Predictions for MSO

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Stock Price Predictions for Martha Stewart

MSO:  Profitability during each Month

Some recent Technical Signals and Predictions from several entities are combined on this illustration to show how they relate to each other on a scale with recent prices.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars show technical signals. The impact of these signals is typically short-term. Conventional target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The green shaded ovals depict probability densities of response surface projections. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.


General Market Conditions

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Target Scoring MSO

Pct. Targets Above Base:Avg. Target PriceAvg. Appreciation
Simple Forecasts44.44 %5.16-4.49 %
Response Predictions100.00 %5.562.96 %



Table of Predictions for MSO

Analyst:Prediction TypeBase DateDescriptionTarget DateBase PriceTarget PricePct. Change
D.B. VeblenCeiling Price3/18/2010Volumetric Mean As Ceiling 6/18/2010$5.4$16.27
D.B. VeblenCeiling Price3/18/2010Nearest Volumetric Price Ceiling 6/18/2010$5.4$8.5
E.S. ChaseTarget Price3/18/2010Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 6/18/2010$5.4$6.6923.89 %
S.A. ChiCeiling Price3/18/2010Upper limit of typical Volatility 6/18/2010$5.4$7.25
T. PearsonTarget Price3/18/2010Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 6/18/2010$5.4$5.725.93 %
R.S.A. SmithTarget Price3/18/2010NVI Response90 6/18/2010$5.4$5.613.89 %
R.S. AdamsTarget Price3/18/2010Phase200 Response90 6/18/2010$5.4$5.562.96 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price3/18/2010Deseasonalized Least Squares Trend 6/18/2010$5.4$5.07-6.11 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price3/18/2010Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 6/18/2010$5.4$4.77-11.67 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price3/18/2010Raw Least Squares Trend 6/18/2010$5.4$5.07-6.11 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price3/18/20105 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 6/18/2010$5.4$3.84-28.89 %
S.A. ChiSupport Price3/18/2010Lower limit of typical Volatility 6/18/2010$5.4$4.05


Some Recent Technical Signals from MSO

A recent interesting signal was the SMA5Over20Divergence seen on Wednesday, March 17, 2010.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
3/17/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
2/25/2010Wilder7RSI80or20S-12.00 %-7.00 %
2/19/2010Wilder7RSI80or20S-12.00 %-7.00 %
2/17/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
2/17/2010Wilder7RSI80or20S-12.00 %-7.00 %
2/17/2010VPI80by20B6.00 %6.00 %
2/16/2010SMA5Over200DivergenceS-25.00 %-12.00 %
2/12/2010Trigger5ProjectedCrossSMA20Over200B9.00 %3.00 %
2/9/2010Trigger5ProjectedCrossSMA20Over200B9.00 %3.00 %
2/2/2010SMA5Over200DivergenceB12.00 %3.00 %
1/29/2010Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %
1/26/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
1/7/2010VPI80by20B6.00 %6.00 %
1/7/2010BiWeeklySawTooth50xingB2.00 %-1.00 %
1/7/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
1/4/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
11/27/2009Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %



Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy of Martha Stewart

This plot shows the actual results of last quarter's XML source forecasts.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Week-end Altitude
Above: Illustration from Chapter 5: A signal from the "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", was flagged on Wednesday, March 17, 2010. This value of the indicator is generally interpreted as a buy signal.



In The News:

Friday, March 19, 2010: We have news on L-3 Communications Holdings, Inc., ticker symbol LLL. Signs of an over-bought condition have become noticable. Also, there are breaking events concerning American Tower Corporation and Mylan Inc..

From the News Archive: (3/18/2010 ) Bad news came from Sempra Energy, Allergan, Inc., TECO Energy, Inc., and PepsiCo.


Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface

MSO:   Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface


Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for Martha Stewart from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


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For Subscribers: Refined Predictions for Martha Stewart

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