| Below - Illustration from Chapter 15: A signal from the "Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals middle Crossing", was flagged on Thursday, April 13, 2006. This value of the indicator is generally interpreted as a sell signal. |
 Summary of Recent Reports:Weekend Report Comments on Saturday, April 08, 2006:
As of closing time on the NYSE Friday, April 07, 2006, the price has been down for 3 days in a row. Both the price and the volume were on the increase this week for ALA. According to the Wilder RSI, ALA is in the middle, but it is moving in a bearish direction. The RSI has weakened since last week, but not enough to change the category. The Negative Volume Index Aggregate is near the middle of the range. It seems to be rising, coming from 99.58% to 99.60% in the past month. There has not been much change in the phase of the 200 day moving average since this time last week. From the Update 4/13/2006 : The most recent candle is an Engulfing long day, following the stepped down medium body on the previous session. When a session has an open-to-close range that exceeds the range (body) of the candle from the day before, it is said to be "Engulfing". This higher inner volatility shows uncertainty, perhaps because two groups of speculators disagree on whether the price should be lower or higher than it is. A signal from the "Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals middle Crossing", was flagged on Thursday, April 13, 2006. This value of the indicator is generally interpreted as a sell signal. |
Table of Contents
Volume I: ALA Classical Analysis:
Chapter 1:
An introductory chapter looks at the price history of ALA by applying Classical Time Series Analysis. Some of the patterns seen here will prove to be important in further analysis. See ALA Classical Analysis.
Chapter 2:
Understanding Price Volatility behaviour is essential to assessing the risk associated with positions across different time spans. See ALA Volatility Risk.
Chapter 3:
Changes in Daily Volume are tracked in time here. Time Series Analysis demonstrates Trends and Cyclical Patterns in the number of shares transacted. See ALA Historical Volume.
Chapter 4:
The Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Price Trends can still yield valuable predictive information. See ALA Calendar Year Trends.
Chapter 5:
One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Alcatel prices. See Average Indicators.
Volume II: Mid Level Technical Analysis:
Chapter 6:
Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in ALA stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators.
Chapter 7:
A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to ALA historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis. See Politics and Prices of ALA.
Chapter 8:
A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision. See Volumetric Analysis.
Chapter 9:
A view of Momentum Analysis that takes Volume into account as well as Price. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
Chapter 10:
The mood of the market toward Alcatel show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Market Sentiment.
Section 11:
The chapter first converts the Price Line to several different mappings based on "Runs" or the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.
Chapter 12:
The traditional techniques of Candlestick Analysis may seem fanciful, but certain aspects are firmly grounded in the science of Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.
Volume III: Advanced Visualization and Prediction:
Chapter 13:
Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of ALA prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Support and Resistance.
Chapter 14:
Combining the historical behavior surfaces with the geometry of long standing periodic price oscillations yields a behavior surface of more than three dimensions which has an extremely low residual error compared to other methods of analysis. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Chapter 15:
Frequency Analysis and Waveform Characterization are applied to the historical prices of Alcatel in this chapter. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.
Chapter 16:
Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See ALA Price Predictions.
Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:
Chapter 17:
This chapter rates some "single company strategies" for Alcatel speculators. One of the most important aspects of a good money management strategy is the proper setting of stop loss orders. See Single Company Strategies.
Chapter 18:
The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See ALA Multi-Company Strategies .
Appendix A:
The statistical abstract for Alcatel gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See ALA Final Results . |
| 
Subscribe More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for Alcatel: |
| |
|
