Predictions for PG

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Predictions for PG Stock Prices

Chapter XVI: Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements.

Profitability during each Month of Procter and Gamble

Some recent Technical Signals and Predictions from several entities are combined on this illustration to show how they relate to each other on a scale with recent prices.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars show technical signals. The impact of these signals is typically short-term. Conventional target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The green shaded ovals depict probability densities of response surface projections. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.


General Market Conditions

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Target Scoring PG

Pct. Targets Above Base:Avg. Target PriceAvg. Appreciation
Simple Forecasts88.89 %62.631.75 %
Response Predictions100.00 %63.332.89 %



Table of Predictions for PG

Analyst:Prediction TypeBase DateDescriptionTarget DateBase PriceTarget PricePct. Change
S.A. ChiCeiling Price1/29/2010Upper limit of typical Volatility 4/29/2010$61.55$67.04
E.S. ChaseTarget Price1/29/2010Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 4/29/2010$61.55$65.856.99 %
R.S.A. SmithTarget Price1/29/2010NVI Response90 4/29/2010$61.55$63.843.72 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price1/29/2010Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 4/29/2010$61.55$62.531.59 %
R.S. AdamsTarget Price1/29/2010Phase200 Response90 4/29/2010$61.55$63.332.89 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price1/29/2010Deseasonalized Least Squares Trend 4/29/2010$61.55$62.251.14 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price1/29/2010Raw Least Squares Trend 4/29/2010$61.55$62.251.14 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price1/29/20105 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 4/29/2010$61.55$62.411.40 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price1/29/2010Deseasonalized 5 Year Linear Trend 4/29/2010$61.55$62.130.94 %
D.B. VeblenSupport Price1/29/2010Nearest Volumetric Price Floor 4/29/2010$61.55$59
T. PearsonTarget Price1/29/2010Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 4/29/2010$61.55$59.08-4.01 %
S.A. ChiSupport Price1/29/2010Lower limit of typical Volatility 4/29/2010$61.55$56.56


Procter and Gamble - Recent Technical Signals

A recent interesting signal was the SMA5Over20Divergence seen on Thursday, January 28, 2010.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
1/28/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
1/22/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
1/20/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
1/8/2010BiWeeklySawTooth50xingS-34.00 %-15.00 %
12/24/2009Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %
12/14/2009BiWeeklySawTooth50xingB2.00 %-1.00 %
12/10/2009SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
12/8/2009BiWeeklySawTooth50xingS-34.00 %-15.00 %



Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy of Procter and Gamble

This plot shows the actual results of last quarter's XML source forecasts.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Week-end Altitude
Above: Illustration from Chapter 5: A signal from the "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", was flagged on Thursday, January 28, 2010. This value of the indicator is generally interpreted as a sell signal.



In The News:

Monday, February 08, 2010: We have news on Vulcan Materials Company, ticker symbol VMC. A significant moving average event has happened. Also, there are breaking events concerning American International Group, Inc. and Nicor Inc..

From the News Archive: (2/8/2010 ) Favorable events happened at International Game Technology and Leucadia National Corp.. Meanwhile, bad news came from AutoZone, Inc. and Genzyme Corporation.


Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface

 Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface of Procter and Gamble


Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for Procter and Gamble from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


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