| Below - Illustration from Chapter 5: On Thursday, April 30, 2009, the "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", indicator produced a possible sell alert. |
 Summary of Recent Reports:Weekend Report Comments on Saturday, May 02, 2009:
As of Friday, May 01, 2009, the closing price has been up for 5 days in a row. Volume and Price increased together for CAI this week. According to the Wilder RSI, CAI is in the middle, but it is moving in a bearish direction. Since last week, there has been a slip toward the bear side. The Negative Volume Index Aggregate is near the middle of the range. It seems to be rising, coming from 97.83% to 97.91% in the past month. Phase four of the MACD sequence is at least mildly bullish because the stock may get a boost as it approaches the 200 session moving average. Currently the stock is -8.00 % below that line, but the distance narrowed over the week. From the Update 5/1/2009 : The recent session is represented as a stepped up medium body, following the Star short body on Thursday. The stepped candle has a body that is shadowed at one end only. It can indicate an orderly progression of the market. On Thursday, April 30, 2009, the "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", indicator produced a possible sell alert. |
Table of Contents
Volume 1: Technical Analysis:
Chapter 1:
Classical Analysis provides a good overview of the data for CACI Intl, and reveals patterns that will be explored with detail in later sections. See CAI Classical Analysis.
Chapter 2:
Risks associated with short and long period price changes can be understood through Volatility Analysis. Here the impact of the Volatility Curve on the potential profitability positions across different time spans is shown. See CAI Volatility Risk.
Chapter 3:
This section shows historical volumes for sales of CAI stock, along with Seasonal and Cyclical Trends in Volume. See CAI Historical Volume.
Chapter 4:
The Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Price Trends can still yield valuable predictive information. See CAI Calendar Year Trends.
Chapter 5:
One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of CACI Intl prices. See Average Indicators.
Volume II: Mid Level Technical Analysis:
Chapter 6:
Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in CAI stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators.
Chapter 7:
A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to CAI historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis. See Politics and Prices of CAI.
Chapter 8:
A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision. See Volumetric Analysis.
Chapter 9:
Analysis of Market Momentum as the product of Price and Volume drives an interpretation considerably more sophisticated than those that consider Price Momentum alone. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
Chapter 10:
The mood of the market toward CACI Intl show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Market Sentiment.
Section 11:
The chapter first converts the Price Line to several different mappings based on "Runs" or the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.
Chapter 12:
Japanese Candlesticks have a long history, but continue to be used because some of their best concepts are based on universal Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.
Volume III: Advanced Price Behavior Visualization:
Chapter 13:
Ordinary analysis does not show the features of the behavioral history underneath the price volume line. Here multi-spectral analysis brings the hidden features to the surface. See Support and Resistance.
Chapter 14:
Combining the historical behavior surfaces with the geometry of long standing periodic price oscillations yields a behavior surface of more than three dimensions which has an extremely low residual error compared to other methods of analysis. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Chapter 15:
Here we look at periodic frequency and waveform characteristics of the CAI historical price series. Classical techniques such as the Fourier Transform and newer digital filtering techniques contribute to this analysis. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.
Chapter 16:
Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See CAI Price Predictions.
Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:
Chapter 17:
This chapter rates some "single company strategies" for CACI Intl speculators. One of the most important aspects of a good money management strategy is the proper setting of stop loss orders. See Single Company Strategies.
Chapter 18:
The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See CAI Multi-Company Strategies .
Appendix A:
The statistical abstract for CACI Intl gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See CAI Final Results . |
| 
Subscribe More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for CACI Intl: |
| |
|
