| Below - Illustration from Chapter 5: No really strong signals during the past week. The most recent signal, "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", was produced on Thursday, February 18, 2010. In this range, it is most often considered to be a sell signal. |
 Summary of Recent Reports:Weekend Report Comments on Saturday, March 13, 2010:
As of closing time on the NYSE Friday, March 12, 2010, the price has been down for 3 days in a row. The price of BDX rose by 0.18 % this week, but the volume declined, which is a caution sign. In spite of some improvement in the last week, the Wilder RSI is calling for caution. The conventional RSI is almost unchanged from the previous week. The Negative Volume Index Aggregate is near the middle of the range. This indicator is down over the last month. The phase of the 200 day Simple Moving Average was hardly altered during the week. From the Update 3/17/2010 : The recent session is represented as a Star medium body, following the Star short body on Tuesday. A star happens when the body range is entirely outside the range of the day before. So there has been a gap, indicating a strong new direction. No really strong signals during the past week. The most recent signal, "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", was produced on Thursday, February 18, 2010. In this range, it is most often considered to be a sell signal. |
Table of Contents
Volume I: Traditional Analysis of BDX:
Chapter 1:
Becton, Dickinson and Co. historical prices are subjected to old fashioned Classical Time Series Analysis in this section. Patterns that emerge here will be a starting point for more detailed analysis. See BDX Classical Analysis.
Chapter 2:
Understanding Price Volatility behaviour is essential to assessing the risk associated with positions across different time spans. See BDX Volatility Risk.
Chapter 3:
Historical Volume Trends are analyzed here, revealing seasonal patterns and the influence of the Business Cycle. See BDX Historical Volume.
Chapter 4:
A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Becton, Dickinson and Co. Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See BDX Calendar Year Trends.
Chapter 5:
One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Becton, Dickinson and Co. prices. See Average Indicators.
Volume II: Modern Technical Analysis:
Chapter 6:
Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in BDX stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators.
Chapter 7:
This chapter takes a view somewhat similar to standard analysis of seasonal trends, but it is based on the 4 year or 2 year Political Calendar rather than the 1 year Standard Calendar. Political Seasons work better than Calendar Seasons for predicting prices of many companies. See Politics and Prices of BDX.
Chapter 8:
A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision. See Volumetric Analysis.
Chapter 9:
A view of Momentum Analysis that takes Volume into account as well as Price. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
Chapter 10:
Technical Analysis discovers the range of moods of investors toward BDX. See Market Sentiment.
Section 11:
This section visualizes mappings based on the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.
Chapter 12:
Japanese Candlesticks have a long history, but continue to be used because some of their best concepts are based on universal Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.
Volume III: Advanced Visualization and Prediction:
Chapter 13:
Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of BDX prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Support and Resistance.
Chapter 14:
The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of Becton, Dickinson and Co. historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Chapter 15:
Frequency Analysis and Waveform Characterization are applied to the historical prices of Becton, Dickinson and Co. in this chapter. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.
Chapter 16:
Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to BDX over the next few months? See BDX Price Predictions.
Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:
Chapter 17:
This chapter rates some "single company strategies" for Becton, Dickinson and Co. speculators. One of the most important aspects of a good money management strategy is the proper setting of stop loss orders. See Single Company Strategies.
Chapter 18:
The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See BDX Multi-Company Strategies .
Appendix A:
The statistical abstract for Becton, Dickinson and Co. gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See BDX Final Results . |
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