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Below - Illustration from Chapter 6: The most recent signal, "Calibrated RSI at 80 and 20", was produced on Monday, November 01, 2010. In this range, it is most often considered to be a sell signal.
Week-end Altitude

Summary of Recent Reports:

No commentary available from weekend report.




Table of Contents



Volume I: Classical Analysis:

Chapter 1:

The Classical Analysis of Time Series establishes a good starting point in the analysis, and provides a high vantage point for viewing patterns of behaviour in the prices over the entire history of CIT Group Inc.. See CIT Classical Analysis.

Chapter 2:

Risks associated with short and long period price changes can be understood through Volatility Analysis. Here the impact of the Volatility Curve on the potential profitability positions across different time spans is shown. See CIT Volatility Risk.

Chapter 3:

Changes in Daily Volume are tracked in time here. Time Series Analysis demonstrates Trends and Cyclical Patterns in the number of shares transacted. See CIT Historical Volume.

Chapter 4:

A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of CIT Group Inc. Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See CIT Calendar Year Trends.

Chapter 5:

One of the most popular indicators, the Moving Average, comes in many variations. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of CIT Group Inc. prices. See Average Indicators.




Volume II: Modern Technical Analysis:

Chapter 6:

Technical Oscillators are compared to test their power as buy or sell signals for speculating in CIT stock. We conduct an extensive investigation of the popular "RSI" of Welles Wilder and some of its variations. See Technical Oscillators.

Chapter 7:

Price Analysis according to Political Factors reveals some surprising results. Computing trends against the November based political calendar may give better predictions than the traditional calculations based on the January calendar year! See Politics and Prices of CIT.

Chapter 8:

A sophisticated method associates price levels with historical volumes. Such semi-abstract concepts as Support and Resistance may then be defined with mathematical precision. See Volumetric Analysis.

Chapter 9:

Analysis of Market Momentum as the product of Price and Volume drives an interpretation considerably more sophisticated than those that consider Price Momentum alone. See Momentum Investing Indicators.

Chapter 10:

The mood of the market toward CIT Group Inc. show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Market Sentiment.

Section 11:

The chapter first converts the Price Line to several different mappings based on "Runs" or the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.

Chapter 12:

Japanese Candlesticks have a long history, but continue to be used because some of their best concepts are based on universal Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.




Volume III: Advanced Visualization and Prediction:

Chapter 13:

Ordinary analysis does not show the features of the behavioral history underneath the price volume line. Here multi-spectral analysis brings the hidden features to the surface. See Support and Resistance.

Chapter 14:

The combination of multi-spectral and mult-dimensional analysis of CIT Group Inc. historical trends, yields a rich set of behavioral surfaces. See Price Behavior Surfaces.

Chapter 15:

Frequency Analysis and Waveform Characterization are applied to the historical prices of CIT Group Inc. in this chapter. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.

Chapter 16:

Predictions and Forecasts. What will happen to CIT over the next few months? See CIT Price Predictions.




Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:

Chapter 17:

This chapter rates some "single company strategies" for CIT Group Inc. speculators. One of the most important aspects of a good money management strategy is the proper setting of stop loss orders. See Single Company Strategies.

Chapter 18:

The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See CIT Multi-Company Strategies .

Appendix A:

The statistical abstract for CIT Group Inc. gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See CIT Final Results .
General Market Conditions

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