|Below - Illustration from Chapter 5: A signal from the "Moving Avg. 5/20 Divergence", was flagged on Monday, November 08, 2010. This value of the indicator is generally interpreted as a sell signal. |
Summary of Recent Reports:No commentary available from weekend report.
Table of Contents
Volume I: Classical Analysis:
Capital One Financial Corp. historical prices are subjected to old fashioned Classical Time Series Analysis in this section. Patterns that emerge here will be a starting point for more detailed analysis. See COF Classical Analysis.
Risks associated with short and long period price changes can be understood through Volatility Analysis. Here the impact of the Volatility Curve on the potential profitability positions across different time spans is shown. See COF Volatility Risk.
This section shows historical volumes for sales of COF stock, along with Seasonal and Cyclical Trends in Volume. See COF Historical Volume.
A look at Traditional Seasonal Analysis of Capital One Financial Corp. Historical Prices identifies the best and worst months to be invested. See COF Calendar Year Trends.
Moving Averages of various flavours are popular indicators. Here we test the predictive ability of different averages as applied to prediction of Capital One Financial Corp. prices. See Average Indicators.
Volume II: Modern Technical Analysis:
Some say that modern analysis began with the successful identification of technical oscillators such as the highly effective Wilder RSI. See Technical Oscillators.
A different type of Seasonal Analysis is applied to COF historical prices. Here the 24 month, November based Political Calendar is the basis for non-standard Seasonal Analysis. See Politics and Prices of COF.
Volume Stratification Analysis tracks the volumes associated with price levels over the entire history of a stock. The resulting analysis yields a framework for understanding the mechanism behind support and resistance levels, and a scientific basis for predicting price behaviors due to those levels. See Volumetric Analysis.
Analysis of Market Momentum as the product of Price and Volume drives an interpretation considerably more sophisticated than those that consider Price Momentum alone. See Momentum Investing Indicators.
The mood of the market toward Capital One Financial Corp. show up in the Daily Closing Altitude and other Sentiment Indicators. See Market Sentiment.
This section visualizes mappings based on the number of consecutive price movements in a particular direction. A discussion of the "Monte Carlo Fallacy" and it's relevance to Stock Price Prediction leads to a revisionist method of Price Projection using the Bernoulli Analysis. See Bernoulli Run Analysis.
Japanese Candlesticks have a long history, but continue to be used because some of their best concepts are based on universal Investor Psychology. See Japanese Candlesticks.
Volume III: Advanced Price Behavior Visualization:
Multi-spectral analysis reveals behavioral features of COF prices that may not be apparent to ordinary analysis. See Support and Resistance.
Combining the historical behavior surfaces with the geometry of long standing periodic price oscillations yields a behavior surface of more than three dimensions which has an extremely low residual error compared to other methods of analysis. See Price Behavior Surfaces.
Here we look at periodic frequency and waveform characteristics of the COF historical price series. Classical techniques such as the Fourier Transform and newer digital filtering techniques contribute to this analysis. See Frequency and Waveform Analysis.
Forecasts are gathered from several sources to predict future price movements. See COF Price Predictions.
Volume IV: Final Results and Trading Strategy:
This chapter rates some "single company strategies" for Capital One Financial Corp. speculators. One of the most important aspects of a good money management strategy is the proper setting of stop loss orders. See Single Company Strategies.
The trading policies that work well when applied to speculation in any one companies stock may fall short when applied to the more usual situation where a person is speculating on a basket or portfolio of companies. Here we find the best muti-company portfolio trading policies. See COF Multi-Company Strategies .
The statistical abstract for Capital One Financial Corp. gathers the most relevant analysis into a single chapter. See COF Final Results .
More than 70 Hi-Rez charts daily for Capital One Financial Corp.: