| Below - Illustration from Chapter 15: Recently there have not been any particularly significant signals. A signal from the "Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals middle Crossing", was flagged on Monday, November 24, 2008. This value of the indicator is generally interpreted as a buy signal. |
 Summary of Recent Reports:Weekend Report Comments on Saturday, December 06, 2008:
As of Friday, December 05, 2008, the closing price has been up for 4 days in a row. Last week the price of AW went down and the volume grew. So far, the damage has been limited to a -5.96 % decline for the week. AW does not seem to be over-bought or under-bought at the moment. The general RSI remains in the same range as last week, with a small favorable drift. No signal from the Negative Volume Index: It seems to be rising, coming from 98.57% to 98.64% in the past month. Phase three, the next to the last of the 200 session moving average phases, is now in effect as the price is diverging in a downward direction from the average line. From the Update 12/5/2008 : The most recent candle is a stepped up medium body, following the Engulfing long day on the previous session. The stepped candle has a body that is shadowed at one end only. It can indicate an orderly progression of the market. Recently there have not been any particularly significant signals. A signal from the "Semi-Annual Avg. of Bi-weekly Sawtooth Signals middle Crossing", was flagged on Monday, November 24, 2008. This value of the indicator is generally interpreted as a buy signal. |
Table of Contents
Volume I: AW Classical Analysis:
Chapter 1:
Classical Analysis provides a good overview of the data for Allied Waste Industries, Inc., and reveals patterns that will be explored with detail in later sections. See AW Classical Analysis.
Chapter 2:
This survey looks at historical volatility of Allied Waste Industries, Inc. prices. The risks associated with long and short term positions can be evaluated according to projected shapes of the Volatility Curve. See AW Volatility Risk.
Chapter 3:
Historical Volume Trends are analyzed here, revealing seasonal patterns and the influence of the Business Cycle. See AW Historical Volume.
Chapter 4:
A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Allied Waste Industries, Inc. Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See AW Calendar Year Trends.
Chapter 5:
Moving Averages of various flavours are popular indicators. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Allied Waste Industries, Inc. prices. See Average Indicators.
Volume II: Intermediate Analysis Techniques:
Chapter 6:
Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in AW stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators.
Chapter 7:
This chapter takes a view somewhat similar to standard analysis of seasonal trends, but it is based on the 4 year or 2 year Political Calendar rather than the 1 year Standard Calendar. Political Seasons work better than Calendar Seasons for predicting prices of many companies. See Politics and Prices of AW.
Chapter 8:
A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision. See Volumetric Analysis.
Chapter 9:
Analysis of Market Momentum as the product of Price and Volume drives an interpretation considerably more sophisticated than those that consider Price Momentum alone. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
Chapter 10:
The mood of the market toward Allied Waste Industries, Inc. show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Market Sentiment.
Section 11:
This section visualizes mappings based on the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.
Chapter 12:
The traditional techniques of Candlestick Analysis may seem fanciful, but certain aspects are firmly grounded in the science of Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.
Volume III: Advanced Price Behavior Visualization:
Chapter 13:
Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of AW prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Support and Resistance.
Chapter 14:
Combining the historical behavior surfaces with the geometry of long standing periodic price oscillations yields a behavior surface of more than three dimensions which has an extremely low residual error compared to other methods of analysis. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Chapter 15:
Frequency Analysis and Waveform Characterization are applied to the historical prices of Allied Waste Industries, Inc. in this chapter. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.
Chapter 16:
Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See AW Price Predictions.
Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:
Chapter 17:
This chapter rates some "single company strategies" for Allied Waste Industries, Inc. speculators. One of the most important aspects of a good money management strategy is the proper setting of stop loss orders. See Single Company Strategies.
Chapter 18:
The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See AW Multi-Company Strategies .
Appendix A:
The statistical abstract for Allied Waste Industries, Inc. gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See AW Final Results . |
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