Predictions for XL

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XL Capital Ltd. Stock Predictions - XL

XL:  Profitability during each Month

Some recent Technical Signals and Predictions from several entities are combined on this illustration to show how they relate to each other on a scale with recent prices.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars show technical signals. The impact of these signals is typically short-term. Conventional target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The green shaded ovals depict probability densities of response surface projections. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.


General Market Conditions

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More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for XL Capital Ltd.:


Target Scoring XL

Pct. Targets Above Base:Avg. Target PriceAvg. Appreciation
Simple Forecasts77.78 %17.48-1.64 %
Response Predictions100.00 %18.433.71 %



Table of Predictions for XL

Analyst:Prediction TypeBase DateDescriptionTarget DateBase PriceTarget PricePct. Change
D.B. VeblenCeiling Price7/23/2010Volumetric Mean As Ceiling 10/23/2010$17.77$27.66
D.B. VeblenCeiling Price7/23/2010Nearest Volumetric Price Ceiling 10/23/2010$17.77$28.5
S.A. ChiCeiling Price7/23/2010Upper limit of typical Volatility 10/23/2010$17.77$20.55
E.S. ChaseTarget Price7/23/2010Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 10/23/2010$17.77$19.7511.14 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price7/23/2010Raw Least Squares Trend 10/23/2010$17.77$17.951.01 %
T. PearsonTarget Price7/23/2010Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 10/23/2010$17.77$17.961.07 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price7/23/2010Deseasonalized Least Squares Trend 10/23/2010$17.77$17.951.01 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price7/23/2010Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 10/23/2010$17.77$17.870.56 %
R.S. AdamsTarget Price7/23/2010Phase200 Response90 10/23/2010$17.77$18.433.71 %
R.S.A. SmithTarget Price7/23/2010NVI Response90 10/23/2010$17.77$18.393.49 %
D.B. VeblenSupport Price7/23/2010Nearest Volumetric Price Floor 10/23/2010$17.77$17
S.A. ChiSupport Price7/23/2010Lower limit of typical Volatility 10/23/2010$17.77$15.49
C.D. TuringTarget Price7/23/2010Deseasonalized 5 Year Linear Trend 10/23/2010$17.77$14.53-18.23 %


Some Recent Technical Signals from XL

A recent interesting signal was the SMA5Over20Divergence seen on Wednesday, July 14, 2010.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
7/14/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
6/29/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
6/23/2010SMA5Over200DivergenceB12.00 %3.00 %
6/22/2010SMA5Over200DivergenceS-25.00 %-12.00 %
6/16/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
6/4/2010SMA20Over200DivergenceB7.00 %1.00 %
5/28/2010Trigger5ProjectedCrossSMA20Over200B9.00 %3.00 %
5/25/2010SMA5Over200DivergenceB12.00 %3.00 %
5/24/2010Trigger5ProjectedCrossSMA20Over200B9.00 %3.00 %
5/20/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
5/19/2010CalibratedWilderRSIBiWeeklyModalS-39.00 %-15.00 %
5/19/2010Wilder7RSI80or20S-12.00 %-7.00 %
5/19/2010CalibratedWilderRSIS-23.00 %-11.00 %
5/17/2010Wilder7RSI80or20S-12.00 %-7.00 %
5/17/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
5/4/2010CalibratedWilderRSIB9.00 %5.00 %
5/4/2010CalibratedWilderRSIBiWeeklyModalB12.00 %4.00 %
4/30/2010Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %
4/28/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
4/13/2010VPI80by20B6.00 %6.00 %



XL:  Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy

The last quarter's forecasts from XML prediction sources are shown in relation to the prices that actually occurred.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Week-end Altitude
Above: Illustration from Chapter 5: No really strong signals during the past week. The most recent signal, "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", was produced on Wednesday, July 14, 2010. In this range, it is most often considered to be a sell signal.



In The News:

In the news, Friday, July 30, 2010: An unfavorable condition has developed with Eastman Chemical Company, ticker symbol EMN. Also, there are breaking events concerning Janus Capital Group Inc. (JNS) and Verizon (VZ)

Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface

XL:   Volumetric Price Behaviour Surface


Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for XL Capital Ltd. from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


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