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Below - Illustration from Chapter 6: Recently there have not been any particularly significant signals. A signal from the "Wilder's 7 Day RSI Signals at 80 and 20", was flagged on Monday, October 18, 2010. This value of the indicator is generally interpreted as a sell signal.
Week-end Altitude

Summary of Recent Reports:

No commentary available from weekend report.




Table of Contents



Volume I: CB Classical Analysis:

Chapter 1:

Classical Analysis provides a good overview of the data for The Chubb Corporation, and reveals patterns that will be explored with detail in later sections. See CB Classical Analysis.

Chapter 2:

Risks associated with short and long period price changes can be understood through Volatility Analysis. Here the impact of the Volatility Curve on the potential profitability positions across different time spans is shown. See CB Volatility Risk.

Chapter 3:

Historical Volume Trends are analyzed here, revealing seasonal patterns and the influence of the Business Cycle. See CB Historical Volume.

Chapter 4:

A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of The Chubb Corporation Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See CB Calendar Year Trends.

Chapter 5:

Moving Averages of various flavours are popular indicators. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of The Chubb Corporation prices. See Average Indicators.




Volume II: Modern Technical Analysis:

Chapter 6:

Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in CB stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators.

Chapter 7:

A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to CB historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis. See Politics and Prices of CB.

Chapter 8:

Volume Stratification Analysis tracks the volumes associated with price levels over the entire history of a stock. The resulting analysis yields a framework for understanding the mechanism behind support and resistance levels, and a scientific basis for predicting price behaviors due to those levels. See Volumetric Analysis.

Chapter 9:

Analysis of Market Momentum as the product of Price and Volume drives an interpretation considerably more sophisticated than those that consider Price Momentum alone. See Momentum Investing Indicators.

Chapter 10:

The mood of the market toward The Chubb Corporation show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Market Sentiment.

Section 11:

This section visualizes mappings based on the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.

Chapter 12:

The traditional techniques of Candlestick Analysis may seem fanciful, but certain aspects are firmly grounded in the science of Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.




Volume III: Advanced Visualization and Prediction:

Chapter 13:

Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of CB prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Support and Resistance.

Chapter 14:

The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of The Chubb Corporation historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Price Behavior Surfaces.

Chapter 15:

Frequency Analysis and Waveform Characterization are applied to the historical prices of The Chubb Corporation in this chapter. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.

Chapter 16:

Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to CB over the next few months? See CB Price Predictions.




Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:

Chapter 17:

This chapter rates some "single company strategies" for The Chubb Corporation speculators. One of the most important aspects of a good money management strategy is the proper setting of stop loss orders. See Single Company Strategies.

Chapter 18:

The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See CB Multi-Company Strategies .

Appendix A:

The statistical abstract for The Chubb Corporation gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See CB Final Results .
General Market Conditions

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