Predictions for MVL

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Stock Price Predictions for Marvel Comics

Chapter XVI: Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to MVL over the next few months?

Profitability during each Month of Marvel Comics

The chart represents recent technical signals and forecasts from various XML sources in relation to recent price history.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars show technical signals. The impact of these signals is typically short-term. Conventional target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The green shaded ovals depict probability densities of response surface projections. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.


General Market Conditions

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Target Scoring MVL

Pct. Targets Above Base:Avg. Target PriceAvg. Appreciation
Simple Forecasts66.67 %55.532.67 %
Response Predictions100.00 %56.965.33 %



Table of Predictions for MVL

Analyst:Prediction TypeBase DateDescriptionTarget DateBase PriceTarget PricePct. Change
E.S. ChaseTarget Price12/31/2009Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 3/31/2010$54.08$67.2524.35 %
S.A. ChiCeiling Price12/31/2009Upper limit of typical Volatility 3/31/2010$54.08$65.89
R.S. AdamsTarget Price12/31/2009Phase200 Response90 3/31/2010$54.08$56.965.33 %
R.S.A. SmithTarget Price12/31/2009NVI Response90 3/31/2010$54.08$55.923.40 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price12/31/2009Raw Least Squares Trend 3/31/2010$54.08$54.91.52 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price12/31/2009Deseasonalized Least Squares Trend 3/31/2010$54.08$54.911.53 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price12/31/2009Deseasonalized 5 Year Linear Trend 3/31/2010$54.08$55.031.76 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price12/31/20095 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 3/31/2010$54.08$52.71-2.53 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price12/31/2009Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 3/31/2010$54.08$52.59-2.76 %
T. PearsonTarget Price12/31/2009Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 3/31/2010$54.08$49.46-8.54 %
D.B. VeblenSupport Price12/31/2009Nearest Volumetric Price Floor 3/31/2010$54.08$49
S.A. ChiSupport Price12/31/2009Lower limit of typical Volatility 3/31/2010$54.08$42.77


Recent Technical Indicators for Marvel Comics

A recent interesting signal was the VPI80by20 seen on Thursday, December 31, 2009.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
12/31/2009VPI80by20B6.00 %6.00 %
12/22/2009BiWeeklySawTooth70or30S-26.00 %-9.00 %
11/18/2009VPI80by20S-11.00 %-2.00 %
11/10/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
10/29/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
10/15/2009CalibratedWilderRSIBiWeeklyModalS-39.00 %-15.00 %
10/14/2009Wilder7RSI80or20S-12.00 %-7.00 %



MVL:  Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy

Past predictions are combined on this illustration to show how they relate to the actual prices that occurred.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Week-end Altitude
Above: Illustration from Chapter 9: The Volume Portion Index (VPI) on Thursday, December 31, 2009 reached a range extreme. Interpretation of this event is dependent on the direction of the price movement.



In The News:

Monday, February 08, 2010: We have news on Vulcan Materials Company, ticker symbol VMC. A significant moving average event has happened. Also, there are breaking events concerning American International Group, Inc. and International Game Technology.

From the News Archive: (2/8/2010 ) Favorable events happened at Nicor Inc. and Pactiv Corporation. Meanwhile, bad news came from AutoZone, Inc. and Genzyme Corporation.


Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface

 Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface of Marvel Comics


Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for Marvel Comics from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


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