Predictions for MSFT

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Predictions for MSFT Stock Prices

Chapter XVI: Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to MSFT over the next few months?

Profitability during each Month of MicroSoft

The chart represents recent technical signals and forecasts from various XML sources in relation to recent price history.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars mark conventional technical signals. The impact of these signals is short-term, so they may only effect prices for a day or two. The longer-term target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The shaded green circles depict the probability densities of response surface forecasts. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.


General Market Conditions

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More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for MicroSoft:


Target Scoring MSFT

Pct. Targets Above Base:Avg. Target PriceAvg. Appreciation
Simple Forecasts77.78 %28.722.51 %
Response Predictions100.00 %28.832.89 %



Table of Predictions for MSFT

Analyst:Prediction TypeBase DateDescriptionTarget DateBase PriceTarget PricePct. Change
E.S. ChaseTarget Price2/5/2010Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 5/5/2010$28.02$32.4215.70 %
S.A. ChiCeiling Price2/5/2010Upper limit of typical Volatility 5/5/2010$28.02$32.25
D.B. VeblenCeiling Price2/5/2010Nearest Volumetric Price Ceiling 5/5/2010$28.02$32.5
C.D. TuringTarget Price2/5/2010Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 5/5/2010$28.02$28.551.89 %
R.S. AdamsTarget Price2/5/2010Phase200 Response90 5/5/2010$28.02$28.832.89 %
R.S.A. SmithTarget Price2/5/2010NVI Response90 5/5/2010$28.02$29.063.71 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price2/5/2010Raw Least Squares Trend 5/5/2010$28.02$28.210.68 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price2/5/2010Deseasonalized Least Squares Trend 5/5/2010$28.02$28.210.68 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price2/5/20105 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 5/5/2010$28.02$28.170.54 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price2/5/2010Deseasonalized 5 Year Linear Trend 5/5/2010$28.02$27.84-0.64 %
T. PearsonTarget Price2/5/2010Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 5/5/2010$28.02$27.21-2.89 %
S.A. ChiSupport Price2/5/2010Lower limit of typical Volatility 5/5/2010$28.02$24.29
D.B. VeblenSupport Price2/5/2010Nearest Volumetric Price Floor 5/5/2010$28.02$22


MicroSoft - Recent Technical Signals

A recent interesting signal was the Wilder7RSI80or20 seen on Thursday, February 04, 2010.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
2/4/2010Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %
2/4/2010CalibratedWilderRSIB9.00 %5.00 %
2/2/2010Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %
1/12/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
11/13/2009Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %
10/23/2009VPI80by20B6.00 %6.00 %
10/15/2009Wilder7RSI80or20S-12.00 %-7.00 %
10/13/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %



Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy of MicroSoft

The last quarter's forecasts from XML prediction sources are shown in relation to the prices that actually occurred.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Week-end Altitude
Above: Illustration from Chapter 6: A signal from the "Wilder's 7 Day RSI Signals at 80 and 20", was flagged on Thursday, February 04, 2010. This value of the indicator is generally interpreted as a buy signal.



In The News:

Monday, February 08, 2010: We have news on American International Group, Inc., ticker symbol AIG. Some signs of an over-sold condition have become evident. Also, there are breaking events concerning Archer-Daniels-Midland and Wells Fargo & Company.

From the News Archive: (2/5/2010 ) Favorable events happened at Marathon Oil Corporation, Pactiv Corporation, and Range Resources Corp.. Meanwhile, bad news came from Genzyme Corporation.


Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface

 Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface of MicroSoft


Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for MicroSoft from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


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For Subscribers: Refined Predictions for MicroSoft

Refined Stock Price Predictions for MSFT :



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