Yum! Brands: Price Predictions

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Stock Price Predictions for Yum! Brands

Chapter XVI: Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to YUM over the next few months?

YUM: Profitability during each Month

Some recent Technical Signals and Predictions from several entities are combined on this illustration to show how they relate to each other on a scale with recent prices.

On the left, the vertical red and green bars mark conventional technical signals. The impact of these signals is short-term, so they may only effect prices for a day or two. The longer-term target prices are the short red horizontal bars on the extreme right. The shaded green circles depict the probability densities of response surface forecasts. These are designed so that there is a 95 percent confidence that the price will touch the light green area and a 67 percent confidence that the priceline will touch the inner dark green region. Horizontal lower boundaries of conventional forecasts (floor prices) are green, and orange horizontal bars show ceiling prices. If the path to a target price crosses against a floor or ceiling, the resistance may prevent the target from being reached.


General Market Conditions
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Target Scoring YUM

Pct. Targets Above Base:Avg. Target PriceAvg. Appreciation
Simple Forecasts100.00 %43.823.55 %
Response Predictions100.00 %43.542.88 %



Table of Predictions for YUM

Analyst:Prediction TypeBase DateDescriptionTarget DateBase PriceTarget PricePct. Change
E.S. ChaseTarget Price8/27/2010Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 11/27/2010$42.32$48.815.31 %
R.S. AdamsTarget Price8/27/2010Phase200 Response90 11/27/2010$42.32$43.542.88 %
R.S.A. SmithTarget Price8/27/2010NVI Response90 11/27/2010$42.32$43.83.50 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price8/27/2010Deseasonalized 5 Year Linear Trend 11/27/2010$42.32$43.11.84 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price8/27/2010Deseasonalized Least Squares Trend 11/27/2010$42.32$43.011.63 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price8/27/2010Full History Least Squares Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 11/27/2010$42.32$42.921.42 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price8/27/20105 Year Linear Trend with Seasonal Adjustment 11/27/2010$42.32$43.021.65 %
T. PearsonTarget Price8/27/2010Political Calendar Monthly QuarterTerm Potential Appreciation 11/27/2010$42.32$43.222.13 %
C.D. TuringTarget Price8/27/2010Raw Least Squares Trend 11/27/2010$42.32$43.011.63 %
D.B. VeblenSupport Price8/27/2010Nearest Volumetric Price Floor 11/27/2010$42.32$42
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Yum! Brands - Recent Technical Signals

A recent interesting signal was the SMA5Over20Divergence seen on Monday, August 23, 2010.
DateIndicatorBuy or SellWeeklyMonthly
8/23/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
8/17/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
7/15/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %
7/2/2010CalibratedWilderRSIBiWeeklyModalB12.00 %4.00 %
7/1/2010Wilder7RSI80or20B6.00 %1.00 %
6/28/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceB15.00 %6.00 %
6/3/2010SMA5Over20DivergenceS-8.00 %-5.00 %



YUM




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YUM: Last Quarter Forecast Accuracy

The last quarter's forecasts from XML prediction sources are shown in relation to the prices that actually occurred.

The green oval shapes represent the proprietary Indicator Response Surface projections from Hybrid Technical. Any report that is not accurate within the 95 percent confidence limit (outer light green shading) will be refunded in full. Full Access Subscribers receive double their money back. (* This offer is subject to restrictions outlined in the member agreement.)




Week-end Altitude
Above: Illustration from Chapter 5: A signal from the "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", was flagged on Monday, August 23, 2010. This value of the indicator is generally interpreted as a sell signal.



In The News:

Tuesday, September 07, 2010: We have news on Brocade Communications Systems, Inc., ticker symbol BRCD. Signs of an over-bought condition have become noticable. Also, there are breaking events concerning Apartment Investment and Management Co. and Mitsui & Company, Ltd..

From the News Archive: (9/3/2010 ) Bad news came from Hewlett Packard, News Corporation, Discovery Communications, Inc, and Electronic Data Systems.



Price Behavior Surfaces are a way to visualize the forces that act upon the price through time. The illustration above shows the surface for Yum! Brands from two different angles.These surfaces illustrate the imbalance between competing forces of fear and greed and the effect that they exert on the direction of the price line.

For more about these surfaces, click here.


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