| Below - This chart from Chapter 6 reveals a strong signal: A strong sell signal from the 90 session RSI (Wilder) occurred on Friday, March 05, 2010. |
 Summary of Recent Reports:From the Update 3/10/2010 : A signal that may be significant has occurred. A strong sell signal from the 90 session RSI (Wilder) occurred on Friday, March 05, 2010. The most recent candle is a Star long day, following the Shadowed short body on the previous session. A star happens when the body range is entirely outside the range of the day before. So there has been a gap, indicating a strong new direction. Weekend Report Comments on Saturday, March 06, 2010:
Looking back from Friday, March 05, 2010, the past 6 sessions have seen higher closing prices than the day before. Volume and Price increased together for BA this week. BA seems fairly priced, according to the Wilder RSI, and the position is moving to the bullish. The general RSI remains in the same range as last week, with a small favorable drift. The Negative Volume Index Aggregate is near the middle of the range. It seems to be rising, coming from 99.34% to 99.40% in the past month. The MACD Cycle is in phase one here, with BA 34.00 % above the 200 bar SMA, increasing the distance over the week. |
Table of Contents
Volume I: Traditional Analysis:
Chapter 1:
The Classical Analysis of Time Series establishes a good starting point in the analysis, and provides a high vantage point for viewing patterns of behaviour in the prices over the entire history of Boeing Aircraft. See BA Classical Analysis.
Chapter 2:
Risks associated with short and long period price changes can be understood through Volatility Analysis. Here the impact of the Volatility Curve on the potential profitability positions across different time spans is shown. See BA Volatility Risk.
Chapter 3:
Changes in Daily Volume are tracked in time here. Time Series Analysis demonstrates Trends and Cyclical Patterns in the number of shares transacted. See BA Historical Volume.
Chapter 4:
A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Boeing Aircraft Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See BA Calendar Year Trends.
Chapter 5:
Moving Averages of various flavours are popular indicators. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Boeing Aircraft prices. See Average Indicators.
Volume II: Modern Technical Analysis:
Chapter 6:
Some say that modern analysis began with the successful identification of technical oscillators such as the highly effective Wilder RSI. See Technical Oscillators.
Chapter 7:
This chapter takes a view somewhat similar to standard analysis of seasonal trends, but it is based on the 4 year or 2 year Political Calendar rather than the 1 year Standard Calendar. Political Seasons work better than Calendar Seasons for predicting prices of many companies. See Politics and Prices of BA.
Chapter 8:
Volume Stratification Analysis (or VSA) follows price behavior in relation to historical volumes of BA stock sales. Knowledge of these behaviors gives us a quantitative metric useful for understanding Support or Resistance Levels, and predicting their strength. See Volumetric Analysis.
Chapter 9:
A view of Momentum Analysis that takes Volume into account as well as Price. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
Chapter 10:
The mood of the market toward Boeing Aircraft show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Market Sentiment.
Section 11:
This section visualizes mappings based on the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.
Chapter 12:
Japanese Candlesticks have a long history, but continue to be used because some of their best concepts are based on universal Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.
Volume III: Advanced Visualization and Prediction:
Chapter 13:
Ordinary analysis does not show the features of the behavioral history underneath the price volume line. Here multi-spectral analysis brings the hidden features to the surface. See Support and Resistance.
Chapter 14:
Combining the historical behavior surfaces with the geometry of long standing periodic price oscillations yields a behavior surface of more than three dimensions which has an extremely low residual error compared to other methods of analysis. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Chapter 15:
Here we look at periodic frequency and waveform characteristics of the BA historical price series. Classical techniques such as the Fourier Transform and newer digital filtering techniques contribute to this analysis. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.
Chapter 16:
Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to BA over the next few months? See BA Price Predictions.
Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:
Chapter 17:
The results of various trading strategies carried out over 10 years are evaluated here for BA. The results of "buy and hold", "buy the dips", and other strategies are compared, as well as sliding stop settings. See Single Company Strategies.
Chapter 18:
The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See BA Multi-Company Strategies .
Appendix A:
The statistical abstract for Boeing Aircraft gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See BA Final Results . |
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