals. The impact of these signals is short-term, so they may only effect prices for a day or two. The longer-term target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The shaded green circles depict the probability densities of response surface forecasts. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.


General Market Conditions

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Target Scoring MCD

Pct. Targets Above Base:Avg. Target PriceAvg. Appreciation
Simple Forecasts88.89 %62.563.14 %
Response Predictions100.00 %62.713.40 %



Table of Predictions for MCD

Analyst:Prediction TypeBase DateDescriptionTarget DateBase PriceTarget PricePct. Change
E.S. ChaseTarget Price12/23/2008Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 3/23/2009$60.65$68.0612.22 %
S.A. ChiCeiling Price12/23/2008Upper limit of typical Volatility 3/23/2009$60.65$67
C.D. TuringTarget Price12/23/2008Deseasonalized 5 Year Linear Trend 3/23/2009$60.65$63.364.47 %
R.S. AdamsTarget Price12/23/2008Phase200 Response90 3/23/2009$60.65$62.713.40 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price12/23/2008Raw Least Squares Trend 3/23/2009$60.65$61.791.88 %
T. PearsonTarget Price12/23/2008Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 3/23/2009$60.65$61.711.75 %
R.S.A. SmithTarget Price12/23/2008NVI Response90 3/23/2009$60.65$62.242.62 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price12/23/2008Deseasonalized Least Squares Trend 3/23/2009$60.65$61.791.88 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price12/23/20085 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 3/23/2009$60.65$61.431.29 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price12/23/2008Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 3/23/2009$60.65$59.91-1.22 %
D.B. VeblenSupport Price12/23/2008Nearest Volumetric Price Floor 3/23/2009$60.65$55
S.A. ChiSupport Price12/23/2008Lower limit of typical Volatility 3/23/2009$60.65$54.8


McDonalds - Recent Technical Signals

A recent interesting signal was the SMA20Over200Divergence seen on Friday, December 12, 2008.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
12/12/2008SMA20Over200DivergenceS-29.00 %-12.00 %
12/5/2008BiWeeklySawTooth50xingS-34.00 %-15.00 %
12/5/2008Trigger5ProjectedCrossSMA20Over200S-18.00 %-10.00 %
12/3/2008SMA5Over200DivergenceS-25.00 %-12.00 %
11/28/2008SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
11/19/2008SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
11/14/2008SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
11/13/2008SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
10/31/2008SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
10/22/2008SMA20Over200DivergenceB7.00 %1.00 %
10/15/2008Trigger5ProjectedCrossSMA20Over200B9.00 %3.00 %
10/9/2008SMA5Over200DivergenceB12.00 %3.00 %
10/9/2008BiWeeklySawTooth50xingB2.00 %-1.00 %
9/26/2008SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %



Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy of McDonalds

Past predictions are combined on this illustration to show how they relate to the actual prices that occurred.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Week-end Altitude
Above: Illustration from Chapter 5: This week has not seen any highly significant signals. A signal from the "Moving Avg. 20/200 Divergence", was flagged on Friday, December 12, 2008. This value of the indicator is generally interpreted as a sell signal.



In The News:

In the news, Friday, January 02, 2009: An unfavorable condition has developed with Comcast Corporation, ticker symbol CMCSA. Also, there are breaking events concerning Praxair, Inc. (PX) and Intel (INTC)

Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface

MCD:   Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface


Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for McDonalds from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


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